Current location - Trademark Inquiry Complete Network - Futures platform - Can investors buy gold at $560 per ounce, sell gold at $559, borrow money at an annual interest rate of 6% and lend money at an annual interest rate of 5.5%?
Can investors buy gold at $560 per ounce, sell gold at $559, borrow money at an annual interest rate of 6% and lend money at an annual interest rate of 5.5%?
Suppose an investor buys an ounce of gold in the quantity of m, then when he buys it at $560, he needs to pay $560 million, and when he sells it at $559, he can get back $559 million.

In addition, investors can borrow money at an annual interest rate of 6% or 5.5%. If investors choose to borrow money, they need to repay the principal plus interest after one year. If he borrows X dollars, he needs to pay x*( 1+6%)= 1.06x dollars. On the contrary, if investors choose to lend funds, they can recover the principal and interest after one year. If they lend Y dollars, they can recover Y * (1+5.5%) =1.055Y dollars.

If investors arbitrage, two conditions should be met:

The capital needed to buy gold is not higher than the borrowing cost.

That is, 560m ≤1.06x.

The proceeds from the sale of gold shall not be lower than the loan interest.

That is, 559m ≥1.055y.

By sorting out the above two formulas, we can get:

m/x ≤ 1.06/560

m/y ≥ 1.055/559

Since m is the quantity of gold purchased, it must be a positive number, so the first inequality requires that the left side should not be less than zero, that is, x ≥ (1.06/560) m. Take the reciprocal of the right side and multiply it by 560 to get 560x≥ 1.06m, that is, x ≥ (1.06/560).

m/( 1.055/559) ≤ y

Similarly, because Y is a loan fund, it must be a positive number, so the above formula requires that the right side should not be less than zero, so there is y≥( 1.055/559)m, and the left side is multiplied by (1.055/559) to get:

( 1.055/559)m ≤ y

Combining the above two inequalities, we can get:

( 1.055/559)m≤y≤m/( 1.06/560)

That is to say, the precondition for investors to carry out arbitrage is that the gold price fluctuates in the range of [( 1.055/559) × 560, (1.06/560) × m]. In other words, investors can arbitrage only when the price of gold rises or falls beyond this range.