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The futures market began to fall, and I wanted to chase empty orders, but I was afraid of bottoming out and pulling up in the opposite direction. What should I do?
Fundamentally speaking, what does this question mean:

The futures market has begun to fall. What should I do if I want to chase empty orders and don't want to lose money?

What you want is a road that runs directly in your direction as soon as you enter the arena, and this road does not exist at all.

Many people think that the so-called master trader is the kind of trader who has the overall situation and a single hand. Others think that the so-called trader is a person who starts directly from a single order and has a terrible sense of explosion …

In fact, the mistake is outrageous. Based on the uncertainty of K-line trend, everyone knows nothing about how to go to the next K-line. A real master trader can make huge profits, not lose money by making a single order. Real master traders rely on losing less when they lose, earning more when they earn, and accumulating over time, forming positive income expectations.

So, you need to understand one thing. You can't run away if you pull this thing in the opposite direction when you hit the bottom. You can't avoid the fact that you are losing money in the opposite direction.

What you need to do is, when this happens, try to control your losses and your own risks.

Accept this situation frankly and try to control it with trading rules. This is the direction you should take.

Therefore, the suggestion is not to be afraid, stop loss directly …

In fact, this can't be blamed. It should be said that most traders in the market think so. First of all, Xiao Lao should explain a logical basis-as technology traders, we should stop forecasting the future market or try to avoid forecasting the market.

Xiao Lao knows it's hard to do. Based on the impact of the withdrawal of the disk market on your position, the average person 100% cannot stand idly by. If you want to know that you really want to analyze the market in the world, just as a "chess player" rather than a "chess player", then what does the winner of this chess game mean to you?

Take the time to buy a self-satisfaction.

Think about it, if there is a moderate decline in the calm market interface, then the subsequent moderate rise is bound to be a high probability event, and the sharp decline is often accompanied by a sharp rise.

There is a misunderstanding in the topic here. Pulling up may not necessarily bottom out. Sometimes too much staged rebound will make you stop loss, even if it is too late to stop loss.

In fact, chasing empty orders is not terrible. Many trading experts are also chasing up and down. The problem is not to be too "head-tied" when chasing. In fact, once your mind is stubborn, it is useless to set a stop loss order. After all, the final execution still depends on your own execution (including programming).

In other words, if you are quite sure that this wave of market is "bottoming out", then you should decisively go against the order or at least choose not to do it. If it is empty, you can choose to stop loss (take profit) and wait and see.

No one can accurately judge the market. Staged prediction is only speculation, but some are subjective and some are based on objective logic. Perhaps objective logic is more correct, but you can't say it's 100% accuracy. I'm afraid no one can do it.

So, let's think ahead. If the worst happens, or 1% is an "impossible event", what are the coping strategies? How much should the stop loss be set? In case the market is too sudden to stop loss, do you want to chase the loss? You have to think about it first.

In short, the big market correction is not terrible, and it is not terrible not to follow your expectations, because most of the market conditions will not follow our expectations, and the route is unpredictable. The crux of the problem is that traders need to calculate in advance how to design their own coping strategies to prevent the opposite, which is the most important thing in trading.

The question you asked is very common and simple. As long as you are doing financial transactions, futures or stocks, there is always the possibility that the price will develop in the opposite direction when placing an order. If you're afraid of this, don't trade. What are we doing? What are we doing? Isn't it the possibility of trading? ! Trading is a high probability possibility.

According to your description, the market has started to fall. If you are short, your trading logic is that there is a high probability that the current price will fall. Since we have chosen a high probability, why are we afraid of a low probability? Just like it may rain every day, don't you go out as usual? Why? There is little possibility of rain.

Maybe it's bad luck. It was sunny when I went out, and it rained after a few steps. It's normal. Is there an emergency in the sky? A small probability may not happen. Then take an umbrella before you go out, just in case. The umbrella in the transaction is the stop loss point. In your question, you mentioned that you were afraid of reverse pull-up, so you set a stop loss. If you really hit a stop loss, admit the loss.

The above is my personal understanding and handling of this problem. I wonder if I can help you. If the friends you see have different opinions, please leave a message to discuss. Thank you!

In futures trading, we should avoid the words "think" and "fear".

If you are dominated by words such as "thinking" and "fear", then completely exposing your transaction to human weakness will lead to two extremely serious consequences: one is loss, and the other is anxiety.

Of course, human nature is full of "thinking" and "fear". "Thinking" is greed and "fear" is fear.

How to solve this problem? -formulate rules and use them to avoid the weakness of human nature.

After you have the rules, it is up to the rules to judge whether you should chase empty orders. What about bottoming out? Leave it to the rules to judge.

Of course, the formulation of rules needs a reasonable and appropriate method.

Answer your question with the recent trend of methanol futures and follow yongan futures all the way to the end.