Professor He Xiurong from the School of Economics and Management of China Agricultural University pointed out that China imports about 80 million tons of soybeans every year. China needs about 600 million mu of cultivated land to produce soybeans of this scale, which will inevitably occupy other crops and industrial land. Generally speaking, it is not cost-effective. According to reports, soybeans are divided into oil beans and edible beans according to their uses. Imported soybeans such as the United States have high oil content and are suitable for oil extraction; Domestic soybeans are rich in protein and are suitable for processing into bean products such as tofu, soybean milk and yuba. So it is unrealistic to simply think that increasing domestic soybeans can reduce imported soybeans.

654.38+07,000 tons of American beans will enter China. Can soybeans in China be self-sufficient? Expert: Yes, but it is not necessary. However, Professor He pointed out that eating soybeans is easier to achieve self-sufficiency than eating oil beans, and now it has achieved fruitful results. Data show that China needs to consume about 25 million tons of edible soybeans every year. Last year, domestic soybean output reached 1865438+ 10,000 tons, which is not far from self-sufficiency. What is more gratifying is that China has made a new breakthrough in soybean yield per unit area, which will effectively help domestic soybeans achieve self-sufficiency. According to Xinhua News Agency on June 10 and 16, the soybean yield of a farming and animal husbandry cooperative in Nong 'an County, Jilin Province broke the provincial record. According to experts' calculations, cooperatives can harvest 4,535.25 kilograms of soybeans per hectare. Since the US Department of Agriculture released the quarterly planting intention report, the market focus began to focus on the South American soybean production forecast in April. The US Department of Agriculture's monthly report on soybean supply and demand in April showed that the soybean production in Brazil and Argentina were estimated to be 654.38+36 million tons and 47.5 million tons respectively, which remained high in the forecasts of various institutions.

Brazil's soybean harvest is coming to an end, and its supply capacity to the international market is greatly improved. The average daily shipment is nearly one million tons. Driven by low buying and strong spot, CBOT soybean futures market stopped falling and rebounded on Tuesday, and domestic soybean meal also stopped falling and kept a small fluctuation. With the continuous shipment of Brazilian soybeans, China's soybean imports will be at a high level in the coming months. According to the statistics of the Brazilian Ministry of Commerce and Trade, as of April 1 1, Brazilian soybean shipments were 5.785 million tons, with an average daily shipment of nearly 1 10,000 tons, reaching 964,200 tons/day, an increase of nearly 30% compared with 742,700 tons/day in the same period last year. According to the data released by the General Administration of Customs, China imported 7771.2000 tons of soybeans in March, up 8 1.65% year-on-year, setting a new record in the same period in history.

American soybeans "started underground" and lost the China market! Brazilian soybeans have reached170,000 tons. Judging from the overall domestic supply situation, the supply of soybean meal will continue to increase in the future. It is estimated that the total amount of imported soybeans in China will rise to 27 million tons from April to June, when the domestic soybean supply will be more relaxed, which further indicates that the decline in the operating rate of domestic oil plants is due to insufficient demand rather than shortage of soybean supply. However, demand consumption is the main reason to limit the price increase of soybean meal. African swine fever still occurs sporadically, the enthusiasm at the end of breeding is poor, and the demand for soybean meal in pig feed is reduced. However, with the arrival of the peak season of aquatic products, the soybean meal market may be boosted to some extent.