The average price of live pigs hovered around/kg 14 yuan for nearly three weeks. In the first half of 2022, it broke through the mark of/kg 15 yuan for the first time, and the pressure on farmers was gradually reduced.
According to the monitoring of many live pig data, on May 10, the national ternary live pig price was 15.06 yuan/kg, up 0.24 yuan/kg from yesterday.
Up to now, the province with the highest pig price in China is Guangdong Province, with the price of 17. 14 yuan/kg, and the province with the lowest pig price in China is Xinjiang Autonomous Region, with the price of 14. 17 yuan/kg.
Specifically, the national price of live pigs is 3 1 province and city:
The national pig price floor line has risen to 7 yuan, up 2-3 yuan month-on-month.
From the above quotation table, we can see that the floor line of the national pig price has risen, and the pig prices in 365 and 438+0 provinces and cities have all risen above 7 yuan. Gone forever are the days when 6 yuan was grinding its bottom, and pig prices in various provinces and cities rose more or less by 2-2 3 yuan.
According to the current pig price trend, industry insiders judge that the overall pig price in May is higher than that in April, which means that there is still room for growth in the next pig price.
Far-end futures prices are also relatively firm. As of the close of May 9, the main domestic pig futures prices exceeded 19000 yuan/ton for the first time, setting a new high for pig futures prices in recent months!
) In the future, the pig price can be expected, the feed price will drop, and the pig market will improve.
Based on the above data, it can be seen that the current live pig market is in a good trend, not only the spot price of live pigs has been rising all the way, but also the futures price of live pigs has brought hope to farmers.
According to the analysis of industry organizations, the productivity of the industry has actually exceeded expectations. Feed data show that sow feed decreased by 40% and piglet feed decreased by more than 30% from June to March this year. At present, the cumulative degeneracy of the industry may have exceeded 10%.
Of course, the reason why the production capacity is so fast is influenced by many factors in the market.
However, the high production cost is definitely one of the main factors. At the beginning of the year, the pig price did not improve, but the feed price soared rapidly, and farmers were forced to reduce production capacity under the huge cost pressure.
Fortunately, at present, the pig price is rising, the feed price is falling, and the worst loss of farmers has passed, and the future pig market can be expected!
In short, the current pig market is booming, and pig farmers have really released the pressure from the original two-way input-output pressure to the present two-way input-output pressure.
However, Bian Xiao reminded me that the hog market is still at a loss stage, and the subsequent production capacity will continue to decrease. Farmers should not rush to expand production capacity, so as to avoid incomplete reduction of production capacity and lengthen the pig cycle again! what do you think?