The reasons for the off-duty year of 202 1 are as follows:
1, reason 1: the electricity consumption increases in winter.
Different from the north, there is no heating in the south in winter, and places like Hunan, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Anhui rely on air conditioning to adjust indoor temperature in winter. For example, in June and February of 5438 last year, Changsha imposed a power cut. At that time, the notice was caused by insufficient electricity and high power consumption pressure. At that time, my friend's industrial park was blacked out during the day, so I had to go to work wrapped in clothes, otherwise it would be very uncomfortable.
2. Reason 2: The price of coal has risen.
According to the data, from late August to June 10, the price of thermal coal futures continued to soar, from less than 800 yuan/ton to 1982.0 yuan/ton. As of the close of 10, the price is 1835.6 yuan/ton.
The reason for the increase in coal prices is that mining has declined due to environmental protection and other factors. In addition, commodities such as oil and natural gas are rising all over the world, which has also pushed up coal prices to some extent.
Generally speaking, the power order of 202 1 is related to the decrease of natural gas energy and the increase of raw materials, while the severe power restriction in the second half of the year is caused by the increase of electricity consumption in winter and the continuous increase of coal prices.
When will the power go out?
The end time of the power rationing order varies from place to place. For example, 202 1 Ningxia power rationing period: energy-intensive enterprises stop using for one month. This round of power rationing in Jiangsu starts from September 15, and the execution time is 15 days, so the end time is September 30 (Thursday).
202 1 Guangdong power rationing scheme: the power scheme of "starting two and stopping five" will be implemented from September 16, and off-peak duty will be realized on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Only the security power load is reserved on off-peak days, and the security load is below 15% of the total load, and the end period is to be determined, possibly in 10.
However, the latest notice of power rationing in Anhui Province indicates that orderly power consumption will be implemented from September 22nd, but the power supply and demand are tight in June of May 438+/KLOC-0, and the power rationing period may be further extended.