Especially after the recent completion of a new round of domestic refined oil price adjustment, oil prices once again showed a steady and rising trend.
On May 30th, the price of gasoline and diesel rose as high as 390~40 yuan per ton, and now the price of No.92 gasoline has even exceeded that of 9 yuan per liter.
Especially with the full start of summer harvest, from the short-term trend, domestic oil prices are likely to rise again.
According to the relevant situation of China's oil price adjustment mechanism, a new round of oil prices will be adjusted again on June 14 this year.
Judging from the actual situation of international crude oil prices, on June 4th, the light crude oil futures price of NYSE rose by two dollars to close at 1 18.87 dollars per barrel, with an increase of 1.7 1%.
London Brent crude oil futures for August delivery rose 2. 1 1 USD to close at 1 19.72 USD per barrel, with an increase of 1.79%.
Judging from the overall situation of international crude oil prices at this stage, it is estimated that the price of gasoline will rise by about 269 yuan per ton during the adjustment of domestic refined oil prices on June 14.
Since 2022, after ten oil price adjustments, the overall increase of gasoline price is as high as 2330 yuan per ton, and the overall increase of diesel price is as high as 2245 yuan per ton.
Judging from the short-term trend, international oil prices are likely to remain at a high level. In the summer harvest stage this year, the expenditure on refined oil products faced by Chinese farmers will be further expanded.
Since the rise in oil prices cannot be changed, it is necessary to collect relevant information on food prices, pig prices and beef and mutton prices since June this year.
Only when the real market benefits can return can our farmers' planting income be guaranteed.
According to the current domestic staple food price, the overall food price changed greatly in June.
Affected by the global decline in wheat prices, domestic wheat prices have also fluctuated sharply recently, and some deep processing enterprises have lowered the purchase price of wheat, with an overall decline of 3-5 cents per catty.
Compared with the shock of wheat price, corn price has also shown a slight downward trend recently, but the overall change is not big. Only a few deep processing enterprises in Shandong and North China have lowered the purchase price of corn, while other deep processing enterprises are still in a relatively stable bidding stage.
Compared with the sudden change of food prices, the price of live pigs has ushered in a series of rebound rises in the past two days.
After the pig slaughtering enterprises continuously lowered the pig price in the early stage, the reluctance to sell and wait-and-see mood at the breeding end became stronger and stronger.
In addition, the state has started a series of regulation and control on the storage and storage of reserve meat this year, which further shows the attitude of policy adjustment to the rise of pig prices to a certain extent.
Therefore, from the short-term trend, the overall pig price in June is likely to show a downward trend.
Compared with the situation of grain price and pig price, the price of beef and mutton has also fluctuated sharply in the past two days, especially the price of mutton has ushered in a cliff-like decline.
On the one hand, it shows that after the start of June, the off-season of consumption is coming.
The demand for meat procurement in grass-roots channels is difficult to support the high price of beef and mutton.
On the other hand, with the rising forage price, the cost of raising cattle and sheep has increased this year.
Therefore, for many of us sheep farmers, the cash flow is also tight, which leads everyone to continue to choose to sell sheep.
Judging from the current price of sheep, it is at least 300~600 yuan less than the peak price of sheep in 2020, and now it is catching up with the sharp increase in the price of forage, and the cost of raising sheep is further increased. Objectively speaking, the bonus period for raising sheep has passed.
Judging from the short-term trend, it is unlikely that the price of beef and mutton will rise in an all-round way. I hope that the majority of farmers can be psychologically prepared.
In 2022, although farmers in China are facing many problems, they also have many challenges to deal with.
The state's support and investment in agriculture, rural areas and farmers have steadily increased.
Lao Dao firmly believes that in the future, the state will introduce more support policies to protect our farmers and their related incomes.
Here, I call on everyone to act together, and look at the bottom right corner at the end of the article to praise the country's rural revitalization strategy and the three rural support policies.
(For reference only)