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Will flour skyrocket in 2022?
I will.

First, the reasons for the skyrocketing flour:

1, the demand for flour increased. With the decrease of temperature, the arrival of the peak season of flour sales, the epidemic situation in some areas, and the large consumption of many enterprises preparing for New Year's Day and Spring Festival, the demand for flour increased, and residents in some areas snapped up flour, which led to a certain increase in the market price of flour, which led to an increase in the price of wheat.

International wheat is on the rise. China is one of the major wheat importers in the world 10, and China's total wheat imports account for 4 1% of the global total. Due to the epidemic situation in COVID-19, the continuous consumption of mutant strains and the speculation of international speculative capital, the international wheat price has remained at a high level. It is understood that in 2026, the wheat futures price of 5438+0 broke through the highest record in 9 years. Driven by the rise in global wheat prices, domestic wheat prices.

Since the beginning of this year, the price of wheat has been rising well. Since August, the price of wheat has been at a high level, but it rose to historical highs in1October and 1 1 month. It's 65438+February, about one month before New Year's Day and two months before Spring Festival. According to previous years' experience, the price of wheat mainly rose before New Year's Day and the year before, so there is still room for wheat to rise, but if it is to rise to 65438+.

Second, 65438+February wheat price market analysis

1, now it is only 1-2 months away from New Year's Day and Spring Festival, while the price of wheat was mainly rising during this period years ago. First, at present, the price of wheat will remain basically stable, and it is unlikely to rise or fall. Second, at present, the global wheat supply is insufficient, the exporting countries restrict the wheat export quota, and the importing countries need to increase the wheat grain reserve, which will aggravate the global wheat supply shortage. Third, affected by the Nyirana phenomenon, the sowing of winter wheat this year has been delayed for two months, which will also have a certain impact on the spring harvest next year. These factors have boosted wheat prices, so there is still room for a slight increase in wheat prices.

2. Although the current wheat market continues to rise, it should be considered that the rise of wheat price is mainly passive, which is different from the corn market. At present, domestic wheat stocks are abundant, and the supply and demand of the rising market lack favorable support. In addition, the recent increase in wheat is mainly affected by domestic flour demand and international factors. Now the sales volume of flour is declining, the temporary storage of wheat is increasing, and the price of wheat will change. It is not ruled out that there will be shocks and falls. Therefore, the timely sale of surplus grain can effectively avoid the decline of wheat prices in the later period.