However, I have been studying the development history of Mao Reconciliation (Red Army) recently, how the Red Army grew up, the example of the Red Army, the sudden epiphany, the nature of guerrilla warfare, and the reasons for its long-term persistence. There are three kinds of wars:
1. Guerrilla warfare-small-scale conflict
2. Mobile warfare-in fact, it is a large-scale guerrilla warfare.
3. positional warfare-decisive battle.
* * * and China played for so long, the final Armageddon was less than two years, and most of the time it was guerrilla warfare.
It was in guerrilla warfare that the * * * production party grew stronger and finally defeated the country. * * * Guerrilla warfare was also adopted during the War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression period, which gradually consumed Japanese troops and developed itself. Then, what is the difference between guerrilla warfare and positional warfare, and what are the similarities?
* * * Similarity: Concentrate superior forces and destroy the enemy.
Difference: Guerrilla warfare is to eat the enemy in some places where we are strong and we are weak in the general environment.
Positional warfare is to eat the enemy in a larger area in the big environment where our strong enemy is weak.
By extension, in the stock market, when the market is not conducive to many parties, how to find a local area that is beneficial to many parties, then shoot, destroy an enemy and run, earn a little, gradually expand yourself and wait for a decisive battle.
As we all know, when the EMA system is in a bullish position, the bulls are in a favorable position. That is to say, when it appeared.
MA30 & gtMA60 & gtma 120 & gt； MA250, when such a moving average is arranged, you can buy stocks with heavy positions. Even if you are quilted for a short time, as long as you don't buy at a high level, you will have the opportunity to make a profit. And if you buy stocks near the important big moving average, the probability of profit is greater, which is the principle of buying on dips. When the period of the moving average is a daily line, it is obvious that this is a wave of high prices, that is, the pattern of positional warfare.
Therefore, the positional warfare in the stock market can be summarized as follows:
On the 1. daily line, the moving average system is arranged in multiple positions. (MA30 & gtMA60 & gtma 120 & gt； MA250)
2. There is no systemic risk in the market, and even the market is in a state where the moving average is long.
3. Check whether the number of shareholders tends to be centralized,
4. Whether to break through the long-term neckline position (such as 1-2 years)-this means the beginning of the general attack.
So how do you fight guerrilla warfare in the stock market? -It's important to find the area where the empty side is relatively weak first, so what is the area where the empty side is relatively weak?-Many sides are relatively strong. To be sure, this area is a very small area, so the choice of time period must be much smaller than the daily line. I chose the 15 minute line.
So how to judge that the empty side is relatively weak and many parties are relatively strong in this respect? Is to see if the moving average system on the 15 minute line in this area is arranged in multiple positions. If it is on the 15 minute line, MA30 >；; MA60 & gtma 120 & gt； MA250，
Then there is a great probability that many parties will win. On the 15 minute line, what are the parameters corresponding to the moving average, such as MA30, MA60, MA 120, MA250? -MA2，MA4，MA8，MA 16。
So where can I buy some? -Is it to break through the short-term neckline position to chase up or ambush near the big moving average? After actual combat, it is better to ambush near the big moving average. At the same time, combined with a smaller period of the moving average system-1minute line, if in
MA250 near 120 or on 15 minutes, ma30 on 1 minutes >: ma60 > ma 120 & gt； MA250，
Then the value rate is large, and the probability of winning the prize is large. The chart below shows the actual trend of the two stocks on September 16.
20 12, 20 16, the stock market plummeted due to a "poverty alleviation policy" issued by the CSRC. I bought the stock on September 20 1 1 and 20 16, but I didn't escape the plunge.
The essence of guerrilla warfare is emphasized here. If the enemy moves, I will move, and if the enemy does not move, I will not move. Here is the "stack" tactic.
See the figure below. The so-called heap volume means that the volume of transactions for several consecutive days is more than 1 times that of the previous period, which is referred to as "double volume" for short.
This double quantity lasted for several days, but the price did not rise sharply. The price center is probably only higher than the price before heavy volume.
3-5%, and it is slowly rising along the 20-day moving average. In a war, before the battle begins, the army must be mobilized.
And this double quantity is a sign of the concentration of bulls' power. When we see that the following conditions are met at the same time, we can buy in time:
1. Double the quantity for several days in a row (regardless of the negative line and the positive line, as long as the price center moves up slowly)
2. The moving average, especially the 20-day moving average, is slowly moving up, and the price should always be above the 20-day moving average.
3. 15 minutes, the K-line large moving average keeps long, and MA60 it is close, for example, MA60,120,250.
MA60, 120, 250 band 1 min K line is arranged in a multi-head, which is our buying point.