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Overnight external market: U.S. stocks plummeted, the Dow fell more than 460 points, and oil prices fell by 5%.
2 1 day, all major European stock indexes closed down. The US stock market plummeted, and the Dow Jones index fell more than 600 points in intraday trading. At the close, the Dow fell more than 460 points, breaking through the 23,000 mark; The Nasdaq closed down 1.63% and fell into a technical bear market; The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell nearly 65,438 points, or 0.6%. The panic index VIX once broke through the psychological barrier of 30 integer digits for the first time since the beginning of February, and finally closed up by more than 12%. The dollar index continued its downward trend. The dollar fell more than 1% against the yen, and the international gold price rose strongly, with the closing price hitting a new high in the past six months. Worried about oversupply and panic, the international oil price fell by 5%.

Overview of external disk

US stocks plunged: Dow fell more than 460 points, breaking the 23,000-point mark, and Nasdaq fell into a technical bear market.

On Thursday, US Eastern Time, the S&P 500 index closed down 39.54 points, or 65,438+0.58%, at 2,467.42 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 464.06 points, or 1.99%, to 22,859.60 points, a four-month low of/kloc-0. The Nasdaq Composite Index closed down 108.42 points, or 1.63%, to 6528.4438+0 points, down 19.5% from the closing record set in August.

In terms of Chinese stocks, the heart closed down 18.22%, Weilai Automobile fell more than 4%, Pinduoduo fell more than 3%, and Alibaba and Baidu fell more than1%; Huya rose more than 2%, and both 58 cities and Netease rose more than 1%.

On Thursday, US Eastern Time, Time crude oil futures closed down 2.29 US dollars, or 4.75%, to 45.88 US dollars/barrel. February Brent crude oil futures closed down 2.89 USD, or 5.05%, to 54.35 USD/barrel. SC 1903, the main contract of crude oil futures in the previous issue, closed down 3. 15% to 387.80 yuan; 1October 9 10 rose to 597.00 yuan, the highest closing record of the main contract since the first trading day of the last crude oil futures (March 26).

On Thursday, US Eastern Time, as of the close, Comex gold futures closed up 0.9% to 1.267.90 USD/oz, a record high in the past six months. As of 04:25, the US dollar index fell by 0.7775% to 96.2834; The euro rose 0.7963% against the US dollar to1.1469; Sterling rose 0.420 1% against the US dollar to1.438+0; USD/JPY fell 1. 1235% to11.1570; The dollar rose 0.0423% against the Canadian dollar to 1.3489. The dollar fell 0.0885% against RMB to 6.8850. At the close of European time on Thursday, the European Stoxx 50 Index closed down about 1.6%. Britain's FTSE 100 index closed down 0.80% at 67 1 1.93. Germany's DAX 30 index closed down 1.44% at10611. The French CAC 40 index closed down 1.78% to 4692.46. It is noteworthy that the Bank of England kept the interest rate and QE scale unchanged, which was in line with expectations. Night news

The Bank of England announced its interest rate resolution on Thursday, announcing that the current interest rate level and bond purchase scale will remain unchanged. The Bank of England said that inflation is expected to be below 2% in June 5438+ 10. Domestic inflationary pressure will continue to accumulate. The main challenge is to assess the impact of Britain's withdrawal from the EU. Since June 5438+065438+ 10, the uncertainty of Britain's withdrawal from the EU has increased. The Bank of England's policy interest rate is 0.75%, which is expected to be 0.75% and the previous value is 0.75%. The Bank of England purchased 435 billion pounds of assets in June and February of 5438, with an expected 435 billion pounds and a previous value of 435 billion pounds.

An industry insider who knows the progress of the case confirmed exclusively to the First Financial Reporter that Qualcomm had just won a lawsuit against Apple in the Munich court and could ban some models of iPhone in Germany. The source also said that there is no accurate information about the Apple models involved in this ban. However, he believes that the specific model of the specific prosecution is not important, because the judgment of the German court can cover all related models that actually implement the patented technology involved, not just specific models.

The voices of all walks of life

On Thursday (65438+February 20th), the media reported that the oil price had fallen to a dangerous level, and only one country in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) could keep its budget at this low price at the end of 20 19. The expanding deficit may trigger social unrest and financial crisis in member countries. When the Brent oil price drops to about $55/barrel, it is estimated that only Kuwait among the members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries can hold out until next year's policy meeting. OPEC giants Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran need higher oil prices to maintain their budgets, and Libya, Venezuela and Nigeria, which have been suffering from supply disruptions, are no exception.

In the financial market, Soros's name is widely known and is regarded as an important market vane. Today, this important benchmark is making important adjustments according to market changes. According to people familiar with the matter, in the past year, Soros Fund has continuously reduced its exposure to macro trading strategies, not only redeeming funds from external macro strategy funds, but also reducing the fund quota of internal teams.

Comment essence

12 19, the Federal Reserve announced that it would raise interest rates by 25 basis points and raise the target interest rate range of the federal funds to 2.25%-2.5%. This is the fourth rate hike this year and the ninth rate hike since the normalization of monetary policy this round. In the latest bitmap, the Fed expects to raise interest rates twice next year (the September bitmap is expected to be three times). Powell said at a news conference that he would keep the pace of reducing the balance sheet.

A month ago, many market participants regarded the recent stock market crash as a standard callback and an opportunity to buy on dips, rather than a signal that the economic cycle turned to an end and a sufficient condition for the Fed to suspend interest rate hikes. So, is this stock market decline an ordinary 10% correction in a bull market or the beginning of a bear market?

Hot spot focusing

Italy and the EU reached an agreement on the budget on June 19 local time: the EU approved Italy to reduce the deficit target in the 20 19 budget from the original 2.4% to 2.04%, and said that it would not be punished. The budget deadlock that lasted for two months was finally resolved with concessions from both sides.

The EU has formulated an emergency plan to deal with Britain's "no agreement on Britain's withdrawal from the EU", involving finance, customs, etc. 14, so as to avoid serious confusion that may occur at that time. However, the EU hopes that this plan will not be launched. Britain is scheduled to formally "leave the European Union" on March 29th next year, but the "Leave the European Union" agreement reached between Britain and the European Union has not yet been voted in the lower house of the British Parliament. The British cabinet held a meeting on June 5438+08, focusing on strengthening the preparations for "no agreement to leave the European Union".

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