In the second case, if a large-scale war breaks out and the world economy declines, then the demand for crude oil will decrease and the price will fall.
Crude oil is a barometer of the economy, and now the whole world is in recession. The oil price dropped from 120 last year to 40 now. On the one hand, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries has increased its output, on the other hand, this is caused by the world economic recession.
I hope the landlord will be satisfied and seek approval.