The corn market has been unstable. Although ups and downs are common, recently many people are concerned about whether corn prices can break through the 1.5 yuan mark. In fact, the influence of corn in the market is also good. Four shocks and three benefits may be an important factor in determining the price trend of corn.
Four shocks
1, inventory impact of wheat and rice
In fact, not only ordinary consumers buy corn, but also many factories and feed processing enterprises buy corn as processing raw materials. At present, the stocks of wheat and rice in China are very heavy, which add up to about 200 million tons. Many factories bought these wheat and rice as raw materials instead of corn. This has caused the price of corn to go up, which has a great impact on the market price of corn.
2. The impact of imported corn
The quantity of corn imported from China has greatly increased, with a year-on-year increase of 506% only in March last year, reaching 193438+00000 tons. According to the forecast, the import of corn this year may be three times that of last year. Imports of corn substitutes such as sorghum and barley are also increasing. These factors are unfavorable to the corn market and one of the reasons for the decline in corn prices.
3. The influence of expanding corn planting area.
When the price of corn peaked, many farmers got high incomes, but some farmers were greedy and planted a lot of corn with the wind. In this way, the sown area of corn has been expanded and the yield has been greatly improved. The relationship between supply and demand in the market is fundamentally unbalanced. Under the strong competition, it is only a matter of time before corn prices fall. This also tells us a truth, don't plant crops blindly, otherwise you will suffer and lose money.
4. The influence of national policies.
When the price of corn was too high some time ago, in order to stabilize the price and balance the market, the state introduced some relevant policies to control the price of corn. These measures include reducing the amount of corn in feed and reducing the processed products with corn as raw material. These measures are undoubtedly a huge blow to the price of corn, which is not conducive to the corn market getting better again.
Second, three major benefits.
1, consumption increment
As an important feed, corn is also indispensable in aquaculture. With the increase of the profit of aquaculture, a large number of farmers have expanded the number of pigs, and the production capacity has begun to recover rapidly. The development of pig breeding industry will also drive the sales of corn feed, which will not only make the market of corn better, but also raise the price of corn to a certain extent.
Global food prices are rising.
Due to the epidemic situation, climate and other reasons, the food crisis began to appear, and global food prices rose sharply. The number of hungry people in the world has reached a new high, and the demand for food is far from enough, which is a very short state. In this case, the domestic corn price has an advantage, and the corn market may become clear.
However, the food crisis is not a trivial matter. In the case of global food shortage, we should still cherish and protect food. Moreover, the price of imported corn will also be raised, so people's desire to buy imported corn will be greatly reduced, thus turning to buying domestic corn.
3. Expand production and processing.
Now, with the rapid development of agricultural industrialization, the corn processing capacity of many factories has been improved. Driven by the development of industrialization, a lot of corn needs to be consumed as raw material, so the demand for corn will rise rapidly. And the price of corn will also rise, and slowly gain a foothold in the market.
Summary:
In a word, the price and market situation of corn are unpredictable, and the four shocks and three positives have certain influence on it. Coupled with the weather, market supply and demand, the psychology of buyers and sellers, it is really difficult to judge the price trend of corn. However, no matter whether the price of corn goes up or down, we just need to keep a rational attitude and accept it frankly.
The four major impacts on corn prices are actually only temporary and not enough to pose a big threat. However, the three advantages may have a more important impact on it, so there are still many people who are very optimistic about the price trend of corn and predict that corn will break through the 1.5 yuan mark. If it can rise to this level, it is undoubtedly good news for farmers. If not, don't be too discouraged.