Since the pig futures contract hit a low point of 220 1kloc-0/3365 yuan/ton, the Big bounce range is about 32%, continuing a small fluctuation trend. In the same period, the average price of pork in 22 provinces in China rose from 10.68 yuan/kg to the current 17.62 yuan/kg, with a rebound rate of over 60%. In the short and medium term, the possibility of a sharp rise in the price of live pigs is low.

According to relevant data, the lowest profit of outsourcing piglet breeding reached-1.600 yuan/head in June, and the lowest profit of self-bred pig breeding reached -780 yuan/head in June. Logically speaking, the loss or low profit of breeding will accelerate the elimination rate of pigs, and factors such as low price, panic selling and off-season switching will amplify the elimination rate. By the end of September, there were 44.59 million fertile sows in China, a decrease of 6.5438+0.05 million from the previous month. Judging from seasonal factors, the number of fertile sows is still at a historical high. At the same time, the profit of outsourcing piglet breeding has recovered to 280-300 yuan/head; The profit of self-bred pigs is about 150 yuan/head.