According to the American Oil and Gas magazine, the world crude oil output since 2000 is: 67.2 million barrels per day in 2000; 66.75 million barrels per day, 200 1, down from 20001%; In 2002, it was 65.436 million barrels per day, down 2.0% from the previous year. 68.507 million barrels per day, up 4.7% over the previous year; In 2004, it was 70.993 million barrels per day, an increase of 3.6% over the previous year; In 2005, it was 7 1.8 million barrels per day, an increase of 1. 1% over the previous year. Natural gas production increased by 1.7% in 2006 and 3.4% in 2003. According to statistics, from 1999 to 2004, the world oil output increased by nearly 2.5% annually. The oil production in the world's sea areas and its proportion in the world's total output are rising. In 2003, the oil output in this sea area reached12.57 million tons, accounting for 34.1%of the total output (34% in 2002), while 1992 only accounted for 26.5%. In 2003, the output of sea gas was 685.6 billion cubic meters, accounting for 25.8% of the total output (25.4% in 2002), while 1992 only accounted for 18.9%. It is estimated that the oil production in the sea area will account for 39% of the total oil production in 20 15, and the gas production in the sea area will account for 34% of the total gas production. The proportion of deep-sea oil production to offshore oil production will increase from 10% in 2004 to 25% in 20 15, and the proportion of deep-sea natural gas production to offshore natural gas production will increase from 7% in 2004 to 12% in 20 15. In 2004, the world output of hard coal (bituminous coal and anthracite coal) reached 4.6 billion tons (in 2003, it was 4.3 billion tons), and the output of lignite was 900 million tons. In 2005, the total output of coal in the world was 5,852.5 million tons.
Since 200 1, American crude oil production has been declining year after year: in 2002, it was 5.75 million barrels per day, down 0.4% from the previous year; In 2003, it was 5.68 million barrels per day, which was about 1.2% lower than the previous year. In 2004, it was 5.42 million barrels per day, a decrease of nearly 4.6% over the previous year; In 2005, it was 510.4 million barrels per day, down 5.2% from the previous year. The recent annual natural gas production in the United States is about 65,438+09 trillion cubic feet, which has generally increased in recent years. In 2002, it increased by 1.9% compared with 2006, and in 2004, it increased by less than 1% compared with 2003. In 2005, it decreased slightly to 18.3 trillion cubic feet. The coal output in the United States increased from 974 million tons in 2000 to101700 million tons in 2000. In 2002, it was about1100 million tons. In 2003, it decreased by 2 1% to 979 million tons, and it was still about1000 million tons in 2004.
Russia's crude oil output has increased substantially year by year in recent years. The output of 1999 is 302 million tons, 32 10/000 million tons in 2000, 345 million tons in 2006, 377 million tons in 2002, 41800 million tons in 2003, 458 million tons in 2004 and less than 3% in 2005. The output of natural gas in recent two or three years is also higher than that in previous years. The output of 1999 is 577 billion cubic meters, in 2000 it was 570 billion cubic meters, in 2006 it was 543.8+0 it was 567 billion cubic meters, in 2002 it was 58 10 billion cubic meters, and in 2003 it was 60 10 billion cubic meters.
As the world crude steel output has increased year by year in recent years, the world iron ore output in 2002 exceeded 1 100 million tons (10/0/0.99 billion tons) and increased to 10797 million tons in 2003. 2004 was the third consecutive year with the highest output of 165433. In 2005, it was 654.38+32 million tons.
The output value of minerals is related to their output and price. The price of mineral products is mainly affected by the relationship between supply and demand. Here are the price changes of some major international mineral products in recent years.
The world oil price (WTI average crude oil price) dropped from 1996 and 1997 to 12.9 in198, and rose to 18 in 199. In 2005, the oil price rose even more sharply, reaching 70 dollars per barrel, which was higher than 50 dollars per barrel for most of the first half of the year and 60 dollars per barrel for most of the second half of the year. In recent three years, the price of natural gas has also risen sharply (for example, the wellhead price in the United States was $2.95 per thousand cubic feet in 2002, $4.88 in 2003, $5.49 in 2004 and $7.50 in 2005), and the prices of coking coal, thermal coal and iron ore are all rising. For example, the average FOB price of Australian coking coal in 2003/2004 was US$ 46 per ton, and the contract price in April 2004/2005 was US$ 80 per ton. The price of thermal coal entering the Asian market rose from $23 per ton in May 2003 to $465,438 per ton in the third quarter of 2004. Not only the price of iron ore has risen, but also the prices of tungsten, molybdenum, vanadium and uranium related to steel have risen by a large margin. According to the report of Canada Metal Economic Group (MEG), the annual average prices of some metals in the world from1995 to 2005 are shown in table 1- 1.
Table1-11995 ~ 2005 annual average price of some metals in the world
It can be seen from the table 1- 1 that the prices of major non-ferrous metals, gold, silver and platinum have increased year by year since 2002, while palladium plunged in 2002 after soaring in 2000, and remained at around $200/oz at the end of 2005. Nickel rose sharply from 2002, copper rose sharply from 2003 to 2005, and zinc rebounded from 2003, but the increase was relatively small. Lead only increased significantly in 2004.
In 2005, except palladium, the prices of these metals continued to rise. 5438+ 10 In June, the copper price exceeded $4,000 per ton. Gold broke through the $500/oz mark at the end of 1 1. Nickel approached the high price of $6000 per ton/kloc-0 in mid-2005, and then fell back to $ 13000 in early 10. The price of platinum exceeded $900/oz in September, and 10 broke through 1 1000 $/oz. In 2005, the price of silver was 7 ~ 7.5 USD/oz most of the time. The price of zinc rose from 1.200 USD/ton in early 2005 to 1.462 USD/ton in early October. The price of aluminum did not increase much, from 1808 USD/ton in early 2005 to 1888 USD/ton in early October. The average price of tin in 2003 was 4894 USD/ton, which rose sharply in 2004, reaching more than 9000 USD/ton, and fell back in 2005, reaching about 6500 USD/ton at the beginning of 10.
In the first half of 2006, the prices of oil and many mineral products rose further. In late April, the oil price exceeded $75/barrel. In May, the price of gold rose to a peak of $730 per ounce, copper futures rose to $8,800 per ton, and other metals also rose sharply.
Regarding the global mining output value in recent years, we have not seen comprehensive and systematic statistics. According to the report of M.Ericsson and others published by Swedish Raw Materials Group (RMG) in June 5438+ 10, 2005, according to the figures of 2003, the total output value of raw minerals (excluding oil and natural gas) in the world is 350 billion US dollars, of which metals account for 35%, coal and uranium account for 32%, and industrial minerals account for10. The mining output value of metal minerals (raw ore) is about 65.438+025 billion US dollars, of which gold accounts for 25%, iron ore accounts for 65.438+09%, copper accounts for 65.438+09%, nickel accounts for 65.438+00%, lead and zinc account for 7%, platinum group metals account for 6%, bauxite accounts for 2%, and other metals account for 65. As for the output value of crude oil and natural gas, we can also roughly estimate it according to their output in 2003 (about 3.6 billion tons and more than 25 trillion cubic meters respectively) and their average price, which is about 1.4 trillion ~ 1.5 trillion US dollars. In 2004 and 2005, the output value of oil and natural gas and solid minerals will increase greatly (mainly due to the price increase).
The total output value of crude ore (including oil and gas) in the United States was about $654.38+0235 billion in195, which rose to $654.38+0473 billion in197, and fell to $654.38+0244 billion in198 due to the drop in oil prices. In 2000, due to the sharp rise in oil prices, the total output value increased sharply. In 2006, 5438+0, and 2002, the oil price dropped. In 2006, it was 5438+0, and the total output value still reached $654.38+0877 billion. In 2002, it dropped to $654.38+0634 billion. In 2003, due to the rising prices of oil, natural gas, coal and some metal mines, the total output value soared to 265.44.
Table 1-2 US1mining output value from 998 to 2005 (unit: billion US dollars)
1995 The total output value of Russian raw ore was1150 billion USD. According to an article by orlov, former Minister of Natural Resources of the Russian Federation, the total output value of Russian crude ore at that time was $95 billion to/kloc-0.5 billion per year (excluding gravel, stone, etc.). According to an article by Trutnev, then Minister of Natural Resources of the Russian Federation, in 2004, the total output value of Russian crude ore in 2004 was $654.38+050 billion, but judging from the oil and gas prices in 2004, this value may be lower.
See table 1.997 ~ 2005 for changes in Canada's mineral output value.
Table 1-3 1997-2005 Canadian mineral output value (unit: 100 million Canadian dollars)
The consumption of mineral products is mostly energy minerals. According to the statistics of Enerdata, a French energy data agency, the world energy consumption data in 2003 and 2004 are shown in table 1-4.
According to the statistics of British Petroleum Company (BP, which was called BPAmoco after the merger of Amoco a few years ago, and BP in the last two or three years), the changes of world energy consumption from 2000 to 2004 can be summarized as table 1-5.
Table1-4 World Energy Consumption Data in 2003 and 2004
Table1-5 World Energy Consumption Statistics from 2000 to 2004
BP believes that 2004 was a record year for world energy, and the world energy consumption increased by 4.3%, the highest growth rate since 1984. Among them, oil increased by 3.4%, the highest since 1978, natural gas increased by 3.3% (in the past 10, the average was 2.6%), and coal has been increasing in recent years, with the fastest growth rate of 6.3% in 2004. Nuclear energy increased by 4.4%, and hydropower increased by 5%. Although people don't like coal from the perspective of environmental protection, it is a reliable energy mineral. Although the proportion of coal in the primary energy consumption structure dropped from 29% 20 years ago to 24% in 2000, it rose to 27% in the last two years. On the contrary, oil has decreased from 4 1% 20 years ago to 37% in the last two years. The total of nuclear power and hydropower increased from 10% to 12%. In recent two years, oil prices have soared, and many countries are saving oil and seeking to develop alternative and renewable energy sources. Many countries plan to further develop nuclear energy.
The structure of primary energy demand in the United States in 2005 is (figures in 2004 in brackets): oil 40.4%(40.2%), natural gas 23. 1%(23.2%), coal 22.6%(22.4%), and nuclear energy 8.1%(8.8.