In recent days, food prices have generally ushered in polarization, with corn rising sharply, but soybean prices continue to fall.
After the listing of new beans this year, the price of open scale was higher than that of previous years, but then it went all the way high and low, and the purchase price of soybeans continued to fall recently! Why did soybean prices fall? Next, let's analyze the forecast and analysis of soybean price trend in 65438+February in 2022.
The purchase price of soybeans continues to fall! Why did it fall?
This year, the soybean planting area increased and the total output increased. Coupled with the epidemic situation, the consumption of downstream soy products is relatively low, and the market in the new soybean production stage is weak. Although the grain depot is fully open.
However, due to poor downstream demand, soybeans are mainly sent to local grain depots in Northeast China, and the purchase price continues to fall.
As the price of grain depot stops falling, the market continues to fall, and domestic soybeans are weak, and soybeans are still weak.
So what is the main reason for the decline in soybean prices?
1, soybean supply is sufficient.
This year, domestic soybean production has increased substantially, while the quantity of soybeans imported from China has not decreased, but has increased slightly. Therefore, the soybean market is very abundant, which has caused a certain impact on the soybean market and led to a decline in soybean prices.
2. The quality of new beans declined.
At the beginning of the listing of new soybeans this year, the purchase price of soybeans in various places was very high.
However, the quality of newly harvested soybeans is not good, the quality is greatly reduced, and the expected quality cannot be achieved. This is the main reason for the continuous decline in the purchase price of soybeans.
3. The demand is not high
It is understood that although soybean production has increased this year, due to the influence of epidemic control in various places, the operating rate of protein factories is not high, and food processing factories and market customers are affected by it to move goods slowly and their enthusiasm for goods adjustment is not high.
In the northeast, with the rain and snow coming one after another, the enthusiasm of selling grain at the grass-roots level is reduced, and the demand for soybeans is not high.
What's the price of soybeans now?
Heilongjiang 1
Soybean in Xunke County, Heihe City, Heilongjiang Province is 2.95 yuan/kg; Dongsheng Series in Yi 'an County, Qiqihar City, Heilongjiang Province, 2.84 yuan/kg; Soybean in Helen City, Suihua City, Heilongjiang Province is 2.95 yuan/kg, etc.
2. Jilin
Soybean 3.3 yuan/kg, Yitong Manchu Autonomous County, Siping City, Jilin Province; Soybean in Gongzhuling City, Changchun City, Jilin Province 3. 1 yuan/kg; 3 yuan/kg of soybean in Jiutai District, Changchun City, Jilin Province.
3. Liaoning Province
Soybean in Heishan County, Jinzhou City, Liaoning Province is 2.75 yuan/kg; Soybean in Ganjingzi District, Dalian City, Liaoning Province is 2.87 yuan/kg; Soybean in Wanghua District, Fushun City, Liaoning Province is 3.59 yuan/kg, etc.
4. Inner Mongolia
Soybean in Oroqen Autonomous Banner, Hulunbeier City, Inner Mongolia 3. 1 yuan/kg; Dongsheng series in Hongshan District, Chifeng City, Inner Mongolia, 4.59 yuan/kg; Yellow soybean in Oroqen Autonomous Banner, Hulunbeier City, Inner Mongolia is 2.95 yuan/kg; Heilongjiang soybean 2.9 yuan/kg, Oroqen Autonomous Banner, Hulunbeier City, Inner Mongolia.
5. Anhui
4.2 yuan/kg of soybean in Lixin County, Bozhou City, Anhui Province; 3.4 yuan/kg of adzuki bean in Wuhe County, Bengbu City, Anhui Province; 3.4 yuan/kg of soybean in Daguan District, Anqing City, Anhui Province; Soybean in Lingbi County, Suzhou City, Anhui Province is 3.25 yuan/kg, etc.
Remarks: All the quotations in the above soybean producing areas are from Huinong. The origin of com, this is not the retail price of the market. Affected by different factors such as market supply and demand, origin and quality, it is for reference only. Please refer to the latest local real-time quotation for details!
65438+Forecast of Soybean Price Trend in February 2022
At present, the soybean price in the market continues to be low. Under the influence of multiple factors, the soybean price in the eastern and western regions of Heilongjiang has fallen sharply, especially in the eastern region, with a drop of 7-8 cents, and even the price in some areas has been lower than that in 2.5 yuan/Jin.
Many soybean merchants hold a wait-and-see attitude, so that the delivery of the origin is relatively slow. Although most farmers are still selling normally, some farmers have the mentality of expecting an increase, and the middlemen in the producing areas are cautious in receiving goods.
Affected by the epidemic, the market demand is sluggish, and logistics also has an impact. Most soybeans can only be sent to the local area, which leads to the continuous weakness of the soybean market.
On the whole, the weak pattern of domestic soybeans will continue until 65438+February, and there is still some room for decline in 65438+February. It is estimated that the soybean market will run weakly in 2022.
Generally speaking, since the end of September, with the concentration of soybeans in the north and south producing areas, soybean prices have gradually shown a trend of high opening and low going.
This year, the national reserve soybeans were auctioned to the market, and the average price continued to decline, prompting the purchase price of newly harvested soybeans to continue to fall this year.
Recently, the demand of protein factories is not high, and the consumption of bean products also shows a "low season" trend. In addition, the recent intensification of the epidemic situation in the production and marketing areas and the implementation of a number of epidemic prevention and control measures have also made the market purchase and sale light.
Under the background of "double increase" of domestic soybean area and output this year, the overall supply pressure will gradually move backward, and it is expected that the soybean market will spend the whole year in a weak pattern in the future.