I have a friend who works hard and encourages others to work. He told his fellow villagers in Xinjiang that he had bought a suite in Guangzhou. The villagers looked at each other. Did your family grow a mine overnight?
This friend said very lightly that houses in Guangzhou are not expensive at all.
Compared with the average price of Shenzhen next door, it is more than 70,000, and Shanghai and Beijing are also 60,000+. The average price in Guangzhou is only 30,000, which is lower than that in Hangzhou and Xiamen.
Guangzhou housing price is not only a depression in first-tier cities, but even a new first-tier city has not been won.
Looking back on the Guangzhou property market in the past 2020, let's make a one-year resumption.
When Cherry wrote the first-tier city forecast in June last year at 5438+ 10, it was already clear that Guangzhou could get on the bus this year.
"The signal of first-tier cities has been sent out. Can you bargain-hunting this year? 20022020 Market Prediction (click to look back)
The sequence from point to three areas and various plates in the area are also clear:
In order to better predict the situation in Guangzhou in the middle of the year, in July, I immediately took my team to Guangzhou for investigation, and the conclusion was to persuade Guangzhou fans to get on the bus.
Guangzhou research: the market has started, hurry up! (Click to look back)
My point of view has always been straightforward and unambiguous. I suggest you don't wait.
Actually, I'll be back in a year. As I expected, Nansha Huangpu became the largest growing area, and the flowers were slower.
Since the second half of last year, the overall volume and price of Guangzhou have risen.
The just-concluded June 5438+February market is very hot. According to Guangzhou statistics, the transaction volume in June 5438+February exceeded10.4 million sets, and the average price has exceeded 32,000/flat.
If the house price level of the whole city is 10- 1 1, it has increased by 2,000 yuan per square meter in a month, and the average price of a suite has increased by 20W in a month.
This is the average price of Guangzhou as a whole. Structurally, some plates are more divided, and Zhujiang New Town, a luxury residential area in Guangzhou, costs one price a day.
In China, making money pays attention to following the trend. Although explained a lot, but still that sentence. If you understand, do it.
Where else can I buy in Guangzhou now?
Since the second half of last year, the most popular markets are Nansha and Huangpu District.
Among them, there is an area in Guangzhou, which was mentioned four times in the "14th Five-Year Plan" of Guangdong Province and 24 times in the "14th Five-Year Plan" of Guangzhou. This kind of credit endorsement is simply unique.
This administrative region is the sixth national new district in China, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Free Trade Zone is juxtaposed with Shenzhen Qianhai and Zhuhai Hengqin:
Nansha in Guangzhou.
Actually, I have many friends around me. From the second half of last year to now, they have started construction in Nansha one after another. Recently, people who come to ask me are still coming in an endless stream.
Nansha in 2020 actually set three new records in land price, property price and transaction volume, ranking first in three subjects.
Let's talk about flour first Just land auction, Nansha has set a new record of five times a year, with amazing results.
The floor land price rose linearly from 1.2 million yuan/square meter at the beginning of the year to 23,000 yuan/square meter. You know, in June+February, 5438, Caesar shook the price of flour to the king of Nanshawan, which was only 7,000 yuan /m2 away from the 29,000 yuan /m2 signed by Nansha First-hand Building Network in June+February, 5438, realizing the fairy tale that flour is faster than bread.
Picture, Guangzhou real estate
In 2020, there were 85 residential land transactions in Guangzhou, including Nansha 15, ranking second in the city, second only to Zengcheng, which has a steady supply.
The key point is that developers are optimistic about this area by repeatedly building new peaks on the summit.
In fact, we buy a house, which is to vote in plain English. If developers have been investing continuously in one area, and many developers have been investing one after another, it is particularly safe for retail investors to follow.
Look at the bread market again. In 2020, the price and volume of first-hand online signing in Nansha broke a new high of 13.
First of all, the transaction price is around 27,000/m 2. Compared with five years ago, it increased by 1. 12 times, and the increase was fierce.
Finally, the volume of transactions, Nansha transactions nearly 1.7 million sets of first-hand houses, the transaction heat has surpassed Huangpu next to Guangzhou CBD.
In addition to Guangzhou customers, more than 40% of these buyers are other brothers in the Bay Area and customers from other provinces.
For example, Dongguan, Shenzhen, which is restricted in purchase, and Zhongshan, which is not available in Cuiheng New District, have recently come to Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian and Beijing.
Everyone voted with money and voted for Nansha in succession. The real meaning is that Huangpu belongs to Guangzhou, while Nansha belongs to Greater Bay Area and the whole country.
You may ask, it has all gone up. Is it still too late to buy?
In fact, about buying a house, we have always advocated:
Don't buy cheap, buy valuable core assets;
Don't buy expensive ones, they will be more expensive in the future.
I think this round of market is just the beginning.
Answer before it's too late, where to buy Nansha, what goods to buy, how long to wait, and how much can it go up in the future? I'll tell you clearly in three minutes.
Look at Lu Tong+Caitong before buying a house.
At present, there are four subway lines in Nansha. Line 4 is an open subway line, connecting the eastern part of Guangzhou, and the key station is Nanshawan.
18 line is the life gate of Guangzhou. Completed in June, 20021,it will become the fastest subway line in China, that is, it will be opened to traffic six months later and will be cashed immediately.
The speed of the line is 160 km/h, and Nansha takes 35 minutes to reach Zhujiang New Town in Guangzhou CBD.
Line 22 is the bridge of friendship between Guangzhou and Shenzhen and the most important subway in Greater Bay Area. It starts from Guangzhou Airport, passes through Nansha and Humen, and finally reaches Shenzhen Baoan Airport.
202 1 Some sites will be opened this year, and then Unicom will expand the sites in turn. Once opened to traffic, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Dongguan and Buddha are interlinked.
The 15 line is a detour line in Nansha, which aims to transit and then transit and open up the Nansha subway universe. It is expected to be completed in 2025.
Look at the light guide of each plate in Nansha to buy a house.
Strongest concept: pearl bay, as the benchmark of Shenzhen Qianhai and Zhuhai Hengqin, is a strong concept of high supporting financial CBD, with the highest starting price and the greatest possibility of doubling.
Friends with a unit price of 35,000-45,000 and a down payment budget of1.5,000 will buy it here. The waiting time is about 5-8 years.
Richest: South Shawan, which marks Repulse Bay in Hong Kong, is located in the rich area of Greater Bay Area. Yacht and Golf Club is the home port cruise ship, and Nansha, the two kings, is surrounded by mountains and waters.
The unit price is 35,000-40,000, and the down payment is10.2 million. 202 1 Breakthrough 45000, within reach. The waiting time is 3-5 years.
The most mature: Jiaomen (Jinzhou District is not worth it), the seat of Nansha District Government. At present, the commercial atmosphere of self-occupation is mature, with the largest number of customers, and second-hand activity can be realized at any time.
The unit price is 35,000-35,000 yuan, the down payment budget is 6.5438+0,000 yuan, and the waiting time is 3-5 years.
Lowest place: Huangge, 202 1 Visually observing the hottest area in Nansha, just need to invest in a low-priced paradise, with a unit price of 22,000-28,000 and a total price of 2 million. The waiting time is 5-8 years.
No mistake, 2 million can start from Guangzhou, and it is a national new district.
After talking about Nansha and the inner market, before buying, as a smart property buyer, we should consider a core issue.
Will Nansha have only concepts and no land, and how will it be realized in the future?
This problem is unavoidable. Investment depends on expectations. There are two key points. The first concept is difficult to land, and the second one is not realized for a long time.
Nansha's strong policy support is actually based on its innate geographical advantages.
Sun, vice president of the South China Urban Research Association, said that Guangzhou needs Nansha now more than ever.
Indeed, Nansha is not only the only seaport in Guangzhou, but also helps Guangzhou stand in the C position of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.
We look at Nansha from two dimensions.
Nansha on the left is the Nansha of Guangzhou, only the southernmost administrative region of Guangzhou. It is 565,438+0 km away from the CBD of Zhujiang New Town, and the commuting time is 60-90 minutes. When it breaks out, we will sell iron and move back to the city.
On the right, it is also Nansha. This is Nansha in Greater Bay Area.
It is not only in the center of Greater Bay Area, but also in the junction of the Inner Bay Economic Circle.
Guangzhou city center is in the north, the port is directly in the south, separated from Zhuhai, Hong Kong and Macao by a sea, Dongguan and Shenzhen are in the west, and Foshan and Zhongshan are in the east.
Why Nansha can undertake so many concepts, why the state entrusts it with so many missions and definitions, and why the market is booming is because of its irreversible innate land advantage. Geographically, Shenzhen is a good friend holding hands, and Guangzhou is his biological father.
As long as you see more of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, you have no reason not to see more of Nansha. Nansha, position C, sit tight, just wait for the spring and autumn.
Consider the second point, how long it will take to cash out and buy a house, and wait for three years and five years. After all, everyone can accept it
There are two reference data of cash, the first is the flow, and the second is the industry.
With regard to traffic data, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's traffic planning has two time points, one is in 2025, that is, five years later, and the other is in 2035, that is, 15 years later.
With regard to these implemented planning contents, the government is expected to invest 474,654.38 billion yuan to build 654.38+03 intercity railways and five hub projects with a total mileage of 775 kilometers.
Among them, the three epic projects that lead directly to Nansha include Humen Second Bridge, Shenyang-Chongqing Passage and Shiziyang River Crossing Tunnel.
So after reading these materials, is it more reassuring than what any intermediary sales tell you? Thirdly, be sure to go to official website to find the time of the road network. Everything else is mouth hi.
Next, look at the economic data.
Over the past 65,438+00 years, the annual GDP growth rate of Nansha has exceeded 65,438+00%. In the past three years, the growth rate ranks first among all districts in Guangzhou.
10%, you will know how terrible it is after learning compound interest.
By the end of 20 19, 174 of the world's top 500 enterprises had entered Nansha, accounting for more than half.
Moreover, the next key industries in Nansha are high-tech innovations such as ports, rockets, new energy vehicles and finance.
Needless to say, the business of Huangpu Port has been greatly improved, and the overall container throughput of Guangzhou Port is the fourth in China and the top ten in the world.
Even Shenzhen must envy the rockets made in Nansha.
New energy vehicles, backed by Huangge Automobile City, have been developed for decades. Together with Evergrande's gold absorption, it is the first investment of Weilai and Ma Xiao Star, and it is also ready to become the industrial pillar of Nansha.
The Guangzhou Municipal Government plans to turn pearl bay into the second CBD of the Pearl River New Town, corresponding to the economic development of Neiwan. Two of them will include the permanent meeting place of IFF International Finance Forum and Guangzhou Futures Exchange, benefiting from Nansha Free Trade Zone.
With so many high-end businesses, the price of Nansha in Guangzhou is still hovering around 30 thousand, which is very cheap, and the opposite Qianhai is heading for 200 thousand.
The data has been listed a lot, and then it depends on everyone's imagination and action.
In short, we should see more China, see more Bay Area and believe in policies.
The upper limit of a city's housing price is determined by the highest income group in this city. Many people who have experienced the rise will know more about housing prices and the potential of Nansha to some extent.