International oil price is an important weather vane for the price adjustment of refined oil in China. China's "Measures for the Administration of Petroleum Prices" stipulates that the domestic gasoline and diesel prices will be adjusted every 10 working day according to the changes of crude oil prices in the international market, and the effective time of the price adjustment is 24: 00. When the price adjustment is less than one ton of 50 yuan, no adjustment will be made, and it will be accumulated or offset in the next price adjustment.
The time window of the last round of refined oil price adjustment was 65438+1October 65438+September. Due to the relatively stable fluctuation of international oil prices, the price adjustment of domestic refined oil products has run aground. During the current round of refined oil price adjustment, the international oil price rose sharply, driving the domestic refined oil price to rise, and the upward adjustment is expected to be clear.
From June 5438 to this year 10, the implementation rate of OPEC production reduction remained at a high level, and the market speculated that OPEC might further extend the performance period of the production reduction agreement. At the same time, the trend of the US dollar is stable, speculative funds in the capital market are active, and the net long position of crude oil has risen sharply for two consecutive weeks. This information has enhanced investors' confidence in the international oil market. 65438+1October 3 1, Brent crude oil futures price exceeded 6 1 USD per barrel, hitting a new high in recent two years.
According to the latest report released by JPMorgan Chase, in view of the tight international oil market and the continuous decline of stocks, the estimated prices of Brent crude oil in the United States and new york crude oil will be raised this year and next.
Li Li, director of An Xun Energy Research Center, an international energy research institution, said that the market generally believes that the rebalancing of the international oil market has achieved certain results. In the past two or three months, stimulated by many factors, the international oil price has been rising steadily, and it has also been transmitted to the domestic refined oil market.
Driven by the international oil price, the change rate of a package of crude oil referenced by China's refined oil price adjustment is relatively high. According to the data of June 165438+ 10/published by the oil price system of Xinhua News Agency, the average price change rate of crude oil in June 65438+1 0/0/was 3. 12%.
According to the pricing mechanism, 1 65438+1October1is the ninth working day of this pricing cycle, and the refined oil price adjustment window will open at 24: 00 on1October 2. According to the current crude oil change rate, the price of refined oil will rise this round, which is expected to increase by 160 yuan per ton, equivalent to about 0. 12 yuan and 0. 14 yuan per liter for 92 # gasoline and 0 # diesel respectively.
The rise and fall of oil prices directly affects the hearts of car owners. Master Xu, the registered owner of Didi Travel, has a long journey time and fills it up almost every night. If you fill up the 60-liter fuel tank before the price increase, you can save about 7 yuan.
"There are a lot of gas station activities now, and the owners choose the best." Master Xu said that the oil price promotion range of some gas stations may be close to one yuan per liter. Some gas stations win by service, and the supporting convenience stores have complete business. You can get a refund at the convenience store when you refuel.
This price adjustment cycle is the second price adjustment cycle of China's refined oil products this year. Since the beginning of this year, China's refined oil prices have experienced eight upward adjustments, six downward adjustments and six stranding. But overall, since the beginning of this year, the price of refined oil has fallen more and increased less, and the price of gasoline and diesel has dropped by one ton of 50 yuan.
It seems that there may be only a few hours left, and the price of refined oil will go up.