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Probability, compound interest, model and high province
Good evening, guys. I'm Gu Lou, the leader of the Million Dollar Team of Goldman Sachs and the founder of the Gu Lou Team. I am very happy to share such a topic with you tonight: probability, compound interest, model, Goldman Sachs.

High-province APP has higher commission, better mode and no loss of end users. Goldman Sachs is a platform that saves money and commissions for personal use, and makes more money through sharing and promotion. Baidu has a million reports and looks forward to your joining. Gu Lou, the invitation code for Gao Sheng is 555888. After registering, he will send two Crown members and a promotional package of 10000 yuan to teach you how to become a million-dollar team at 1.

There is a sentence in The Godfather that I admire most: The person who spends half a second to see the essence of things and the person who spends his whole life to see the essence of things are doomed to be completely different fates. When applied to high provinces, people who spend half a second to see the essence of high provinces and those who spend their whole lives to see the essence of high provinces are doomed to be completely different incomes.

It is difficult to look at Gao Province with traditional thinking concept. High province is a compound interest mathematical model based on big data probability statistics. To become a high province, we must know how these mechanisms work. Maybe some people have a big head when they hear probability numbers. It doesn't matter. We just need to know the rules of this course. Just like why the earth goes around the sun, we don't need complicated mathematical deduction and calculation. We just need to understand this law and use it for us.

Part I: Probability

According to the survey data, on average, about 100 team members will do something. Yes, a productive team may have one person working in a dozen or twenty people, and some people may even have one in almost 200 people. Since we use probability, we all use average value to calculate.

A small group of friends in our Gu Lou team will know that there is a hard goal in the class, that is, to achieve a team of 10,000 people, we must directly push it to 200 people. Why this number, not others? The fission of 200 people is a high probability event (remember the conclusion directly and don't get entangled in how this number is obtained). Just like buying a lottery ticket, it is possible to win a prize by buying one, but this is a small probability event. On the contrary, the more you buy, the higher the probability of winning. To be a high province, don't have any illusions and luck. Although a few people may push a few people to do things through fission, we must believe in the probability of big data. More people, dozens of people do things. If you want a team of 10,000 people to split, the first step is to push 200 people directly. This is a hard index, which is determined by probability. So my friends, the next step is to find a way to push 200 people directly, which is the basis of fission.

Part II: Compound interest

Compound interest seems to be known to everyone, but it is more unknown. Friends who have done stocks and futures may have a deeper understanding of compound interest.

When it comes to compound interest, we often quote the story that the king rewarded the chess inventor Wheat. It is said that the king will reward the inventor of chess and ask him what he wants. The inventor said, how much do you want wheat? The rule is simple, that is, put 1 wheat in the first grid, put 2 wheat in the second grid, and push them in turn. The latter is twice as big as the former, and the chessboard grid can be filled. There are always 64 squares in that chessboard, and the king sounds relaxed. On the surface, it seems that there are not many, all of which start with 1 grain, but in fact, the 64th power of 2 is an astronomical number, which cannot be reached by wheat all over the world.

Goldman Sachs, its model is the same as this one. The time for everyone to find themselves is doubled. Each interval is a grid. Of course, as the team gets bigger, the time interval will be a little longer. Of course, the market will not be infinite, and the speed will slow down after the dividend period. Therefore, the friends who have already got on the bus must cherish the opportunity, work hard, work hard, and work hard again.

In June of 5438+ 10, the individual made an estimate of Goldman Sachs as a whole, and by the end of the year, the plate should be at least 20 times.

Let's make a hypothesis here. In the first month, Xiao Wang has a team of 100 people, and keeps doubling every month. After 65,438+00 months, he changed 2 to the power of 65,438+00, which is a multiple of 65,438+0024. A team of100,000 people has it! Is Xiao Wang awesome? Don't! It is compound interest. It's horrible! Of course, Xiao Wang has to work harder and do it.

Doubling every month, in fact, many of us can do it, and even many people can double it in two or three weeks. But why did very few people really do it? Because the front is too difficult, he will often fall into a strange circle of pain, hesitation, wandering, and even self-doubt and self-platform. This led him to often fish for three days and dry his net for two days.

And if you put your heart and soul into it, it will double every February, and even in the 10 month in the middle of the year, there will only be 3,200 people. Considering that you have worked hard for half a year and earned this money (as mentioned in the later model, this figure is tentatively set at 1000 yuan), it is not worth working for a month.

However, miracles, miracles will appear in the next six months. The next year, a miracle happened. The team has reached 65438+ 10,000 people. The monthly income will reach 20 thousand to 30 thousand In the middle of the year, it is best to move bricks with a monthly income of 1000, but after the year, it is a small boss with a monthly income of tens of thousands. Einstein said: compound interest is the eighth wonder in the world, but few people let it happen to them.

Explain the jaw-dropping place of compound interest from another angle. Assuming that it doubles every month according to the ideal model, if the total profit in the first year is 200,000, how much will you earn in the next 1 month? The answer is: 200 thousand! 1 month is the last 1 year! ! ! ! So how much will you earn in the next 1 month, the sum of the past, that is, the previous 1 year plus the previous 1 month, 400,000! ! ! !

Now Goldman Sachs is in front of your eyes. It is compound interest. It is a miracle. Do you want to watch it slip away?

Many people can't persist because their eyes are in the wrong place! I often tell my friends in our team that we must keep an eye on the team, not on the income and not on some orders. Because it is natural for the team to expand its scale and make money. On the contrary, if you stare at making money and some orders all day, you will feel depressed and lose confidence, but you could have done it! ! ! I never care how much money I earn. I only care about the team's daily compound interest growth rate.

Goldman Sachs is a profiteering project, and it will take one or two years to become a compound interest model of 100 times. But as Ma Yun said: Today is cruel, tomorrow is even more cruel, and the day after tomorrow will be beautiful, but most people will die tomorrow night.

Part III: Model.

Remember a few models:

Monthly income = 1/3* team number; Daily income = number of teams/100;

Team number = cumulative income *5

Double 1 1 daily income = 1/3* team number.

Let me show you two pictures. )

The order of magnitude of 30000, the order of magnitude of 3000, is in direct proportion to the number of people and accumulated income, which is what a fast-growing team should look like. On the other hand, the gap is 10 times, which is very big, isn't it? Actually, about a month. Little friends who are still waiting and hesitating, act quickly. Time can't afford to delay. The delay of 1 week is 1 time, and the delay of 1 month is1time!

So, now, build a team before Shuang 1 1, even if the ability is similar, it is not bad to build hundreds or thousands of people. Double 1 1 can earn so much on the same day, and it will feel very cool!

The proportion of the total number of people in the team to the total number of people in your direct promotion will gradually increase over time. It can be increased to a dozen or twenty times or even a hundred times.

What do you mean? For example, if you directly push 100 people, the total number of people in the team may be only 200, with a ratio of 2; Directly push 200 people, and the total number of team members may be 800, with a ratio of 4. When you directly push 1 0,000 people, the total number of team members may be 1 0, and the proportion will reach 10. The later the time, the greater the proportion.

Based on the model, all numbers can be calculated, just like distance = time * speed, which is why I said that after six weeks, we can achieve 1 10,000 people, and after eight weeks, we can achieve 1 10,000 people. It's too little to earn thirty or fifty dollars a day, but it's 10 times after six weeks and 100 times after eight weeks. Are you envious?

Repeat the following sentence: from 1 0,000 to 1 0,000, from 1 0,000 to 1 0,000, from 1 0,000 to 1 0,000.

Pushing 200 people directly is the beginning of fission, boiling to 1 1,000 people is the beginning of hope, reaching 1 1,000 people, falling behind all the way. Although everyone's ability is different and the time spent is different, the effect of multiplication is the same. Remember: compound interest takes time!

The volume of fission is completed in different levels, and the speed of fission is directly determined by deduction.

A team of 1 10,000 people, not the captain himself directly pushed 500,000 people, he probably directly pushed thousands of people! Most of it comes from the fission layer by layer below.

The fission rate is determined by direct deduction. Don't think that 10 people, 1 day promotes 5 people, which seems to be half slow. What I can tell you is that the longer the time, the bigger the gap will be. 1 year later, the monthly income may even be hundreds of thousands and thousands. Sounds exaggerated, right? But actually, I'm not kidding. Think about the 6th and 4th powers of 2. What is the difference? One is 64 and the other is 2048, which is dozens of times worse! So 1 year later, the monthly income gap will be dozens of times! ! !

So, if you are interested in achieving a life counterattack through high provinces, what should you do next? Try to increase direct promotion every day. Don't think it doesn't matter if you promote 1 more or 1 less. This is very important. If you can do more 1, you must never do less 1. You must try to set daily goals, push yourself, push yourself. After 1 year, the geometry will change greatly.

Someone saw that my team has 3,000 people, and the accumulated income is only 1500 yuan. There are 3,000 others, and the accumulated income is 3,000 yuan. What does this mean? This shows that my team is splitting too fast! Imagine that if the number of team members stops driving growth and the commission continues to increase, the gap will narrow. So ladies and gentlemen, the bigger the gap, the faster your fission speed, which is the speed that high-level elites should have!

To put it another way, some people say that 3,000 people earn 50 yuan every day, while other 3,000 people earn 200 yuan every day. Well, I multiply it by 10 times a month. Not enough, right? Then I multiply it by 10, and in February I multiply it by 100. Do you think it is much? So remember what we said before, focus on team speed, not money itself. As long as the team does well, it is natural to make money.

Leave a question to ponder: If the team earns 1 10,000 people to advertise in 30 yuan, and the team earns 20,000 yuan to advertise in 1 10,000 people, are the users the same?

This sharing has come to an end temporarily, and the summary is as follows:

(1) directly pushing 200 people will produce fission.

It takes time to compound interest. No matter how small the starting point is, perseverance will eventually create miracles.

(3) staring at the team, not staring at the money, and getting the team together will naturally make money.

④ Pushing 65,438+0 every day is 65,438+0, and after 65,438+0 years, there will be a gap in geometric series.