According to incomplete statistics, the ratio of pig to grain at the grass-roots level has now dropped to 9.58: 1.
While the price of live pigs fell, the price of soybean meal also fluctuated slightly. Now the actual price of soybean meal is 5593 yuan per ton, up 47.3% year-on-year and 7.87% quarter-on-quarter.
Although the grass-roots pig market in China ushered in favorable consumption in the fourth quarter, it is an indisputable fact that domestic pig prices are difficult to rise in the short term under the impact of reserve meat.
According to official statistics, the number of live pigs in China is now under green control.
In the future, the distribution of pig production capacity, the price of pigs in the north and south lacks room for price increase, which also requires our farmers to have a basic understanding.
At the same time, since the fourth quarter, the relevant state departments have also stepped up the regulation of pig prices. With the start of the sixth round of reserve meat, the price of pigs in the north and south has also fluctuated sharply, and the shock of pig prices is also affecting farmers' mentality of selling pigs.
Pig God of Wealth believes that the risk of the price of live pigs falling from 1 1 to 12 still exists, so we must not be careless.
At the same time, the grain price market, which is in sharp contrast with the pig price, has ushered in a series of favorable changes.
Recently, COFCO and China Grain Reserve began to make great efforts to buy new autumn grain, and the prices of corn and soybeans also ushered in a firm upward trend.
The state's regulation of food and pig prices has once again released a series of strong signals for us.
With the approach of 1 1 month, today, the pig god will focus on analyzing the market pattern of grain prices and pig prices from 1 1 2.
There are two things that I hope the broad masses of peasant brothers will understand and remain vigilant.
Market pattern1:11~ 65438+February, the trend of pig prices is changeable, and violent fluctuations are a foregone conclusion;
Pig God of Wealth said: In the past two days, I believe many farmers will find that the mainstream purchase price of grass-roots pigs has ushered in a continuous decline, and the downward trend is like riding a roller coaster.
Pig prices fluctuate repeatedly. In just three days, the decline in the mainstream purchase price of grassroots pigs has approached one piece per catty.
With the official start of the curing season, as a traditional consumption peak season, whether the domestic pig price will rise from 1 1 to 12 is also the most concerned issue.
According to the current market situation of supply and demand of live pigs at the grass-roots level, Pig God judges that the price of live pigs in the north and south will probably fluctuate between 1 1 to 12.
Policy regulation is like the sword of Damocles. Once the pig price rises too fast, the regulatory authorities will inevitably play a restraining role.
At that time, it will be more difficult for the price of live pigs to rise, and the price of live pigs will also show the characteristics of ups and downs under the boost of good consumption.
Farmers must pay special attention to the changes in the cost of raising pigs.
Because in the fourth quarter of this year, although domestic pig prices will change favorably, farmers who choose to raise prices for a long time are likely to face the risk of loss of income.
After all, at present, the prices of feed raw materials such as corn and soybean meal remain high, and the cost of raising pigs at the breeding end increases, which also increases the risk that farmers are reluctant to sell.
Market pattern 2:11~ 65438+February, food prices ushered in the expansion of rising space, and policy release and regulation were favorable;
Pig God of Wealth said: After entering 165438+ 10, there is still room for food prices to rise.
For our farmers, this year, due to the impact of the sharp increase in breeding costs, the national level has continued to increase the regulation and control of farmers' income. Now important enterprises such as COFCO and China Grain Storage have started to raise prices.
In the process of rising food prices, other deep processing enterprises are also adjusting prices.
In addition, with the production capacity of live pigs reaching a high level, the number of domestic fertile sows has reached about 43.62 million.
From the long-term trend, the demand for pig breeding and consumption at the grass-roots level will further increase, which will also provide strong support for the rise in pig prices, and the rise in pig prices will also provide strong support for the rise in food prices.
Based on the above, the pig god of wealth believes that there will be new changes in food prices and pig prices in the future.
There are two points behind farming that need to be vigilant!
Things1:We must adjust our mentality and never blindly speculate on food prices and pig prices. Once there is an act of driving up prices, it is likely to face strict investigation and rectification by the competent state departments;
The second thing: We must also be alert to the risks faced by property hoarding and property hoarding.
Policy-level supervision and large market variables;
Based on the above situation, the pig god of wealth believes that in the fourth quarter of this year, food prices and pig prices are both favorable, and farmers and farmers' related income can also be effectively guaranteed.
As long as we look at the market with a normal mind, everyone's income will never be bad.
Here, I also call on everyone to act together. Click on the bottom right corner of the article to have a look, and praise the country's pig price and food price control policies together.