Not optimistic. Personally, I think that steel prices are facing the dual effects of cost pressure (rising) and demand pressure (falling). Cost pressure makes steel mills eager to raise steel prices. One example is the unilateral promotion in the past few months, but with the decline in demand, it is difficult to maintain the market price near the expectations of steel mills.

At present, the growth rate of macroeconomic CPI is too fast in the first half of the year. In the second half of the year, it is not ruled out that the country will adopt austerity adjustment, especially in individual industries, such as real estate, which will lead to limited demand.

And interest rates. At present, in the case of unsatisfactory expansion of domestic demand, maintaining foreign trade is still one of the effective means to maintain the status quo, so the RMB is unlikely to "appreciate". However, due to the voice that the proportion of residents' deposits is still high, it is not ruled out that the central bank will cut interest rates and the RMB will "depreciate", but this will increase the cost of imported raw materials for steel mills and continue to increase cost pressure.

Based on these points, I personally think that steel prices will fluctuate around 4000 before 10, but steel futures may improve before delivery due, boosting market prices.

As for the accuracy required by the landlord, you are not a prophet. Who can guarantee accuracy? Take this as a reference.