Among the difficulties of leading stocks, identifying leading stocks is the most critical. If we can identify the leading stocks accurately and timely, our work will be easier by half. I will focus on this issue. I will discuss the concept, attributes, life experiences and technical trends of leading stocks one by one.
First, the life cycle of leading stocks.
Like people, leading stocks have life and death. From the operational point of view, I divide the life of the leading stock into four cycles:
Primary period: the first daily limit, this wave of market begins. (born)
Acceleration period: rising sharply in recent days, even the board. (growth)
Rest period: callback or sideways between daily limit. (sick)
Recession: the second day after the stock price fell below the 5-day line, there was no daily limit, and this wave of market ended. (death)
Second, the characteristics of leading stocks
1, leading stocks are all started at a relatively low level of daily limit.
2. The technical forms of most faucets can be analyzed by "old duck head". The key point is that the daily limit breaks through an important price, such as the annual line, the semi-annual line and the previous high point.
3. When the leading stocks started, there must have been periodic shocks (kdj of the monthly line, weekly line and daily line are all golden forks), otherwise there will be periodic shocks. If the J value is too large, it will affect the market height in the afternoon.
4. The circulating market value of leading stocks before starting is mostly between 300 million yuan and 600 million yuan, so we can't just look at the circulating market.
5. Leading stocks can be divided into three categories: enterprise benefits, government policies and social events.
6. The factors directly related to the stock have a strong driving force; Indirect correlation, small.
7. Once the faucet is started, no matter how the market is, it will go out of a wave of independent market.
8. In most cases, the shorter the rest period, the fiercer the market will be in the next acceleration period.
9. A false concept cannot be a real leader. For example, a clarification announcement was issued just after the bombing, saying that it had nothing to do with that concept.
10, there are three situations in which the probability of becoming a leading stock is relatively small: First, the first daily limit is not firm; Second, there is no second board after the first daily limit; Third, the first daily limit is a word board.
Third, the operation of leading stocks
1, priority principle
(1) The new leader is the first, and the old leader is the second;
(2) Pursuing first in the initial period and acceleration period, and attacking second in the rest period;
(3) The front acceleration period is the first, and the rear acceleration period is the second;
(4) The short rest period is the first, and the long rest period is the second;
(5) Five stars are the first, followed by four stars and three stars.
2, the three disciplines of playing the board
Playing the board, that is, quickly grabbing the daily limit (or approaching the daily limit) at the moment of the daily limit, is one of the methods to chase the leading stocks, which is often used in the early stage of the leading stocks and the early stage of the acceleration period.
(1) Don't hit the board when the market is weak. The market is green, the stock is thin, the environment is not good, the selling pressure is large, and it is easy to open the board.
(2) Don't hit the board after10: 30. Before 10: 30, the board will not be opened, so the risk is small. After the opening, the earlier the daily limit, the more stamina. If the board is closed after 10: 30, it means that the board is not firm enough to participate (unless there is a sudden significant benefit after 10: 30).
(3) Don't play more than three plates in a row. A word board just doesn't take you to play; Three consecutive plates are resolute, resolute, and resolute not to take you to play. If the board is opened, there will be risks of shipment and short-term head formation. Why bother?
3. Eight Honors and Eight Disgraces in the Operation of Leading Shares
Be proud of loving the faucet and ashamed of being afraid of it;
Proud of planned operation, ashamed of impulse;
Proud of operating the faucet, ashamed of operating the follow-up walk-on;
Be proud of entering the real faucet and ashamed of entering the fake faucet by mistake;
Be proud of riding the dragon at last, and be ashamed of getting off the bus halfway;
Be proud of determination and ashamed of hesitation;
Proud of following the trend, ashamed of subjective guessing;
Be proud of making money and ashamed of losing money.
Four, three conditions to become a leader
According to different sectors, leading stocks are divided into concept leader, industry leader, style leader and regional leader. This paper only thinks about conceptual leadership.
After a large number of case studies, I found that a stock must have three conditions at the same time to become a concept leader, which can be summarized in Mandarin as "technical support, theme promotion and capital promotion."
1, technical support
Whether it is a long-term main force or a short-term main force (typical representative is hot money), their information ability is very strong. Trading is a four-step process of "opening positions, washing dishes, pulling up and shipping", but the style and rhythm are different.
Step 1: Bottom horizontal plate (opening position).
They knew in advance that a stock would have a big theme, so they began to quietly and patiently attract funds at the bottom, and people abandoned me to take it.
Step 2: Kill waterfalls and dig holes (wash dishes).
Before the big theme comes out, they will use some chips to kill the last batch of cheap chips. Before washing dishes, there is often a morphological feature, which I call "process feature", that is, short-term average (MA 5/ 10/20) adhesion; In the process of washing dishes, the shrinkage drops, and empty positions are arranged. In short, the shape of the main rising wave before it starts is always ugly and scary.
Step 3: Break through the daily limit (pull up).
The daily limit starts the main rising wave, and the faucet is also this feature.
As soon as the big theme came out, the main force pulled out the daily limit and announced to the world: "There is a main force doing this stock, which is going to rise sharply. Come with me! "
At this time, the ultimate feature of leading technology came out, that is, "periodic * * * vibration"-all kdj of monthly line, weekly line and daily line are gold forks. At the same time, it can also be clearly seen that with the end of the dishwashing, the trading volume began to moderate, and it was not until the daily limit that a huge amount was released (a few stocks were not heavy because of the high control), which was the coordination of quantity and price, and quantity and price came first. 2. The theme was born
I call the reason for the daily limit of stocks "the birth factor".
Divided into three categories: government policies at all levels, major social events, and the company itself;
The force that drives the stock price to rise is called "accelerating force".
Identified by 1 ~ 5 stars.
1. Governments at all levels, including the national level, ministries and commissions, provinces and cities (municipalities directly under the Central Government), prefectures and counties, obviously have the strongest policies at the national level, such as the report of the 18th National Congress, the pilot policy of financial system reform, and the recent work arrangements for soil environmental protection and comprehensive management.
2. Major social events, including domestic and international events, such as the Diaoyu Islands dispute, Obama's implementation of the new cybersecurity policy, Samsung's mobile phone shipments are twice that of Apple, the gutter oil incident, and the plasticizer incident.
3, the company itself is good, such as restructuring, uncapping, mining, major technological breakthroughs, high transfer.
From another dimension, the above three factors can be divided into two categories: direct correlation and indirect correlation. Obviously, the direct correlation is stronger.