Nowadays, oil has become a necessity for industrial development in all countries, just as water is an indispensable substance for human life. Today, with the increasing demand for oil, it is particularly important for a country to control, store and transport oil strategically. As the largest economy in the world, the United States has the highest demand for oil in the world. Oil has become their economic lifeline, and its role is almost equivalent to money. Worried about oil transportation in the Middle East, coveting Iranian oil and worrying that Iran has nuclear weapons, it imposed economic sanctions on Iran and called on EU member States to also impose economic blockade on it. These three reasons for imposing economic sanctions on Iraq are not the same as those for attacking Iraq in those years. They are just attacking Iraq under the guise of overthrowing Saddam Hussein's dictatorship and fighting terrorism, and there are more reasons. . .

First, talk about Iran.

Regarding the Iranian nuclear issue, I very much support the Bush administration's policy of resolutely cracking down on it, and Iran cannot be allowed to possess nuclear weapons. Because once Iran possesses nuclear weapons, it will lead the nuclear arms race in the Middle East, Asia and Europe and even the whole world. Once Iran has nuclear weapons, it is likely that nuclear technology will be lost to terrorists because of Iran's insufficient security measures, which is a great trouble. Once Iran has nuclear weapons, it will have proud capital, it will intensify, and it can do other things. So I strongly support Bush's approach.

In particular, the Guardian reported a few days ago that in recent months, more than 60 Iranian nationals in Britain have obtained permission from the British national security department to go to British universities to study technical disciplines related to the manufacture of nuclear weapons (of course, these disciplines do not have nuclear weapons on the surface, but these technologies are needed in the process of manufacturing nuclear weapons. )。 Although Britain has taken corresponding measures, Iranians are getting closer and closer to the goal of successfully manufacturing nuclear weapons. This requires more sanctions against Iran.

Besides, I hate Ahmadinejad very much. Am I influenced by the demonization of Ahmadinejad by American media? . . . . I'm not sure about that either. Maybe I am disgusted that the Iranian people are very supportive of the Iranian government's nuclear program. When I look at the situation of the people, it is 68% compared with the polls of the Iranian media. 5% people support the nuclear program. . . I am both worried and disgusted with the Iranian people. How can the Iranian people be so ignorant and engage in nuclear weapons? On the other hand, if China is in the Iranian position and has no nuclear weapons, we will definitely support the government to engage in nuclear weapons. Therefore, I gave up hating the Iranian people. After all, this idea is not consistent with the peaceful rise of China. But I am still firmly opposed to Iran's nuclear program.

So from Iran's point of view, I think the United States is doing the right thing. All EU member states, including China and Russia, should follow suit. That's how things should be solved.

However, things are not as simple as I thought.

On the Russian side, Putin actually promised Iran to help him build a peaceful nuclear facility for power generation projects. I was surprised when I saw the news, and then I thought about it before I realized it. There should be three reasons for Putin's move (I only think so much, and I guess there may be more inside information).

1 Putin is to win the favor of voters for the election of the State Duma. Putin, who was born in KGB, has a strong desire for power. He is really worried about whether his next president can be a good president. After all, Russia's economy and people's livelihood are very poor now. In order to express his anti-American stance and cater to the current mentality of the powerful and voters (because all those who can vote and speak in the political and economic fields are from the Cold War, and their thoughts are branded as anti-American reprints), he has gained more support. He not only ignored his personal friendship with Bush, but also advocated that the deployment of missiles by the United States in Poland was a recurrence of the Cuban missile crisis. On the Iranian side, he was very supportive of Iran.

2 The strategic needs of Russia's rise. If Russia wants to re-establish its position and fight against America, it must improve its influence. In order to achieve this, Russia's recent activities are concentrated in: inciting anti-American sentiment in the Commonwealth of Independent States; In eastern European countries, they secretly supported Tymoshenko's orange revolution (by the way, Tymoshenko is so beautiful) and a series of political revolutions in eastern Europe; On the issue of Iran, take the road of peaceful negotiations.

Russia retaliated a little and got Iranian oil supply by the way. There is an ultra-ultra-large oil field with proven reserves of11billion tons in northern Iraq. This was originally part of Saddam's repayment of the huge sum of $654.38+03 billion owed to Russia. However, after the Iraq war, it was taken back by the Iraqi government (of course, the United States was operating behind the scenes) and companies from other countries were selected for development. The Iraqi government's move made Russia very angry. So Russia supports Iran. In particular, Iran is also a big oil country. Today, when several Steins cut off part of Russia's natural gas and oil supply, Russia urgently needs a new partner, so it turned its attention to isolated Iran. Helping Iran at this time is undoubtedly a life-saving straw for Iran, which has greatly improved Russia's position among the Iranian people. Iran owes Russia a favor. Once the future war breaks out, Russia can directly control the situation in the Middle East through Iran and obtain oil resources.

Therefore, Russia unexpectedly and reasonably supports Iran.

Besides, our big China. Since we in China are bent on development and peaceful rise, we will naturally not get too involved in Iranian affairs. And some companies in China have economic and trade relations with Iranian companies (this is my own guess). China takes a neutral attitude towards Russia and the United States-demanding a peaceful solution to the Iranian nuclear issue, that is, neither supporting nor imposing an economic blockade. In fact, I think the real reason for China leaders to do this should be the oil supply in the Middle East. As we all know, most of the oil imported by China comes from Africa, while the oil in the Middle East has always been controlled by the United States, Japan and Europe. If China's peaceful attitude wins the favor of Iranian authorities, it will undoubtedly provide a new partner and good opportunity for China's future oil import. China can also get a slice of Middle East oil.

Therefore, we in China have adopted a neutral attitude. . . But it seems interesting. . . .

Now it's time to talk about sanctions in Europe and America.

I have finished typing the three reasons why the United States sanctioned Iran. In any case, it is doomed that Bush will be accused in the future. It is also a foregone conclusion that the United States will sanction Iran. I won't talk about the mess in America. Maybe around June 5438+next year 10, I will always record things about the United States, and then I will talk about the subprime mortgage in the United States, the credit crisis, the finance of Congress, the failed research and development of the Ministry of National Defense, and the housing prices in the United States.

Now, look at the 27 member States of the European Union. The United States has not imposed sanctions on Iran for a day or two, nor has it called on EU member States to impose sanctions on Iran. However, major European countries have not taken measures yet, just waiting and seeing. Why is this? I doubt very much that they don't echo the American practice, but I can't find out the reason, so I have to force two, and I don't know if it's right. . . .

1 worried about China and Russia (it is estimated that this is more accurate). European member States are afraid that when Europe and the United States implement economic measures against Iran, China and Russia will have the opportunity to gain more support from Iran, thus damaging the interests of Europe and the United States in the Middle East.

2 Worried about the supply of crude oil. This is similar to the main reason of China's neutral analysis, so I won't go into details. (I guess this is not very important)

By the way, the EU may also be worried about patriotic terrorists in Iran. . . . However, this is no big deal, and it is not a reason.

In short, European countries have not imposed specific economic sanctions on Iran. The specific reason is still the old saying-there is an inside story. . . . We ordinary people don't think much about it. . . . Thinking more will not improve my study. . . . But according to the words of Changhe (another name for our physics teacher)-this is training to send ~ disperse ~ think ~ dimension ~! There are still great benefits.

Now I make a prediction.

Forecast premise: Due to the U.S. rule over NATO, it should be a matter of time before EU countries impose sanctions on Iran, but I don't know whether they will impose all-round economic sanctions. If the 27 member States of the European Union are basically synonymous with sanctions against Iran, then Germany, which opposes sanctions against Iran, will also comply with public opinion. Therefore, it is imperative for Europe and the United States to sanction Iran. (70% realizability)

Classification discussion (daily use of sets and functions):

Iran considers the world economy and global peace. Give up uranium enrichment and not develop a nuclear program. Europe and the United States gradually lifted sanctions.

Iran terminates uranium enrichment. But with the help of Russia, develop nuclear power projects. The results are also divided into three types: 1 Europe and America, 2 Europe and America, 2 Europe and America, 3 interference and 3 WAR3.

Iran retaliated. Reduce crude oil production, on the basis of not affecting the livelihood and oil supply of Iranian migrant workers, try to reduce the original output and reduce or even not export crude oil. Then the international crude oil futures price will definitely exceed the price of 100 US dollars a barrel, and even reach 200 US dollars a barrel. Then the global transportation cost increased, the labor cost increased, the global stock market plummeted, and N transportation companies, shipping companies and railway companies went bankrupt. The number of unemployed people has increased. Although the international community will increase crude oil production in other regions to stabilize the situation, this is not a long-term solution. With the economic recession becoming more and more obvious, the cost of all walks of life (because all walks of life are inseparable from transportation) has increased, prices have soared and inflation has become serious. Therefore, the actual deposits in people's hands represent less physical objects and worthless money, which causes social unrest and affects social living standards and economic development (this paragraph is the influence of inflation written in the political book, and I wrote it generally correctly). There is nothing the U.S. government can do about it. . . . .

Finally, I chose c ~! Sad ~!

In a word, I hope the international community can solve the Iranian issue peacefully.