Since the beginning of this year, the price adjustment of most refined oil products has been raised, so it is a bit unexpected to lower the price. From the perspective of the refined oil price adjustment mechanism, the relevant departments will adjust the refined oil price according to the crude oil price in the international market, and the price adjustment period is 10 working days. When the price of crude oil in the international market is between 40- 130, the price of domestic refined oil will rise and fall. As far as the price of crude oil in the international market is concerned, it is at the price position of about 20 14, which is on the rise, so it is speculated that the price of refined oil will not fall in the short term.

1, the price of refined oil is affected by the price of crude oil and the supply and demand of international countries.

As long as the price of crude oil in the international market does not fall, the price of refined oil will not fall, and the international crude oil price depends on the prices of several oil-producing and consumer countries.

Judging from several oil-producing countries, they are the United States, Saudi Arabia, Russia and Canada. The United States still needs to import for its own production and marketing, and Russia and Ukraine are in conflict. Therefore, increasing production depends on the output of countries such as Saudi Arabia and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Only when oil production increases, international crude oil prices will fall.

With the recovery of epidemic situation, economic development and increasing demand, China and even other countries in the world are inseparable in their demand and dependence on crude oil, and there will be an upward trend. It is difficult for crude oil prices to fall to a certain extent at will, so it is difficult for refined oil products to fall.

2. In terms of domestic crude oil imports, the strong demand for crude oil makes it difficult for the price of refined oil to drop significantly.

China's crude oil import has increased from about 600 million tons of 200/kloc-0 to about 500 million tons now, and it is expected to reach about 700 million tons in 2030. With such a huge import volume and demand, it is difficult to reduce the price of crude oil and finished products.

If with the substitution and large-scale use of new energy, the dependence on crude oil will drop sharply, which may also lead to the decline of refined oil prices.

3. Judging from the adjustment mechanism of domestic refined oil prices, oil prices will not rise sharply again.

Refined oil pricing mechanism, when the international crude oil price hits the upper limit of $ 40- 130, the refined oil price will not be adjusted. Compared with the current international crude oil price of about 1 10, there is still some room for growth, but for domestic refined oil prices, it is close to the ceiling, so it is difficult to raise prices significantly.

As consumers who own oil cars, they still hope that oil prices will fall. After all, 300 yuan could fill a box of gas in those days. At present, it is a bit painful to fill a tank of oil close to 500 yuan.