What exactly is futures trading? Why are most investors still unable to make stable profits? And the investment results of different people using the same trading system are very different?

Most investors fail not because they lack trading knowledge, but because they don't listen to trading knowledge. A good method will eventually be implemented to the carrier of the method-people, which is the most important factor to determine the success or failure of the transaction.

Investment is actually a process of spiritual sublimation, a contest between self and self, and a process in which human beings constantly surpass themselves and overcome human shortcomings. Many times, human nature often plays a decisive role in investment results, and its importance even exceeds the combined force of knowledge and experience.

Is our loss due to the wrong time to enter the market, and under the pressure of huge floating losses, we are afraid of cutting positions in the dark before dawn; Is it because of greed, in the case of correctly judging the market and grasping the opportunity to enter the market, continue to attack heavily and lose in the normal callback of the market?

Think about those investors who are failing. They are not eager for wealth and stay in the position of making money for a long time, so that they exceed reasonable expectations; There is no hope to keep the loss position when the price falls, waiting for the price to rise, not stop loss; Isn't it an opportunity, a heavy position and even Man Cang's intervention; Don't you just want to catch every price fluctuation and run around in the business all day?

The psychology of wanting to win and being afraid of losing in the transaction will eventually lead to the complete deformation of the transaction. I can't get the right list, and I can't get the right list. All these human weaknesses are the real obstacles that affect the success of our futures operation.

The winner of the futures market is the winner of life. The success or failure of futures market is related to the success or failure of character.

Every investor who wants to join the financial industry must first serve his weaknesses and improve his character in order to obtain lasting and stable income in the financial industry. The success of futures investment is the highest reward for perfect humanity.

(2) The essence of futures trading is to test and capture the big market with constant small losses.

Futures investment is a relatively simple money game when you don't really participate, but once you participate, it is quite complicated. If you want to survive for a long time and continue to make profits, you must fully understand the nature of futures and truly master a set of correct investment ideas and methods that suit you. Then the financial market is your ATM, otherwise it is a slot machine that eats money.

Most people don't have much future in futures, because this devil skill is so simple that most people turn a blind eye. Futures investment is a primitive low-level world, and human beings always look at the low-level world with advanced eyes. Extremely simple things are infinitely complicated. This is one of the main reasons why most people can't succeed in the end.

Don't always expect to make a profit every time, but according to an excellent trading system, keep up with the market trend and use constant small losses to test and capture the big market. As long as you have the courage and keep repeating the above operations, you will surely beat the market and accumulate wealth. This is the essence of futures.

Trading itself is a process of trial and error, and a smaller loss is exchanged for a larger profit. Futures is an operation management that strictly controls the proportion of losses, closely follows the market trend, and tests and captures the big market with constant small losses.

Looking back on the previous transactions, most of the reasons for the losses are chaotic cycles, failure to operate according to the trading system, and premature trading in large cycles. Therefore, as long as the period is fixed, the trading system is fully operated, and only the period within M 120 is operated, the trading loss is impossible.

The key point of trading system design is simple and clear, the signal is unique, and the complex system is not practical at all. In the opinion of experts, even simple MACD indicators can be profitable. As long as you operate in full accordance with MACD, strictly control the profit-loss ratio in trading, so that the profit-loss ratio can reach more than 3: 1, and use constant small losses to test and capture the big market. In the hands of investment experts, even the system with a correct rate of less than 50% still earns a lot of money.

But the problem is that even if many people know this secret, they still can't make money. Why? The reason is human nature: fear, greed, cleverness and quick success.

Speculation is as old as a mountain, and the trend of K-line futures in all markets is similar, because there are independent investors behind the trend of K-line. For thousands of years, human nature has not changed, and the trend of K-line will not change.

For all futures varieties, the trend market accounts for about 30%, and the sideways volatility accounts for about 70%. When the market fluctuates sideways, there will inevitably be a lot of continuous losses. After that, you can catch a big trend. However, human nature is always afraid when the system loses money. Because of fear, people dare not follow the system signal closely, and even begin to doubt the trading system and terminate the transaction.

Some investors always think that this method of making money is too slow, and always hope to find a better and faster way to make money, just like a monkey who breaks corn, he gives up when he finds one and spends his whole life in this search; Greed!

Yes-smart aleck!

For a trading system that has been successfully verified, the most correct way is to give up yourself and run the transaction completely according to the system signal, in order to get the maximum benefit! Therefore, completely according to the same index (the same time period), under the condition of setting a reasonable profit-loss ratio, don't miss any signal and use small losses to test and capture the big market. This is the essence of trading! This is also the secret of successful futures investment!

1. Uncertainty of fluctuation and stability of trend

The elusive thing about futures is: uncertainty.

To crack the password of futures trading is to find relative stability in uncertainty.

The fluctuation is full of contingency, but the fluctuation range is relatively stable.

The fluctuation range is not easy to be broken. Once it is really broken, it often means the formation of a trend.

The fluctuation is unpredictable, but the trend is relatively stable.

Once the trend is formed, it is not easy to change, and once it is changed, it is not easy to change.

There is relative stability behind the uncertain and accidental appearance. If you toss about uncertainty, your heart will be tortured with the fluctuation of price. Only when it is relatively stable can the operation become easy.

Futures trading is nothing more than opening positions, closing positions, taking profits and stopping losses. It is nothing more than taking advantage of the trend, cutting off losses and letting profits run.

But it's easier said than done. And it will not happen overnight to really realize the difficulty.

Starting with some simple common sense, this paper tries to clear the fog for everyone and find the direction of efforts, so as to avoid detours on the road of growth.

2. Difficulties in opening positions, taking profits and stopping losses.

Open position signal, simple, just look at the basic form.

The difficulty lies in: falling into the fluctuation, but setting a stop loss according to the trend trading idea, the stop loss is often nothing more than eating, but the stop loss will be swept again and again. After a few stops, even eating the big trend can't make up for it.

The fluctuation has a relatively stable range. If you fall into the fluctuation range with the idea of trend trading, then the opening position and stop loss have the nature of chasing up and killing down, which leads to the opening position and stop loss are often at the most unfavorable point. Take profit is either out of the fluctuation range, or there is little profit left after the retreat.

The solution is to regard fluctuation as an interval. Once you find yourself caught in fluctuation, jump out of the circle and wait and see.

The trend has a relatively stable direction, and the fluctuation has a relatively stable tossing space. What traders have to learn is to understand these two relatively stable things. The technology used is nothing more than form and supporting pressure.

Avoid fluctuations, grasp trends, and use support pressure to stop profit and stop loss.

Don't participate in fluctuations, but use the relative stability of fluctuation range, set a stop loss outside fluctuations with the help of support pressure, and leave appropriate tossing space for fluctuations through stop loss to filter out fluctuations.

The key points of opening positions are: don't rush to open positions, calmly capture the morphological signals formed by trends, and pay attention to whether the market is in fluctuation.

If it is a trend market, if it is done right, the stop loss will not be swept; If it is a volatile market and the stop loss is set improperly, it is easy to stop the loss continuously. If you stop the loss many times, the loss will be heavy and irreparable.

The essentials of stop loss: stop loss should be placed outside the fluctuation range to avoid being easily swept away, and at the same time leave room for fluctuation while controlling risks, thus playing a role in filtering fluctuations.

The fluctuation range has certain stability, and it is most afraid of chasing up and down. As long as you open the position and stop the loss, you often get the most unfavorable position in the volatile market, mostly cutting from the top to the bottom, and cutting to the ceiling with an empty floor.

What is even more maddening is that the stop loss is quickly hit, but the take profit is often unable to close the position. People who have been doing futures for a long time believe that everyone has this experience, as if the market is always against themselves.

The answer to this question is: the fluctuation range has certain stability.

The fluctuation range is limited, and chasing up and down is naturally easy to grab the top and bottom.

Since the price goes back and forth repeatedly in the fluctuation range and the stop loss is set in the range, it will naturally be easily swept. Such a stop loss can only bring futile losses, unable to control risks, filter fluctuations and verify trends.

The reason why take profit can't be hit is also very simple. With the idea of trend trading, toss and turn in the fluctuations. Take profit is outside the range, so the probability of hitting is naturally small, or if you don't hit it, you will often move forward a lot.

3. Why is the profit and loss asymmetric?

Afraid of losing money, you will be extremely nervous once you open a position. Once the market is slightly unfavorable, you will leave no room for fluctuation and stop immediately.

This kind of stop loss is often a blind stop loss in the fluctuation range. After the stop loss, the market will often continue in the original direction, so the heart will continue to pursue.

Unfortunately, the market is characterized by many fluctuations and few trends. Chasing up is often near the top and bottom of the fluctuation range, which is the most unfavorable position to enter the market. I can't stand the fluctuation, and I have to stop loss in the fluctuation for a while. Because I don't give up, I will stop loss in chasing up and grab the position near the top and bottom. This is to maximize the efficiency of losing money.

Although the fluctuation range is not large, it is wrong several times near the top and bottom, and the losses are quite heavy, even if it is a big trend, it may not be able to make up for it.

Because there is no stop loss, the established stop loss can neither filter fluctuations nor prevent risks, so it is considered useless, so it falls into the other extreme: death.

If you are wrong, don't give up and stick to it. Stocks can be held for ten or eight years, but as long as futures are traded in large quantities, a trend market is enough to explode.

Because of fear of loss, if death turns loss into profit, the first thing that comes to mind is profit taking.

Even if I want to wait a little longer, I am afraid of losing money and falling into my bag, and the trend is full of twists and turns. Retreat is a common occurrence. This frightened mentality can't stand the threat of retreating. Eager to make a profit is often to make a profit at the most unfavorable position, thus minimizing the profit.

Under this common concept, the loss is maximized and the profit is minimized. This operation mode is repeated, no matter how long it is operated, it is a word of "compensation". And any technology and theory will be used to guide the maximum efficiency of losing money.

4. The basic idea of profit: cut off losses and let profits run.

Everyone will say stop loss, but few people really know how to stop loss effectively.

You won't stop loss because you don't realize the meaning of trend, fluctuation and fluctuation range.

Why do many people think that stop loss is invalid, and if you don't stop loss, you will lose a lot? Why do many people stop loss, not only can't control the risk, but bring serious losses?

It is considered that the stop loss is invalid because it will not be set and will be placed in the fluctuation range, and there is no room for fluctuation. Naturally, it will be swept by fluctuations again and again, which will not help to filter fluctuations and judge trends, but will bring unnecessary losses again and again. At the same time, it will be considered invalid because of the invalid stop loss set, and it will stop loss when it is lucky. Once you go against the trend, you will suffer heavy losses.

The meaning of profit lies in: holding a profit list.

Why can't you hold it? Because the trend twists and turns in a fluctuating way, it retreats again and again, so that people who don't know how to filter fluctuations run away. If you can't get the profit list, you can't control the loss. Without losing money, there is no justice.

It is not enough to understand the concept of trend. Almost everyone knows the existence of the trend, but few people can keep the profit list. The reason is that they don't know how to filter fluctuations.

How to filter fluctuations?

It's simple. Just set the stop loss.

Because the fluctuation range has certain stability, setting a stop loss outside the fluctuation range can play the following roles:

Filter fluctuations and leave enough room for the market to retreat;

Control risks. If it is wrong, the biggest loss is the range of stop loss, which will not cause uncontrollable situations.

Judging the trend, if you stop the loss, it is likely that the trend is in the wrong direction.

Truncation loss:

It is so simple that no one knows the stop loss.

Stop loss needs to set different fluctuation ranges, and it is effective to set it outside the fluctuation range with the help of common sense of supporting pressure. It is not easy to be swept away, which can control risks and help to verify trends and filter fluctuations. Really versatile people.

Let profits run:

It's scary to say: just take the income statement.

The problem is that even if futures people know the trend, they don't know the stability of the fluctuation range and how to filter the fluctuation. Even if they know the trend, they can't watch the trend slip away with a list. Comfort yourself at the end of the summary. I know the trend and judge correctly, but I don't have the list.

I only know the trend, I don't know the fluctuation, I don't know how to filter the fluctuation, and I said that the stop loss is only self-deception, and the stop loss can abolish him; Talking about trends is also self-deception. You can see it, but you can't eat it. Even if you do it right, a retreat will scare him away.

The trend is easy to know, but if you want to control the trend, don't know the relative stability of the fluctuation range, and filter the fluctuation, so as to effectively stop the loss and deal with the retracement, the trend will never be able to do it. Everyone knows the trend, and everyone knows the stop loss, but there are very few stop losses, and few people can hold the order.

I can only introduce you to the simplest operating rules:

1, looking for opportunities to open positions.

2. Set a stop loss, but the loss is not three.

3. If you don't encounter a stop loss, wait until you close your position.

If you open a good position, it will be easier and more active to establish a stop loss. The skill of opening a position can be based on the basic form, of course, it would be better if there are other methods that are handy for you.

Stop loss points should be set outside the fluctuation range and within the fluctuation range, which can only cause invalid stop loss, and the three opportunities will soon be used up. The loss caused by stop loss can not control the risk, nor can it help to filter the fluctuation and verify the trend. It's just a white loss.

Stop loss shall not exceed three times within a fixed period (one day, one week, one month, etc.). ) avoid frequent stop losses and suffer serious losses. It is not easy to set up fluctuations and avoid them under the condition of insufficient skills. With the control of stop-loss times, fluctuations can be avoided, and to some extent, the situation of hot-headed blind operation can be avoided.

Remember, stop loss must be placed outside the fluctuation range, leaving appropriate fluctuation space, so as to effectively control risks and play a role in verifying trends, exploring and avoiding fluctuations to a certain extent.

There is no skill in holding a profit statement, just wait until the end.

As long as you don't stop loss, even if the sky falls, you have to wait until the fixed period you set ends.

The simpler the rules, the better. If you push the market too tight and leave no room for fluctuations, you won't be able to hold the list.

Auxiliary take profit and push:

With a fixed stop-loss interval, bet on the interval of K-line entities with a fixed period.

The maximum stop loss shall not exceed one third of the average possible profit rate.

If the market is extreme, you can change the stop loss position to a flat position near the cost price.

The market operation range is relatively large. In order to keep a certain profit when there is an accident in the market, you can set up a take profit position where the stop loss is two to three times, and guarantee a part of the profit when the market suddenly changes.

In addition, you can only close your position at the end of a fixed week.

This is probably the case with the framework. It can't be too complicated, otherwise it will be self-defeating and impossible to operate. Stop loss is a trap in fluctuation, and profit sheet can't be held.

If we can't grasp the fluctuation law and control the relatively stable fluctuation range and relatively stable trend, we can only gamble in this rude way.

Specific details, each person in this principle, according to their own characteristics to explore.

So much for the basics of futures trading.

Stop loss is set outside the fluctuation range, not at the edge of the fluctuation range, which includes the treatment of false breakthrough.

False breakthroughs will naturally not break through a lot, and too many breakthroughs are real breakthroughs. False breakthrough is the best position in the middle of the trend and the best inflection point signal at the end of the trend.

As for the sudden advance and retreat of the long shadow line, such accidents are rare after all. This kind of accident, nature is to leave the scene first, and then go to the fighter. Do not bear the inexplicable impact of the market, not a feather can be added, nor can flies be dropped.

The fluctuation range is related to the level of operation, and fluctuation and trend are relative, so it is meaningful to consider the fluctuation range and trend market at the same level. Relative to the trend, the fluctuation range is still very small.

The fluctuation range also has certain rules, but it is too complicated to handle without corresponding technology and sufficient motivation, so the odds are not as good as the losses.

If an extended interval is subdivided, it will often form three levels, head-neck-head, which is similar to the structure of upper horizontal and lower horizontal, or the evolution form of the structure is the interval three tones. Knowing this, the fluctuation range can also be operated by the upper and lower edges of the neckline.

In addition, the fluctuation amplitude is relatively stable, and the top and bottom can be manipulated by using the characteristics of the structure.

How to cheat the top and bottom:

One is to place an order in advance near the edge of the interval, and the transaction is often at or near the top and bottom.

Second, the market suddenly broke out in the fluctuation. The outbreak stopped at a price of three or five seconds and then closed the position. The basic grab was the top and bottom. Even if it is a trend market, such points are also the top and bottom of the stage. If you operate with speculative ideas, you can steal a few points.

Grasping the top and the bottom is definitely more common, but people often catch it backwards. The reason why it is easy to grab the top and bottom is because of this fluctuation. If you chase after the fluctuation, you will catch up with the top and bottom seven or eight times; In the opposite direction, you can naturally go up and down.

In addition, it is a speculative idea to make use of the fluctuation of the bid and ask price to hang orders, steal a point from each bid and ask price, steal a point from fluctuation, and steal a point from retracement to make a profit, which is very fun. Some fried orders play well, and the most important thing is to grab points.