According to the data, on July 25, the pig price fell for four days in a row, and the decline increased again. The average price of live pigs bottomed out at 22.0 1 yuan, down 0.09 yuan from the previous day and 7.7% from the price at the beginning of the month. This round of live pig prices fell 1.84 yuan/kg, and pig prices rebounded. In northern and southern China, the price of pigs has further bottomed out!
Among them, in the northern market, in the traditional low-price area, the price of pigs in the three northeastern provinces gradually bottomed out at 10.5 yuan/kg, and the Heijiliao market generally fell into the "10 yuan era", with the price hovering at 10.5 ~ 10.7 yuan/kg.
Southern market, traditional high-priced area, Sichuan-Chongqing market fluctuated and rose. Slaughterhouse quotation 10.85 ~ 1 1 yuan/kg. Pig prices in East China generally fell. In Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets in high-priced areas, the price dropped to 10 yuan/kg, and that in Zhejiang dropped to 65448. Shandong market fell to 1 1 yuan/kg, and Guangdong pig price fell to 1 1.9 yuan/kg.
The price of live pigs has dropped, and the downward pressure on the staged market has increased sharply!
On the one hand, the slaughter profit at the breeding end is relatively loose. As the price of live pigs goes down, the market pressure weakens and the supply of live pigs is relatively loose. Especially affected by regulatory factors, the pace of slaughter of large pig enterprises has accelerated, the circulation of pig sources in the market has increased, and the procurement difficulty of slaughterhouses has weakened;
On the other hand, the excessive rise in the price of live pigs has accelerated the rise in the price of terminal pork, and the problem of unsatisfactory follow-up consumption has become increasingly prominent. However, due to the weak downstream demand, the average daily order of slaughterhouses decreased, and the daily slaughter volume of some slaughterhouses decreased by more than 30%. The pressure on slaughterhouses to purchase pigs has weakened, and the supply of large pig enterprises is relatively loose. Therefore, the slaughterhouse has insufficient demand for social pig sources, and the mood of price reduction has become stronger!
In addition, after entering the dog days, the risk of epidemic disease in pig farms has increased sharply, and the risk of "small non-"has increased in some areas. There is a certain panic at the breeding end, the second fattening is loose, the retail pig farm is in a downturn, the market supply and demand are weak, and the demand side is in a downturn, further aggravating the downward trend of pig prices!
Therefore, based on multiple factors, the price of pigs fluctuated and fell. Personally, this round of pig price is likely to fall below 1 1 yuan/kg, the center of gravity of pig price will continue to decline, and the price will gradually drop to around 10.5 yuan/kg.
In the grain market, the corn market has been declining recently. Due to the sharp drop in international food prices, domestic corn futures prices are weak, and the market is increasingly bearish. Deep processing enterprises reduce operating costs and prices. Recently, corn producing areas have entered the rainy season, and the listing of tidal grain has increased, further aggravating the performance of enterprises to suppress prices!
According to industry analysis, traders in Northeast China and North China have sufficient corn stocks at this stage, which is not optimistic compared with previous years' sales. However, the wet grain market has increased, corn just needs to be weak, and low-priced rice has been replaced by feed mills. The downstream products of deep processing enterprises are not smooth, and the pressure of product destocking is great. The machine operating rate of enterprises is low, so they are more cautious about the grain source in storage. Domestic spot corn oscillated downward. The quotation of deep processing enterprises in some markets in Shandong fell below 65438.
At present, the decline of corn has dropped slightly. In Shandong market, although the arrival of enterprises has decreased to about 160 vehicles, it is difficult for corn quotation to rebound due to low demand enthusiasm. Many factories in Shandong Province fluctuated downward, and the prices of enterprises fell 10 ~ 20 yuan/ton. In Jilin, Heilongjiang, Inner Mongolia, corn prices also fell within a narrow range! Among them, the price of corn in Shandong market dropped to 1.373~ 1.472 yuan/kg, while the prices of Linqing Golden Corn, Tai 'an Feicheng Fukuan and Heze Chengwu fell below 1.38 yuan/kg.
Personally, in the short term, corn prices still lack the basis for a sharp rise. Due to the weak demand side, wet grain will increase in rainy season, and the center of gravity of corn price will still be lowered! However, as the quotation of many enterprises in Shandong fell below 1.4 yuan/kg, the price gradually fell below the warehouse cost price of traders. Therefore, traders' shipping sentiment will gradually weaken. Only when tide grain is listed, high-quality grain sources will have strong price sentiment. Therefore, the decline of corn prices is limited. After entering the middle and late August, with the decrease of enterprise inventory, the factory quotation will gradually pick up!
The price of pigs rebounded, and the center of gravity of corn moved down, partly falling below 1.38 yuan/kg. What happened? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the pictures are from the Internet! # Corn price #