Judging from the pig market after market fluctuation, many farmers are also hesitant to sell or suppress, and many farmers are on the sidelines. For the remaining April market, I personally think there will be a wave of "price correction". What factors will affect the changes in the market? Mainly from both ends of market supply and demand.
What is the supply and demand side of the pig market in late April?
After the opening of the market in late April, new changes have taken place in the supply and demand sides of the domestic pig market, especially when the price of live pigs fell too fast in the early stage, and many losses intensified, and farmers were in a state of selling in the market, especially some group breeding enterprises were more cautious in selling live pigs. Many breeding enterprises began to increase their efforts, while free-range farmers lowered the price of live pigs in the case of relatively large market losses, and the market further lacked an upward trend.
From the market point of view, although the current purchase price of live pigs is in a state of decline, the overall decline has eased. At present, the market price of live pigs is maintained at 6.7 to 7.03 yuan/kg, and the price of pigs is maintained at 6.62% to 7.93%. However, with the fluctuation of pig price, the cost of breeding and the price of corn and soybean meal are rising. The price of corn rose by 2870 yuan per ton in 25 yuan, while the price of soybean meal rose by 43 12 yuan per ton in 48 yuan. On the whole, the ratio of pig to grain in the current market is about 4.9: 1. Generally speaking, the output of farmers is low.
When the pig-grain ratio is lower than 5: 1, the state's regulation of pigs will also change, and the pig price will return to the normal level under the new round of state regulation.
Judging from the latest market quotation in April 17, the pig price in East China is in a downward state as a whole, and the market quotation remains at 7. 1 kg to 7.5 yuan. Shandong pig price ranges from 7-7.2 yuan per catty; Anhui pig price is 7 to 7.35 yuan per catty; The prices in Jiangsu and Anhui are the same. Judging from the market quotation in Central China, the pig price in Jiangxi is maintained at 7-7. 15 yuan per catty, while that in Hubei, 7 yuan and Hunan is 7. 1 yuan per catty. Judging from the market situation in South China, the price of live pigs in Guangdong is 7.2-7.5 yuan per catty, around 7 yuan in Guangxi and 6.6-6.8 yuan in Hainan. Judging from the market situation in North China, Beijing is 7. 1 to 7.25 yuan per catty, and Tianjin is 7. 1 to 7.25 yuan per catty; Shanxi area is 6.9 to 7.2 yuan per catty; Hebei area is 6.85-7. 1 yuan per catty. Judging from the market conditions in the three northeastern provinces, the overall price has risen to a certain extent, and the price has remained at 6.7 to 7.2 yuan per catty; Northwest China is 6.7 per catty to 7.2 yuan. According to the market in southwest China, the pig price in Yunguichuan is maintained at 6.7-7. 1 yuan per catty.
On the whole, after the arrival of late April, the pigs as a whole will stop falling and rebound. In the future, under the new changes at both ends of market supply and demand, the price resistance and market circulation of farmers will be relatively reduced, and the pigs in the north will usher in a favorable rise. In addition, the opening of the national temporary reserve pork storage will also bring some income to farmers. On the whole, the market price adjustment will gradually recover.