Since the listing of this year's apple, it has been affecting the hearts of fruit farmers. Because compared with the price of apples in the first half of the year, the gap between the two is simply "ice and fire" after a large number of apples are listed in the second half of the year. So now that apples are cheap, can you make money by selling tens of thousands of pounds of new year's goods? To know the answer, we must first understand the market.

1. The basic situation of apple inventory demand has been suppressed this year, but the supply side is abundant. Many fruit farmers have also joined the ranks of purchasing and storage this year. The storage of northwest fruit farmers is passive, and most of them are stocks after the first frost. Futures and fruit farmers' warehouses are stored in iron shelves in the form of money. At present, after purchasing and selling apples through various channels in Gansu Province, the overall sales situation has gradually entered a benign channel. Except for sales, fruits are basically put into storage; However, fruit farmers in Shandong Province actively put into storage. At present, some small warehouses are close to Man Ku, and the proportion of fruits and agricultural products in large warehouses exceeds 60%.

2. The inventory of different fruit farmers and merchants is the difference between medium general goods and good goods. Before and after the year, medium-sized general commodities flow quickly and are out of stock, which is conducive to the price increase of good goods for merchants after the year. If you don't leave the goods before the year, the market is not good after the year, and the sales cycle is lengthened, then in the critical period of April and May, the quality problems of fruits and agricultural products will go away, and the merchants will break even or make a small profit.

3. Sales before the Spring Festival According to previous years' experience, during the Spring Festival, the consumption of apples was the largest, accounting for about 10% of the annual sales. It is estimated that the sales of fresh fruits in other producing areas will basically end before the Spring Festival, and the customs fruit export tax rebate will be increased from 5% to 9%, which is likely to rebound before and after the Spring Festival.

In this way, according to the market situation and judgment, good goods have basically been put in storage or sold out. If you want to buy goods now, it can only be medium-sized goods, and it is still possible to make money, but the market is changing rapidly. This analysis is only for reference.

The above is my personal opinion, thanks for browsing.