I don't know whether it's better to short or do it.

Very confused! However, many times the development of the market has its own laws. The futures cycle represents time. In a sense, we do futures more during trading hours.

Many fierce price fluctuations have formed an important turning point at a critical time. At this point in time, if we don't make preparations in advance, it is difficult for us to seize the opportunity of operation.

Let's take Apple Futures as an example.

In the three years since the listing of Apple Futures, its bull market appeared from late March to mid-May. That is to say, if you buy the Apple 10 contract at the end of March and then close your position in mid-May, you can make a lot of money with great probability. This also means that people who are short at this time have a huge loss.

Why?

Because this place is the most prone to late spring cold, if this weather factor is particularly strong, it is likely to greatly reduce the output of apple trees. If the yield decreases, shouldn't the corresponding 10 contract and 10 contract in the new fruit period increase sharply?

At this time, the empty side is very passive. If there is a serious cold in the spring, the price of apples will be difficult to come down and the loss may be great.

Therefore, if there is a big bearish price at the end of March and the beginning of April, it is a very good time window.

If you don't prepare in advance and get lost in the random K line every day, how can you seize such a trading opportunity?

Every futures product has its trading time window.

In the last five years, from August to September every year, thermal coal futures will rise. Let's go and see if this is the case. This is a time window to do more things.

Building materials futures are very likely to bottom out around Tomb-Sweeping Day every year, and it is very likely to peak in August-September.

Every year, many futures prices dive at the end of 65438+February, and then rise again in 65438+ 10. Let's take a look at this. Why? Because during 12, the funds in the spot market will be withdrawn and then released in the month of 12. So 65438+late February is a long time window? If there is a combination of long moving averages, can it be followed?

Many people want to do PTA rebound, but when can they do more? Is it possible to do more as long as it is a historical low? The last person who thought so has jumped off the building!

Next, the possible time points for PTA to rebound sharply are the first, the monthly change period,1October 20th 165438+ to 65438+ February, the second, the market of 65438+at the end of February, and the third, the pre-holiday stocking market in the third and fourth weeks before the Spring Festival. These three time points may have the opportunity to rebound. You can see if you can find the opportunity to rebound at these time points.

Is everything all right in the time window? Of course not. The time window is only a probability event, and it needs to be combined with the industry fundamentals and the moving average system to judge the possible intervals and entry and exit points.

Sometimes it's the statistical time window, but the moving average and fundamentals don't support it. You may need to give up this opportunity in trading, or this time window may not exist this year.

With the probability expectation of the time window, you can make a prediction of the future market development, so you may not know what to do next!