* Dow 165438+ 10 cumulative 13%, making it the best month since June 1987.

* The organization predicts that the sales of Black Five will reach 8.9 89- 106 billion.

* Goldman Sachs predicts that the vaccination rate in developed countries will reach 70% next autumn.

Investors expect the handover of the White House to be smooth and the vaccine will be delivered soon. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Nasdaq Index closed at record highs on Friday. At the close, the Dow rose 37.9 points to 299 1 1.4 points; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 8.7 points, or 0.2%, to 3,638.4 points. The Nasdaq outperformed other stock indexes, rising11.4 points, or 0.9%, to 12205.9 points. The day after Thanksgiving, the US stock market closed three hours earlier.

Retail stocks strengthened on "Black Friday" (hereinafter referred to as "Black Friday"), and retail ETF of Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPDR S&; P retail ETF) closed up 0.9%, hitting a new high. Etsy, the e-commerce platform, rose by 10.7%, while Gap closed up by 0.7%. Technology stocks performed well, with Netflix up 1.3%, Amazon up 0.3% and Tesla up 2. 1%, with a market value of $545.8 billion, surpassing Berkshire Hathaway and becoming the sixth largest US company.

The organization predicts that the sales of "Black Five" will reach 8.9 89- 106 billion.

Shopping malls are no longer long queues, parking lots are deserted, and there are more clerks than customers ... The "Black Five" under the epidemic is completely different from previous years, but the market still expects that this year's "Black Five" will set a sales record.

Adobe Analytics, a data analysis company, predicts that the sales of Black Friday and Cyber Monday will be record this year, in which the sales of Black Friday will reach $8.9 89- 106 billion, and the online sales of the whole holiday season will reach $/kloc-0.08 billion. According to the agency's statistics, online sales increased by nearly 2 1.5% year-on-year to 5 1 billion dollars, a record, and nearly half of the sales were completed on the mobile side. The above data is in line with the expectations of retailers and industry observers, that is, during the epidemic, consumers avoid shopping in stores and choose online shopping.

The National Retail Federation of the United States previously released a report, predicting that the retail sales excluding auto dealers, gas stations and restaurants in February this year will be between 755.3 billion and 766.7 billion US dollars, up 3.6%-5.2% year-on-year, and online and store-free sales will increase by 20% compared with last year.

Goldman Sachs predicts that the vaccination rate in developed countries will reach 70% next autumn.

The gradual clarity of the election also eased market sentiment, and the VIX panic index, which represents market volatility, fell below 20 for the first time since late February. According to foreign media reports, US President Trump said on Thursday night that if the electoral college chooses Biden as the US president, he will leave the White House. He also said that the vaccine will be delivered as soon as next week.

Goldman Sachs predicts that by the middle of next year, a large number of people in major developed economies will be vaccinated with COVID-19 vaccine, which will promote a sharp rebound in global economic growth. The bank's economists Jan Hatzius and Daan Struyven published a report, predicting that the high-risk population in the United States will take the lead in vaccination in mid-June, 65,438+February, 50% of the British people will be vaccinated in March next year, the United States and Canada will reach this vaccination ratio in April, and the European Union, Australia and Japan will be vaccinated in May. Next autumn, the vaccination rate in developed economies will exceed 70%.

Dow 165438+ 10 cumulative 13%, making it the best month since June 1987.

To sum up, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose by 2.2% and 2.3% respectively, and the Nasdaq Index rose by nearly 3%. This week, the three major indexes closed above the 30,000-point integer mark for the first time, and the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap stocks, hit record highs. On a monthly basis, the positive progress in vaccine research and development made US stocks record a strong rise 1 1 in June. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased by 12.9% since the beginning of the month, or the best month since June 1987. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Nasdaq Index rose 1 1 respectively. The Russell 2000 index soared by 20%, which is expected to be the biggest monthly increase in history. Value stocks performed brilliantly, and Ishares Russell 1000 Value ETF (IShares Russell 1000 Value ETF) rose by 15% this month.

Bill Northey, senior investment director of wealth management at Bank of America, said that as the vaccine approached the market and the market fully participated in the rising process, we saw the funds shift to sectors that were more seriously damaged during the epidemic. When the epidemic turns to safety, previously suppressed economic activities and overstocked demand will gradually return. Mike Zigmont, head of trading and research at Harvest Volatility Managemen, an investment company, said that the performance of the stock market this week and this month showed that market confidence continued to increase and the market environment tended to be favorable to risky assets.

European stocks and crude oil

The good news of the vaccine has made investors ignore the recent deterioration of the epidemic and hope that the economy will accelerate its recovery next year. European stock markets closed higher on Friday, rising for the fourth consecutive week. The pan-European STOXX600 index closed up 0.4%, with a cumulative increase of 0.93% this week; Germany DAX index closed up 49. 1 point, or 0.4%, to 13335.7 points; Britain's FTSE 100 index rose slightly by 4.7 points to 6367.6 points; The French CAC40 index closed at 5598.2 points, up 0.6%.

Since the plunge triggered by COVID-19 in March, the STOXX600 index has increased by 40%, and 165438+ 10 is expected to record the best month in history, but the increase of infection cases in some European countries has limited the increase. Last Friday, the number of confirmed cases in COVID-19 exceeded 1 10,000, and the death toll in a single day reached a new high.

In terms of crude oil, WTI crude oil futures fell 40 cents, or 0.9%, to close at $45.32/barrel on Friday. Brent crude oil futures rose 19 cents, or 0.4%, to $47.99 a barrel. These two oils are boosted by vaccine news, and they are rising by about 7% every week.