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Explain the butterfly effect with an example, thank you!

From the perspective of the "butterfly effect", Wu Song's personal behavior may have affected the Song Dynasty and even world history. This is just like in butterfly effect economics, the economy and society do not operate like machines, but more like living organisms.

In November 1059 AD, Wu Erlang, who killed a tiger on Jingyanggang, was promoted exceptionally. Wu Dutou was playing on the street and met his long-lost brother Wu Dalang. Pan Jinlian, a sister-in-law, has a crush on her eight-foot-tall brother-in-law who has the status of a "cadre".

A few days later, when Wu Dalang went out to sell sesame cakes, a temptation spread out at home, but he failed. He was sternly rejected by the righteous Wu Dutou, and moved back to the county government to show his determination. Next, Pan Jinlian hooked up with Ximen Qing and poisoned Wu Dalang. In Wudu, blood spattered Yuanyang Tower and Jiang Menshen was drunk. Then he walked to Centipede Ridge at night and met Song Gongming in Time, and decided to rebel together.

What would the history of the Song Dynasty be like if Wu Song followed Pan Jinlian? Let us spread the wings of our imagination: First of all, it would be difficult for Song Jiang to be recruited without Wu Song; Liangshan heroes would not conquer Fangla, and even if they conquered, there would be no one-armed Wu Song to capture Fangla.

If Fang La had not died, the Song Dynasty might not have attacked the Liao Dynasty, the Jin Dynasty would not have risen, the Mongols would not have destroyed the Jin Dynasty, and the Song Dynasty would not have perished... The moment Wu Song pushed Pan Jinlian away , opened Pandora's box and knocked down the dominoes that rewrote the history of the Song Dynasty!

However, the discovery of the chaos effect in 1963 posed a huge challenge to traditional economics: scientist Lorenz published an article in the magazine "Atmospheric Science" pointing out that the failure of climate to accurately repeat itself and the difficulty of long-term weather forecasters There must be a connection between powerlessness, which is the connection between non-periodicity and unpredictability. He also discovered the "extreme sensitivity of chaos to initial conditions."

This can be vividly compared to the "butterfly effect": in theory, if a butterfly in Brazil flaps its wings, this disturbance will cause a very big difference in another place far away. , will make long-term predictions impossible, and may even be amplified by the system into a storm thousands of kilometers away in Africa.

Extended information:

The "butterfly effect" on the tip of the Chinese tongue:

British media said that the Chinese middle class is keen to buy American pork, leading to Residents near the Carolina pig farm are complaining because the increase in pigs has brought about the problem of the stench of pig manure.

It is also reported by the British media: China has significantly reduced its milk imports, creating a global milk surplus and international milk prices falling to a six-year low.

If you browse casually, there are countless such news: such as "Chinese demand pushes up Japanese fruit prices" and "Chinese demand pushes up Malaysian bird's nest prices." The "storm" caused by the tip of the tongue is just the tip of the iceberg. Gold prices tumbled as the Chinese market unexpectedly sold tons of gold bars. Some American media complained bitterly: "The slowdown in China's demand has made the U.S. coal industry even worse."

In a word, China's demand has as much power as the "butterfly effect" in the global market.

People's Daily Online - The Economics of the Butterfly Effect from the Story of Water Margin

People's Daily Online - The "Butterfly Effect" on the Tip of Chinese People's Tongues