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Rice futures market
I thought the autumn harvest was smooth this year, but I didn't expect it to be affected by too much rain in the north. The yield of corn, soybean, peanut and other grain and oil crops is not ideal, the harvest speed is slow and the quality is not very good. Corn, in particular, is greatly affected by it, and mildew has increased obviously in some areas, but the market price is low, which makes people have a headache. In fact, the neglected rice market is not satisfactory, and farmers, grain merchants and rice enterprises all suffer from it.

0 1, corn prices fell.

On the occasion of the autumn harvest last year, the corn market ushered in a strong rise, with the price exceeding that of wheat and rising above 1.5 yuan at the peak. However, after March, corn prices began to decline, and the market decline increased in September. The national average price fell below 1.3 yuan, but now it has bottomed out and rebounded to 1.256 yuan/kg, which made farmers very hurt.

Judging from today's market, Fuyang Bio fell by 2 points, and the price was 1.3 15 yuan/kg; Fukuan Bio fell by 0.5 point to quote 1.245 yuan/kg; The local arrival volume has dropped to 547 cars, and its corn volume is decreasing every day, but the price has dropped again and again, and the average price in Shandong has dropped to 1.307 yuan/kg. As for why it fell, it is also because the newly listed corn has a high moisture content, which is not conducive to storage and storage, and the willingness to harvest is insufficient.

Northeast producing areas have a stable market, mainly because the quality of corn in North China and Shandong is not too high. On the contrary, the northeast suffered less disasters, the quality was higher than last year, and the grain merchants had a high willingness to buy. However, farmers' enthusiasm for selling grain is not high because prices do not rise.

In North China, Yipin Bio-decreased by 1.5 points, and the price was 1.28 yuan/kg; Hou Yuan Bio rebounded by 0.5 point, and the price was 1.305 yuan/kg. At present, the price of new grain in North China is rather chaotic. Due to the rainy days in the early stage, the quality of corn is uneven, and grain merchants price according to the goods.

However, the overall price is low, the old farmers are reluctant to sell, and it is difficult for traders to buy, but they are unwilling to raise prices, fearing that it will be difficult to sell at a high price in the future. Therefore, the current corn market is in a stalemate and there is no upward momentum. At the same time, after the National Day, the price of starch began to fall, and the willingness of deep enterprises to harvest declined, which was not conducive to the price of corn.

At present, it is difficult for corn to rise in a short period of time, the moisture content is too high, traders are reluctant to buy it, and factories are now accepting all the orders, which is not conducive to its price.

02, wheat to rise to 1.4 yuan?

Recently, the wheat market is hot, and the auction of grain depot is very impressive. For example, Grain Reserve Shandong sells wheat 1.98 million tons, and Henan Branch sells wheat 32,000 tons, both of which are 1.000%, and the auction price is about 1.3 1 yuan/kg.

At present, the high-priced area of wheat has risen to 1.35- 1.37 yuan/kg, which is getting closer and closer to the market price 1.4 yuan/kg, but the market is still not weak, which makes everyone very confident.

Judging from today's market, Qingdao's good market rebounded by 0.5 points, and the price was 1.33 yuan/kg; The developed western and eastern regions each rose by 0.5 points, and the prices were 1.325 yuan/kg and 1.32 yuan/kg respectively; Developed Weifang rose 1 point, price 1.33 yuan/kg; Weifang Ye Xiang rebounded 1 point, and the price was 1.335 yuan/kg; Carrier pigeon flour industry rebounded 1 point, price 1.33 yuan/kg; Industrial rebound in eastern Henan 1 point, wheat before rain 1.34 yuan/kg, wheat after rain 1.3 15 yuan/kg.

It can be seen that the price of wheat in the afternoon has reached a historical high, Shandong manufacturers have risen to more than 1.33 yuan/kg, and traders are full of confidence in the future market, holding money and not selling it. For enterprises, because the quantity of wheat is less, they have to raise the price to purchase.

Last year, when wheat rose to around 1.3 yuan, China Grain Reserve issued a regulation policy, but now there is no movement. As for when the policy auction will come, there is no rumor in the market, and it is precisely because there is no policy interference that wheat has risen. Of course, this year's wheat planting was delayed. In order to encourage farmers to grow wheat, perhaps the policy has been delayed, so as to stimulate everyone's enthusiasm.

03, the rice market is depressed.

The rice market as a whole is not very good this year. Although the mid-season indica rice is basically listed, the price has shown a situation of "low opening and low going", and neither the origin price nor the ex-factory price of rice is very good.

In japonica rice, the quality of northeast rice is not too high. Because of insufficient early filling and early maturity, the quality of rice is not as good as last year. After its listing, its rice fell into a vortex of low prices, and many farmers were unwilling to sell it because they didn't like low prices.

The price of indica rice producing areas has also begun to decline, mainly because rice enterprises have too much inventory. The 20-year-old rice is expected to be digested by the end of the year, and there are not many buyers in the market, so the harvesting progress is relatively slow. Many people complain that this year's fertilizer is too expensive, and it can only break even if it is sold. However, at present, the operating rate of rice enterprises is less than 30%, and both Fengliangyou and Huanghuajiao have bottomed out in 1.85 yuan, which has also curbed the decline of rice.

At the same time, rice has ushered in a high yield this year, because the rice market was considerable last year and the planting area increased, which increased the output this year. In the past 20 years, the supply of rice exceeded demand, and this year's output increased again, which suppressed the price of rice. In addition, the import volume this year is too high, which makes it difficult for prices to rise in the later period.

Generally speaking, this year's corn and rice market is not satisfactory, and the old farmers have their difficulties. I hope prices will go up next, otherwise I will be busy for half a year.