These days are the season when garlic is harvested and listed, and the news of "garlic is cruel" has come out again. Similar to "garlic is cruel to you", in recent years, "ginger is your army", "money is onion" and "pig is firm" have almost never stopped, and every wave of news about the skyrocketing prices of agricultural products will attract public attention. Then, what should we do about the frequent price rise and fall of fresh agricultural products such as onions, garlic and vegetables?
In fact, the price of any agricultural product is rising and falling. There is no agricultural product market that does not rise and fall, and the global market is the same. Therefore, the price of agricultural products, the first thing we need to pay attention to is not the rise and fall itself, but to find out whether it is normal or abnormal.
For the prices of agricultural products, the normal ups and downs mainly include several situations: the ups and downs caused by changes in supply and demand. For example, the price of mung beans was low last year, so this year everyone will not plant or plant less, resulting in a decrease in the supply of mung beans and an increase in prices. Rise and fall due to cost changes. For example, fertilizer, water price and freight rate rise, or labor costs rise, and the prices of agricultural products rise accordingly. Rise and fall due to climate anomalies or various disasters. Agricultural products have a long production cycle and are easily affected by all kinds of extreme weather and diseases and insect pests. Reducing production or even stopping production will lead to price increases. Under the background of economic globalization, changes in international market prices will also cause changes in domestic agricultural products prices, which is a normal manifestation of global trade and competition.
In addition, there are several situations that are normal ups and downs: instant or short-term price ups and downs caused by local information asymmetry. China has a vast territory and scattered cultivation. In some areas, the supply and demand information of a certain product is asymmetric or poorly circulated, resulting in temporary ups and downs. For example, a village's radish can't be sold and rotted in the ground. Short-term ups and downs caused by the new vegetable season. Agricultural products have natural properties, and the price of new vegetables will rise relatively at the first time of each year, and then fall relatively. Due to the entry of capital, it brings a certain degree of reasonable rise and fall. At present, the proportion of all kinds of capital entering the agricultural products market is gradually increasing, which has changed the original circulation, storage, processing, sales and brand structure, and will inevitably bring about price changes. As long as it is within a reasonable range, it is a legitimate market behavior.
As for abnormal ups and downs, there are two main types: one is market monopoly. For example, several large producers or sellers controlled the circulation and sales of a certain agricultural product, mainly small products, through price alliance, which caused the price to skyrocket and plummet, which greatly exceeded the affordability of consumers and seriously deviated from the law of market value, or monopolized a certain product for a long time, resulting in the price of this product deviating from the relationship between supply and demand for a long time. The other is administrative monopoly. For example, in order to drive up local products, a certain place artificially blocks the market, blocks information and controls circulation channels, or blocks the circulation and sales of an agricultural product through extra high fees, resulting in serious price distortion and excessive price fluctuation.
If the basic types of price rise and fall are clearly defined, it will be easy to change the "fire fighting" method of treating the headache and treating the foot pain, and "how to do it" will be carefully planned and targeted. For normal ups and downs, as long as it is not malicious speculation and does not seriously disrupt the market, we should believe that the market has this ability to adjust. To believe in the role of the market, what we need to do is to release information in a timely and comprehensive manner to prevent small losses caused by untimely and insufficient information. It is worth noting that all kinds of media should improve their ability to identify price fluctuation information, so as to prevent being misled by the price information of various "flying balloons" or even artificial cases, triggering follow-up speculation and amplifying price fluctuation signals.
China has a price law and an anti-monopoly law, and financial institutions also supervise the inflow of huge funds into a certain field. Strict implementation of these laws and regulations, responsible for guarding the land without discount, will have an effect.
At present, the key to keep domestic agricultural product prices in a reasonable range is to give full play to the role of the government. From the immediate point of view, the key point is to establish and improve the information release system, use various monitoring platforms of government departments to timely release the forecast and early warning of supply and demand of agricultural products, and guide farmers' willingness to plant and breed; Strengthen the construction of green channels and places, reduce and cancel all kinds of expenses in circulation and sales, and promote the cost reduction of agricultural products in all links. In the long run, on the one hand, we should improve the price formation mechanism of agricultural products, improve the market regulation system of agricultural products and the agricultural subsidy system; On the other hand, it is necessary to speed up the construction of a new agricultural management system, develop and strengthen agricultural product trade associations and farmers' professional cooperative organizations, and promote farmers to respond to changes in market supply and demand with a market-oriented organizational structure. (Author: Qu Changfu)
The rebound in oil prices has driven up the prices of agricultural products, and imported inflation is not enough.
International oil prices rebounded sharply, and the superposition of El Ni? o and La Ni? a phenomena led to frequent disaster weather, which drove the prices of agricultural products and industrial products to rebound from the downturn. "At present, the soybean meal in the United States has risen sharply, which is mainly related to the soybean weather speculation in China and the pig cycle, and ultimately comes down to the slow start of the inflation cycle in China.
20 16-05-26 07: 16
Expand the pilot projects of "insurance" and "insurance+futures" for agricultural product price fluctuations.
However, how to protect farmers' interests in the process of marketization and how to help farmers effectively prevent the risk of agricultural product price fluctuation? The mainstream view of the market is to directly subsidize production, and at the same time introduce agricultural product price insurance, which is one of the means to cooperate with the market to withdraw from the purchasing and storage policy. This is also a common practice in the world to protect farmers' income. Since 2006, the United States has implemented income insurance for soybean, corn and wheat crops.
20 16-04- 1 1 07: 15
Agricultural product price fluctuation "insurance" insurance+futures pilot will be expanded.
However, how to protect farmers' interests in the process of marketization and how to help farmers effectively prevent the risk of agricultural product price fluctuation? The mainstream view of the market is to directly subsidize production, and at the same time introduce agricultural product price insurance, which is one of the means to cooperate with the market to withdraw from the purchasing and storage policy. This is also a common practice in the world to protect farmers' income. Since 2006, the United States has implemented income insurance for soybean, corn and wheat crops.
20 16-04- 1 1 07:06
20 16 how to operate the prices of major agricultural products?
The price inversion of agricultural products at home and abroad will continue, and the import of agricultural products, especially livestock products, will remain high driven by the price difference. However, with the decline of corn prices, the import scale of corn substitutes such as sorghum and barley, which has increased greatly in the past two years, is expected to gradually decline. Considering production, inventory, consumption, import and other factors, it is predicted that the prices of major agricultural products will continue to be weak in 20 16, and some agricultural products will
20 16-0 1-05 08:33
How to get rid of the roller coaster of agricultural product prices in China?
Behind this strange phenomenon, it reflects the disadvantages of improper agricultural product planting planning, large imbalance between supply and demand, excessive capital marketing speculation and so on. On the one hand, some local governments lack long-term industrial development planning and blindly emphasize the cultivation of "characteristic" agricultural products; On the other hand, speculative capital uses malicious speculation of agricultural products to obtain high profits. This situation makes it difficult for some farmers to form a clear judgment on the market situation and do not have the ability to arrange agricultural production independently. They just need to grow a profitable agricultural product together.
20 16-04-2 1 17:53
Recently, the prices of major edible agricultural products in our province have gone up and down.
The wholesale price of beef producing market is relatively stable. By the beginning of April, the average wholesale price of beef in our province was 53 yuan per kilogram, which was 1 yuan lower than the same period of last year. The wholesale price of real estate carcass mutton decreased slightly year-on-year, but it increased by 2 yuan per kilogram before the Spring Festival.
Improve the price formation mechanism of agricultural products, promote the inclination of financial resources to rural areas, and enhance the vitality of "agriculture, rural areas and farmers"
Under the background of serious food price inversion at home and abroad, the number of food imports has been increasing, the domestic food market has been squeezed out, and food stocks have reached a record high. In this case, the current price formation mechanism and purchasing and storage system of important agricultural products such as grain need to be reformed and improved. Document No.1 this year proposes to adhere to the orientation of market-oriented reform and pay equal attention to protecting farmers' interests, and adopt the method of "implementing policies by varieties and gradually advancing" to improve the market regulation system of agricultural products.
20 16-02-0 1 10: 13
Development and Reform Commission: The price of pigs will not be too expensive, and the price of agricultural products will rise.
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