In the futures market, the market is always right, and the reason for our trading losses lies in ourselves, not in the market. Many futures investors often blame the market for failure, which is a very wrong idea. Only by constantly summing up and reflecting on ourselves can we be prepared to judge the trend of the futures market. The author believes that when analyzing the market, we should pay attention to the following aspects. Before entering the market, you need to know the fundamentals of futures: spot is the basis of futures, and the factors that affect the spot trend will eventually determine the long-term trend of the futures market. Therefore, before participating in the futures trading of a certain variety, we must first find out what factors affect the market trend of this variety, how high the correlation is, whether it is positive or negative, and so on. For example, the factors affecting the trend of Shanghai Copper include the international economic situation, domestic macro-policies, industry supply and demand, changes in the US dollar index, and price comparison of related products. The outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States has delayed the growth of the world economy and had a negative impact on the prices of commodities including copper. However, the decline in US economic growth has led to a decline in the US dollar index, which is bullish on copper. At this time, the trend of copper price depends on the comparison between the two sides. The importance of technical analysis in market judgment: the former mainly analyzes the supply and demand factors and other related factors that affect the market trend, and the conclusion can reflect the long-term changes of the market. However, the disadvantage of this method is that it is slow to respond and cannot accurately grasp the short-term fluctuations of the market. Technical analysis method tries to find the basic law of market trend through incomplete summary of past trend. Although technical analysis can better predict short-term market fluctuations, when analyzing long-term trends, it often enters the misunderstanding that only trees can not see forests. It can be seen that each method has its own advantages, but it also has defects. In market analysis, only by organically combining these two analytical methods to learn from each other's strong points can we objectively grasp the future market trend. Even for technical analysis, we can use different analysis tools. Such as morphological analysis, trend analysis, quantity and price analysis, wave theory, Dow theory and so on. In addition, there are auxiliary technical indicators such as golden ratio, moving average, KD and MACD. These indicators reveal the law of futures price operation from different angles, but sometimes the warning signals given by these indicators are quite different or even completely opposite due to different analysis angles. In fact, these tools are based on past transaction data to predict the later trend. Although the mathematical model and parameters are very different, the analysis ideas are similar. Therefore, as a futures market trader, you only need to choose one or two analytical tools according to your trading habits, which can fully meet the needs of market analysis. Traders don't have to struggle to separate multiple auxiliary indicators. The key is to judge the trend: according to different time periods, the market can be divided into long-term trends and short-term trends. The long-term trend mainly reflects the market changes as long as two or three months as short as one or two weeks, while the short-term trend mainly reflects the market changes in the past one or two trading days or even a few days. Sometimes, the short-term trend is in the same direction as the long-term trend, and sometimes, the short-term trend is separated from the long-term trend or even opposite. In futures trading, we must adhere to the principle that short-term trading conforms to the medium-and long-term trend, because only when the short-term trend conforms to the medium-and long-term trend can there be more profit opportunities and the risks borne by traders can be lower. After fundamental and technical analysis, we must firmly believe in our well-thought-out conclusions. You can't easily change your point of view because of the temporary deviation between the short-term market trend and your own judgment, nor can you get carried away because of the short-term correct judgment. Therefore, after market analysis, we should keep a certain distance from the market. Paying too much attention to the short-term market trend may disturb our correct analysis of the medium and long-term market. The important role of stop loss in futures trading: after the order direction is determined, the stop loss price must be set. Even if your prediction accuracy is higher and your data analysis is more comprehensive, you will stumble sometimes. Therefore, after analyzing the market every time, we must set a stop-loss price and control the loss within the range we can bear. Stay in the green hills, don't worry about burning wood ―― there is life, there is hope.