Rapeseed meal belongs to feed products and is used for aquaculture, that is, feeding fish and shrimp. Rapeseed meal has strong substitutability, which can be replaced by cotton meal, fish meal and other feed products. The price fluctuation of rapeseed meal is mainly affected by the increase and decrease of production. If rapeseed meal is harvested, the price will continue to fall, otherwise it will continue to rise.
Aquaculture promotes the demand for rapeseed meal. At present, the addition rate of rapeseed meal in domestic aquatic feed is still 30%-40%, and good breeding benefits will continue to support the price of rapeseed meal. Moreover, there is a strong demand for food and beverage raw materials for aquatic products such as fish and shrimp in all parts of China, and the number of fry in South China and East China has increased, and aquaculture has resumed, which has expanded the market demand for rapeseed meal in the future. Especially, the prices of soybean and soybean meal (3,674,92.00,2.57%) at home and abroad have risen due to tight supply, and the price difference between soybean meal and rapeseed meal is too large, which makes the protein value of rapeseed meal more advantageous, and the demand for rapeseed meal to replace soybean meal has increased.
Seasonal law of rapeseed meal: influenced by the seasonal production of rapeseed meal and the peak season and off-season of rapeseed meal feed consumption in China, the price of rapeseed meal in China shows seasonal fluctuation law: from February to April every year, the domestic rapeseed meal inventory is low, aquaculture begins to increase, and the price of rapeseed meal generally rises. From May to August, domestic rapeseed began to go on the market, the new supply of rapeseed meal increased greatly, and the price of domestic rapeseed meal often fell. The supply capacity of rapeseed meal in the new cropping season is 6? In July, prices tend to fall to the lowest point in a year. 65438+ 10 From August to June, the domestic rapeseed cropping season ended one after another, and the supply capacity of rapeseed meal tended to decrease. However, aquaculture entered the peak demand season of rapeseed meal, showing a supply-demand pattern of decreasing supply expectation and obviously increasing demand, and the domestic rapeseed meal price showed an obvious upward trend. 1 1 In February next year, the purchasing season of aquaculture industry is over, and the domestic rapeseed meal prices generally show a steady or slight decline trend. Obviously, the focus is on the lowest in June-July and the trend increase in August-10.