Affected by the decrease in supply, the price of rapeseed in China has been rising recently, which has also driven the price of rapeseed to rise. The market just needs rapeseed oil, so the prices of rapeseed oil and rapeseed will continue to rise in a short time.
The reporter learned that the price of domestic imported rapeseed oil has shown a strong shock trend recently. As of March 18, the closing price of the main contract of rapeseed oil futures was 6943 yuan/ton, up 247 yuan/ton from February, or 3.69%, or 8.38% from 20 18 in the same period. Spot prices also follow the disk price increase. Zhang Deqiang, an analyst with Zhuo Chuang Information, said that the current price increase of domestic rapeseed oil is mainly affected by the decrease of imported rapeseed oil and the constant demand.
In recent years, with the decline of domestic rapeseed production year by year, the domestic rapeseed oil production has also decreased, and the overall domestic rapeseed oil supply has continued to decline, especially the large amount of rapeseed oil reserved by the state, which has led to a significant decrease in rapeseed oil supply. Although the supply and demand of rapeseed oil market are basically in a balanced state at present, the price of rapeseed oil has remained strong for a long time.
The increase in rapeseed oil prices has led to a slight increase in domestic rapeseed prices, and farmers' planting income will increase. At the same time, relevant domestic departments have proposed to strengthen the development of rape planting in the Yangtze River basin, and some provinces may implement planting subsidy policies, which is also a favorable factor for farmers. Generally speaking, it is more favorable to plant rape this year.
In 20 19, domestic rapeseed production will continue to decrease, and domestic rapeseed oil supply will also continue to decrease. It is estimated that the total supply of rapeseed oil in China in 20 19 will be lower than that in 20 18. Due to the rigid demand for rapeseed oil in southwest China and other regions, it will support the price increase of rapeseed oil. Therefore, Zhuo Chuang predicted that the domestic rapeseed oil price of 20 19 would be higher than that of 20 18 due to the decline in supply.
At present, rape in many southern areas has just finished wintering. Wang Hongbin, the stationmaster of the Grain and Oil Station of the Agricultural Technology Comprehensive Service Center in Feidong County, Anhui Province, said that overall, the local weather is good this year, and the rape is growing better than in previous years. Farmers need to pay attention to disease prevention.
Wang Hongbin: Farmers need to pay attention to the prevention and control of rape late diseases. Need to spray the corresponding sterilization agent for prevention and control.
In terms of variety selection, Wang Hongbin believes that the current rape varieties can be roughly divided into hybrid varieties and common varieties. The two varieties have their own characteristics, and farmers can choose according to their own needs.
Wang Hongbin: Hybrid rape has higher oil yield and better growth; The output of conventional varieties is relatively small, but the taste of oil is better, and it is also cold-resistant and disease-resistant. If the scale is relatively small, try to choose varieties; If the planting area is large, you can choose two varieties. If sowing is late, choose a variety that is relatively cold-resistant and has a shorter growth period.
In addition, Wang Hongbin told reporters that in addition to oil extraction, there are some rapeseed varieties specially used for planting.
Wang Hongbin: At present, rape flowers are generally yellow, and some specially cultivated varieties are purple for viewing. Ornamental rape flowers are planted around Huangshan, Wuyuan, Jiangxi and Chaohu Lake, and these flowers can also be used as green manure.
The reporter learned that Jiangxi scientific research team has cultivated 17 rape varieties, 9 of which have reached a stable state; Zhenhai, Zhejiang Province has also launched a variety of rape flower viewing projects. If farmers have the idea of traveling, they might as well try these colorful rapeseed varieties.