2 1 Peng Qiang, a reporter of the new century economic development report, reports that with the increase of international crude oil prices, the retail price limit of refined oil products in China will be greatly increased this year.
Recently, the world's demand for electricity and energy has become universal, and the international crude oil price has climbed to the top in the past seven years. Many institutions predict that the retail price increase of gasoline and diesel will exceed 300 yuan/ton this round, which is the largest increase since this year.
In the ninth working day of the current refined oil price adjustment cycle, the comprehensive elasticity coefficient of petroleum calculated by Longzhong Information, a commodity spot news information agency, is that the retail price limit of gasoline and diesel is expected to be raised by 270 yuan/ton.
Li Yan, an analyst of refined oil investment in Longzhong Information, stressed that the current round of price increase has entered the ninth working day, and the increase in oil prices is a high probability event. It is estimated that the basic theory of refined oil will increase by about 340 yuan/ton at 24: 00 on June 9, 65438.
The reference crude oil change rate calculated by Jinlianchuang is that the supporting gasoline and diesel oil are increased by 320 yuan/ton, and the retail price limit of gasoline and diesel oil is increased by 0.000 1 yuan/liter.
Up to now, under the influence of various good news, the international crude oil price has been rising, Brent oil has stood above $80/barrel, and WTI crude oil futures trading has also reached the highest point since 20 14.
From a global perspective, the supply of coal and gas is tightening, and the energy problem seems to be more serious in Europe; In order to solve the situation of rising oil demand, OPEC+,the oil-producing organization, continued to adhere to the current policy of adjusting oil production at its meeting in June 5438+00, and the storage of commercial service oil depots in the United States has been reduced to the minimum standard since June 20 18, so the cold winter forecast in the northern hemisphere has once again aggravated the tension of energy demand forecast.
In recent years, the retail price limit of refined oil in China has been adjusted in 18 rounds, showing a trend of "twelve rises, three falls and three breaks"; The decline and increase offset each other. The retail price limit of motor gasoline was raised by 1.335 yuan/ton, and diesel oil was raised by 1.305 yuan/ton.
Lu Qiaohui, an investment analyst of Jinlianchuang refined oil products, stressed that domestic refined oil prices rose sharply this week, and the sales atmosphere in the sales market was general. At this stage, the market is at the peak of the traditional "golden September, silver and ten" demand, the price of holiday refining has risen sharply, and the outsourcing cost of main business has also increased.
Lu Qiaohui said that recently, due to the current power restriction policy, the demand rigidity of diesel engines has improved; During the eleventh period, the number of families traveling by car increased, and the demand for automobile gasoline also increased; Most of the main business enterprises push diesel engines to the upper limit of wholesale price, and some marketing companies control market sales, so their psychological state is remarkable.