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Trend of live pig futures
1.04.03 Wednesday, 2022 13 According to the monitoring of the pig price system of China pig network, the average price outside the country is 12.39 yuan/kg, and the pig price is higher than yesterday (12.36 yuan/kg) and last month (12.39 yuan/kg).

For other pig breeds, the average price of live pigs is 12. 16 yuan/kg, which is 0. 12.04 yuan/kg higher than yesterday. The average price of live pigs 1 1.76 yuan/kg increased by 0.1.62 yuan/kg compared with yesterday.

The prices of pig breeds such as foreign ternary, internal ternary and local miscellaneous pigs all increased slightly. Please see the analysis below for detailed ups and downs!

April 7, 2022-April 7, 2022 13 (7 days) ternary average price chart.

Today, the average price of foreign ternary, internal ternary and local miscellaneous pigs in various provinces/cities/autonomous regions:

1. foreign ternary: Jiangxi province 12.60 yuan/kg, Gansu province1.53 yuan/kg, Henan province 12.26 yuan/kg, Shanxi province1/kloc-.

Second, the internal ternary: Anhui province 12.63 yuan/kg, Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region 10.73 yuan/kg, Hunan province 12.72 yuan/kg, Shanxi province 1 1.85 yuan/kg, Guangdong province/.

3. Native pigs: Shandong 1 1.70 yuan/kg, Shaanxi1.20 yuan/kg, Hunan 12.43 yuan/kg, Shanxi1/kloc-.

A brief comment on the trend of today's foreign ternary pig price;

Compared with yesterday, the price of ternary live pigs at home and abroad rose slightly. Although the increase is not big, it is also a happy event! Today, the price of ternary live pigs at home and abroad is the highest in Hainan Province, 16.40 yuan/kg, and the lowest in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, 10.44 yuan/kg.

Except Hainan, Guangdong, Fujian, Zhejiang and Shanghai, the pig prices are all in the range of11-kloc-0/2 yuan/kg.

Judging from the latest price adjustment actions of pig slaughtering enterprises, the fluctuation range of pig prices has decreased recently, and the price of pigs in the north and south has fluctuated at a low level.

Although the price of pigs is low, farmers are obviously unwilling to sell at a low price, but they can't bear the overcapacity of pigs in the country, and the number of live pigs and their stocks continue to be at a high level. The price of pigs is still difficult to rise.

From the aspect of production capacity control, according to the statistics of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in 2022 10 and February, the monthly average number of newborn piglets was 3 1 10,000, a decrease of 3.7 million compared with the peak in September last year. According to the calculation that piglets will be put on the market six months after fattening, the slaughter of pigs will be significantly reduced in May this year.

Therefore, people in the industry are still waiting for the pig price in the third quarter, and the pig price is expected to rise again.

In addition, the pig price is running at a low level, and the state has carried out purchasing and storage work many times during the year, which has driven local governments to pay close attention to purchasing and storage. I also hope that pig prices will return to a fair range.

At present, due to the deep losses in the pig industry, the consequences of successive purchasing and storage by the state are not particularly obvious. One is that the quantity of purchasing and storage is limited, and the other is that due to public health events, the consumption capacity is insufficient, the pressure on the supply side is still large, and the demand side continues to be sluggish, so it is particularly difficult for the pig price to change fundamentally.

It is estimated that pig prices will remain stable in the near future, and some areas will rebound slightly.

(preparation)