No matter whether the oil price is raised or lowered tonight, this round is the twentieth price adjustment in 20021year, and it will also usher in the fourteenth price increase in 20021year. In 20021year, the price adjustment of refined oil will show a pattern of "fourteen rises, three falls and three stranded". Will the oil price go up or down tonight?
Will the price of gasoline and diesel be raised on1at 24: 00 on October 22nd 1 1 The price of gasoline and diesel will be raised in 300 yuan and 290 yuan respectively, equivalent to 0.24 yuan per liter for No.92 gasoline and 0.25 yuan per liter for No.95 gasoline. It takes about 12 yuan to fill a 50L fuel tank.
Longzhong information shows that traders took profits after continuous rise, and the Russian epidemic in Eastern Europe intensified and the blockade was re-implemented. Concerns about the global economic recovery still exist, and international oil prices have fallen from the overbought range. NYMEX crude oil futures contract 82.50 is 12, down 0.92 USD/barrel or1.10%; Ice oil futures 12 contract 84.6 1 down 1.2 1 USD/barrel or 1.4 1%. China INE crude oil futures main contract 2 1 12 rose 4.5 to 530.6 yuan/barrel, and fell 3.9 to 526.7 yuan/barrel in the evening; As of June 10, the comprehensive change rate of crude oil was 7.25% on June 2 1.
65438+1At 24: 00 on October 22nd, the price limit of gasoline and diesel oil was raised, and the price of gasoline per ton was raised in 300 yuan and 290 yuan respectively, equivalent to 0.24 yuan per liter for 92# and 0.25 yuan per liter for 95#.
Based on an ordinary private car with a fuel tank capacity of 50L, after this price adjustment, it will cost the owner about 12 yuan to fill up a tank of fuel. According to the calculation of vehicles with fuel consumption of 7L-8L per 100 kilometers in urban areas, the average cost per 100 kilometers will increase by about 2 yuan. A large-scale logistics transport vehicle loaded with 50 tons will increase the fuel cost by about 10 yuan per 100 kilometers on average. This price adjustment will increase the cost for private car owners and logistics enterprises.
This round is the twentieth price adjustment of 202 1, and it will also usher in the fourteenth upward adjustment of 202 1. After this price adjustment, the price adjustment of 202 1 refined oil products will show a pattern of "fourteen rises, three falls and three stranded".
Li Yan, an analyst at Longzhong, said that based on the current international crude oil price level, the next round of refined oil price adjustment will show an upward trend, with a range of around 80 yuan/ton. At present, the shortage of natural gas supply in Europe and the expectation of cold winter continue to boost the prospect of crude oil demand. It is expected that the next round of refined oil price adjustment is more likely. The next price adjustment window will open at 24: 00 on 202 1+0 1 day.
Tonight, oil prices will be raised or lowered for two pricing cycles. 101On October 20th, the reporter learned from many domestic refined oil analysis institutions that the gasoline price in Changchun will "rise four times in a row" this weekend.
It is reported that during this pricing cycle, the OPEC production reduction meeting continued the planned production increase strategy, and at the same time, with the help of the global energy crisis, the demand for oil substitution increased. Although the market lowered its forecast for economic growth during this period and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries also lowered its forecast for oil demand this year, the forecast of climate warming also suppressed the oil market atmosphere. However, due to the slow accumulation of oil inventories, the market has a strong bullish atmosphere and occupies a dominant position in the market. Therefore, in this pricing cycle, the trading center of crude oil price has been moving up continuously, and the expectation of this round of wide upward adjustment has been increasing. According to the forecast of analysts, as of the close of 10 and 18, the change rate of crude oil in the seventh working day in China is 6. 19%, and it is estimated that gasoline and diesel will be raised by 285 yuan/ton, with the price adjustment window of 65438+124: 00 on October 22nd.
Some analysts said that the news and policies are favorable, and the domestic diesel resources are reluctant to sell and the restricted market still exists. In terms of gasoline, because there is no big holiday support in the near future, the terminal demand is limited. At the same time, with the price rising to a new high, the enthusiasm of downstream procurement has declined. Although the gasoline prices of most domestic main units are still rising steadily recently, and the single-day increase is mostly 50~200 yuan/ton, considering that the short-term crude oil price may continue to be strong, it is expected that the domestic diesel and gasoline prices will still have room to rise after the implementation of the upward adjustment policy.
It is also reported that the international oil price rose on 19. As of the close of the day, the futures price of light crude oil for delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange 165438+ 10 rose by 0.52 USD to close at 82.96 USD per barrel, an increase of 0.63%; London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery rose 0.75 USD to close at 85.08 USD per barrel, with an increase of 0.89%.