According to "Bao-National Pig Market", although the prices of piglets and dual-energy sows in many areas have hit record lows, there are still cases where the supply of breeding pigs and piglets in some pig farms is in short supply, even in the second half of the year.
What's going on here? Is it time for pig price to die? Please see the specific analysis:
1. The price of piglets in major provinces and cities in China today 15 kg, 20 kg.
2. Analysis of the national hog market:
Today, the national pig price continues to stabilize, and the price adjustment of slaughter enterprises is not much.
By region:
Narrow adjustment of pig price in northern China.
Sanyuan pigs outside Heilongjiang are stable, and the mainstream price is 5.4-5.9 yuan/kg; Jilin is stable, and the mainstream price is 5.5-6.0 yuan/kg; Liaoning is stable, and the mainstream price is 5.7-6.2 yuan/kg.
Some provinces and cities have limited transportation of live pigs and white strips, and there are not many slaughter at the end of the month. Slaughtering enterprises still have resistance to collecting pigs at low prices, and pig prices are stable and small.
The price of pigs in the south is mainly stable.
Sanyuan pigs outside Guangdong are stable, and the mainstream price is 6.2-6.7 yuan/kg; Guangxi is stable, and the mainstream price is 5.9-6.5 yuan/kg; Hainan is stable, and the mainstream price is 8.0-8.5 yuan/kg.
The pace of scale market slowed down, white goods did not improve, and pig prices continued to run smoothly.
3. Progress of live pig futures:
On March 29th, the opening price of the main contract of live pig futures was 12690 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 12990 yuan/ton, up by 2.85%.
The highest intraday price reached 13060 yuan/ton.
Settlement price 12905 yuan/ton.
The position decreased from 2 1362 to 4342.
4. Pig market outlook.
On the one hand, the rebound of this futures price is caused by short-term departure; On the other hand, affected by the epidemic, the transportation of live pigs and white strips in some areas was not smooth, which led to the rebound of futures prices.
However, due to the increase in feed prices, the breeding costs of farmers have increased. With the improvement of epidemic prevention and control situation, there is a risk that future futures prices will fall regardless of financial pressure or concentrate on the market.
It is suggested to collect the rhythm of farmers' slaughter.
The piglet trading situation in the market is divided. There are more than 200 piglets in the local area, and no one buys them. In some areas, the price of piglets increased by 50- 100 yuan/head compared with the previous period.
Some farmers are optimistic about the market in the second half of the year, and the number of inquiries for supplementary columns has increased. However, the current supplementary column may increase the rising height in the second half of the year.
What source: what original author supports the agricultural market package:
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