For futures prices, the prediction direction itself has a 50% probability. If the price range is increased on this basis, such a prediction is too difficult, which is also the reason why futures trading is difficult.

To do futures trading, you don't need to consider price forecast, you just need to have a hypothesis and then bring it into verification. If the verification is correct, you will hold the preset profit target; if the verification is wrong, you will leave as soon as possible. After a hypothesis has been verified for a long time, it will consider which aspects of the hypothesis are inappropriate, and then make adjustments until it is satisfied, which becomes a trading strategy suitable for itself.