Due to the uneven precipitation in China this year, there is a big difference in rice yield between the north and the south, and the trend of rice market has also been greatly differentiated.
At present, the price trend of rice in China is flat, with the average price of japonica rice being 5. 18 yuan/kg and that of indica rice being 4.8 1 yuan/kg.
So how much is a catty of rice now? The following small series will introduce the trend forecast of rice prices before and after the National Day in 2022.
What is the price of rice this year?
1, Anhui
4 yuan/kg of glutinous rice in Lixin County, Bozhou City, Anhui Province; Japonica rice 1.89 yuan/kg in Chaohu City, Hefei City, Anhui Province; Broken rice 1.8 yuan/kg in Fengyang County, Chuzhou City, Anhui Province; 2 yuan/kg, Changli Township, susong county, Anqing City, Anhui Province; Silk seedling rice in Shushan District, Hefei City, Anhui Province is 2.99 yuan/kg; Mingguang city Indica Rice 1.98 yuan/kg in Chuzhou, Anhui.
2. Hunan
2. Glutinous rice in Hengyang County, Hengyang City, Hunan Province16 yuan/kg; Japonica rice in Furong District, Changsha City, Hunan Province is 2.79 yuan/kg; Huanghua, Heshan District, Yiyang City, Hunan Province, sticks to 2.3 yuan/kg; Daoxiang, Furong District, Changsha City, Hunan Province, 3.22 yuan/kg; Long-grain incense in Furong District, Changsha City, Hunan Province is 3.24 yuan/kg; Fragrant rice in Jingzhou Miao and Dong Autonomous County, Huaihua City, Hunan Province is 4.69 yuan/kg; Indica Rice 1.95 yuan/kg in Heshan District, Yiyang City, Hunan Province.
3. Heilongjiang
2.5 yuan/kg of glutinous rice in Fujin City, Jiamusi City, Heilongjiang Province; Japonica rice in wuchang city, Harbin, Heilongjiang is 3.35 yuan/kg; Crab rice 1.85 yuan/kg in Bayan County, Harbin City, Heilongjiang Province; Wuchang city, Harbin, Heilongjiang, rice fragrance, 5.23 yuan/kg; Se-enriched rice 4.5 yuan/kg in Qing 'an County, Suihua City, Heilongjiang Province; Wuchang city fragrant rice in Harbin, Heilongjiang is 4.63 yuan/kg; 4.5 yuan/kg of indica rice in Mishan City, Jixi City, Heilongjiang Province; Heilongjiang Harbin wuchang city pearl rice 3.74 yuan/kg, etc.
4. Jilin
6 yuan/kg of glutinous rice in Longjing City, Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture, Jilin Province; Dehui city, Changchun City, Jilin Province Japonica rice 2.9 yuan/kg; Pearl rice, Zhenlai County, Baicheng City, Jilin Province, 2.68 yuan/kg; Northeast rice in dehui city, Changchun City, Jilin Province is 2.63 yuan/kg; Changli Township, Hunchun City, Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture, Jilin Province, 2.87 yuan/kg; Selenium-enriched rice in Taobei District, Baicheng City, Jilin Province is 6.63 yuan/kg.
5. Shandong
3.4 yuan/kg of glutinous rice in Dongchangfu District, Liaocheng City, Shandong Province; 6 yuan/kg of japonica rice in Hanting District, Weifang City, Shandong Province; Japonica rice in Leling City, Dezhou City, Shandong Province is 3.94 yuan/kg; Broken rice 1.95 yuan/kg in lanshan district, Linyi City; Daohuaxiang in Junan County, Linyi City, Shandong Province is 3.85 yuan/kg; Tengzhou City, Zaozhuang City, Shandong Province, has a long grain fragrance of 2.74 yuan/kg; Tengzhou City, Zaozhuang City, Shandong Province, fragrant rice 2.23 yuan/kg; 3.2 yuan/kg of Simiaomi in Tengzhou City, Zaozhuang City, Shandong Province; Pearl rice, Tengzhou City, Zaozhuang City, Shandong Province, 2.08 yuan/kg, etc.
Note: The rice quotations in some of the above producing areas are all from Huinong Market Hall. Com, for reference only. Please refer to the latest local real-time price for the specific quotation.
Prediction of rice price trend around the National Day in 2022
In September, with the opening of colleges and universities, the demand for rice stocking increased and the weather gradually turned cold. Driven by the National Day, the downstream dealers' enthusiasm for stocking goods on holidays increased, and the delivery of rice in the sales area was slightly accelerated.
At present, the new season japonica rice in northern China has been listed one after another, but the price has been steadily decreasing. The quality of mid-late indica rice in Hubei and Anhui is deviated, and the processing cost is high, while the increase of glutinous rice has slowed down.
Due to the recent repeated epidemics in many places in China, the mobility of people has declined, and the market consumption has been limited, rice will be deadlocked in the peak season.
Affected by the drought in the south, the crops in the new season are seriously damaged, and the rice yield and quality are not as good as in previous years. Since the harvest of new crops in the north, the weather has been good, the water content has gradually decreased and the rice yield has gradually stabilized.
With the arrival of the National Day, new rice is still on the market and the market supply is sufficient.
However, the quality of new grain in the south has a great influence, and the rice yield is low. It is estimated that around the National Day in 2022, the rice price in the south will be at a low level, and the new grain in the north will be stable.
With the increasingly close contact between international and domestic rice markets, the rice market in China will also be affected to some extent.
But on the whole, it has little impact on domestic rice supply and demand, but China rice export may usher in a good opportunity.
Affected by the epidemic, the rice market demand is not prosperous in the peak season, and the price increase is weak.
On the whole, supported by the expected reduction of rice production in the south and the strong trend of international rice, it is difficult for the domestic rice market price to drop sharply recently, and high-quality rice in some areas even shows a strong trend.