Analysis of Corn Price in the First Half of 2022
The domestic corn market is stable and strong, and the purchase price of corn by enterprises in some areas is raised by 10-20 yuan/ton, and the downstream stocking boosts the market years ago:
Corn prices in Northeast China fluctuated slightly. Individual enterprises in Heilongjiang continue to reduce the purchase price of corn by about 10 yuan. Some enterprises in Jilin raised their prices by about 20 yuan/ton.
The corn market in Huanghuai producing area of North China is running strongly. The price of corn in Shandong province has been rising continuously, and the increase rate has expanded. At present, seven deep processing enterprises have raised the purchase price of corn 10-20 yuan/ton.
The northern port market is firm: the price of corn in Jinzhou, Liaoning Province rose slightly, and the price of mainstream ports was 2580 yuan/ton -2630 yuan/ton, up by 5 yuan/ton compared with yesterday.
The market in the southern marketing area continued to stabilize, and the downstream breeding end mainly reserved high-quality dry corn, and the replenishment was basically completed in the middle of this month. The recovery of bulk grain has accelerated, the enthusiasm of feed mills for inquiry has increased, and the market is expected to remain stable.
Therefore, on the whole, it is expected that the corn price will remain high in the first half of 2022. Especially with the arrival of the Spring Festival, people's demand for corn is increasing gradually, and the price is unlikely to drop sharply.
Moreover, in the first half of 2022, the market will gradually change from a single supply of new and old corn to a centralized supply of diversified corn varieties.
Corn price in 2022
Although the price of corn is somewhat backward compared with last year, from the situation of other years. At present, the situation of grain sales is very optimistic, with rapid progress, and the circulation of grain sources in northeast producing areas is good.
As a result, the selling pressure expected by all parties in the early stage may be alleviated after the year, which means that the concentrated plunge market after the year may be "diluted".
Therefore, in the short term, the price of corn fluctuated little before the Spring Festival, or rebounded slightly due to a wave of stocking.
After 2022, the corn price trend will be adjusted according to the supply and demand pattern, and the high-quality grain source will continue to remain firm. However, the sale of grain by some farmers may lead to a decline in prices, but in the first half of this year, we generally tend to "suppress first and then promote".