After conversion, 92 # gasoline, 95 # gasoline and 0 # diesel oil increase by 0. 12, 0. 13 and 0. 13 yuan per liter respectively. After this round of price adjustment, it will cost the owner of a family car with a fuel tank capacity of 50 liters to fill a box of 92 # gasoline about 6 yuan.
Domestic oil prices have risen by 13 times this year.
After this price adjustment, domestic No.95 gasoline will return to the "9 yuan era", and at the same time, domestic refined oil prices will also usher in the first "two consecutive rises" in the second half of the year. In the last round of price adjustment (starting from 24: 00 on October 24th, 2022/KLOC-0), domestic gasoline and diesel prices increased by 185 yuan and 175 yuan respectively. This year, domestic refined oil products have gone through 20 rounds of price adjustment, showing a general pattern of "12 up and 7 down 1 stranded".
Wang Xueqin, a refined oil analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information, pointed out that during this pricing cycle, the international crude oil price fluctuated as a whole, and the price of crude oil increased greatly in the later period. On the one hand, the Fed raises interest rates again, and the market is worried that the economic recession will affect oil demand, and crude oil prices will fluctuate and fall back; On the other hand, the international market continues to worry about the reduction of supply, especially the dumping in the United States is coming to an end, but the oil inventory remains at a low level, which has obviously supported the international crude oil price.
As of the close of Beijing time (1 1.5), the futures price of light crude oil for February 1 delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange rose by USD 4.44 to close at USD 92.665438+USD 0 per barrel, with an increase of 5.04%. London Brent crude oil futures for delivery on June 5438+ 10 in 2023 rose by USD 3.90 to close at USD 98.57 per barrel, with an increase of 4. 12%.
The oil price may go up in the next round.
According to the latest research report of Cinda Securities, on the whole, in the fourth quarter of this year, the demand side of crude oil mainly considered that crude oil might replace natural gas to generate electricity in winter in Europe, and the demand for heating oil in winter in the United States increased; On the supply side, we mainly consider the implementation of OPEC+substantial production reduction in June 5438+065438+ 10, and the phased embargo imposed by the European Union on Russian crude oil and petroleum products in February 65438+2022, superimposed with a possible price limit ban on Russian oil. The release of strategic reserve stocks in the United States is coming to an end, with limited effect. Cinda Securities pointed out that in the fourth quarter, crude oil supply tightened and demand increased, and crude oil may be in the destocking stage, so it is believed that the oil price center is expected to rise.
Looking forward to the next round of refined oil prices, the analysis also believes that the probability of upward adjustment is greater.
Wang Xueqin pointed out that there are two supporting factors in the crude oil market in the later period: First, the Fed raised interest rates by 75 basis points, and the subsequent interest rate hike released the dovish signal, the macro pressure was temporarily eased, and the market emotional risk was slightly preferred; Second, the dumping in the United States is coming to an end, but the oil inventory is still at a low level, and the storage plan will be announced soon. Once announced, it is expected that market demand will increase and oil prices will strengthen. Therefore, it is expected that the price of crude oil will fluctuate with a high probability in the next cycle, but it may rise during the period.
Wang Yanting, an analyst of Jinlianchuang refined oil products, also believes that due to the obvious increase in crude oil recently, after entering a new round of price adjustment cycle, the rate of change will turn to positive development. "In the short term, the price of crude oil will remain high, and the retail price of refined oil will usher in an upward trend." Wang Yanting said.
The new price adjustment window will open at 24:00 165438+2 1 on June 2022.
Want to know more financial news in real time, please pay attention to us.