Japan's nuclear power plant was damaged by the earthquake, which triggered a certain nuclear leakage crisis. The crisis is being solved nervously, but Japan's nuclear leakage will have a great impact on Japan and the global economy. 1. Japan has a large number of nuclear power plants. This earthquake, Japan's nuclear power plant shows that under the influence of a strong earthquake, the nuclear crisis may be disastrous. Japan may reassess the development of nuclear power in the future and strengthen the safety precautions of existing nuclear power plants. In addition, Japan will inevitably adjust its nuclear power plant construction plan in the next few years, which may reduce the number of nuclear power plants and develop new power and energy supplies, such as developing emerging industries such as wind power and solar photovoltaic power generation. Second, Japan's nuclear power crisis shows that Japan may temporarily stop the normal operation of nuclear power plants in the future, and Japan's power supply is tight, and major cities may lose power at different times. As a result, Japan's manufacturing industry may suffer great losses, because most factories need continuous power supply to maintain normal production order. Insufficient power supply may lead to a decline in the output value of Japan's manufacturing industry, and it may be difficult to return to the pre-earthquake level for at least two or three months, and when to resume normal production depends on when all nuclear power plants can be repaired and put into use again. 3. As Japanese electric power cannot be supplied in a short time, Japanese thermal power generation enterprises will produce at full capacity to solve the urgent need of Japanese electric power. Japan has no coal and other resources, and most of them are imported from China and Australia. Therefore, China and Australia's coal exports to Japan will reach a new high, and coal prices may rise due to Japan's massive imports. 4. In order to maintain the normal production and service order of Japanese commerce and service industry, a large number of generators will be used to generate electricity to maintain power supply, and Japan will purchase a large number of generators to maintain power supply by importing oil and diesel. Five, Japan's automobile, household appliances, electronics industry was damaged by the earthquake, or it is difficult to return to normal production level due to insufficient power supply. These private enterprise giants will consider moving their factories abroad. For example, a production enterprise with assets of 654.38+000 billion yen may transfer 30%-50% of its production lines to safe countries and regions in the future to avoid being affected by the earthquake in Japan. 6. If the power supply in Japan continues to be in short supply within six months to one year, it will have a significant negative impact on the Japanese economy. According to the latest analysis, Japan's power supply is mainly borne by nuclear power plants. Considering the frequent earthquakes in the future, it is difficult to repair and put into operation the damaged nuclear power plant in a short time. It is expected that the reality of power shortage in Japan will be difficult to alleviate in recent months. The implementation of the new power supply plan will take time, and even if a thermal power plant is built immediately, it will not be completed in a few months. Therefore, Japan's domestic industrial and commercial service industry and manufacturing industry will face a severe test, and Japan's GDP will probably show a serious negative growth trend. 7. In response to the earthquake crisis, the Japanese government has injected cash into the financial market many times, and the injection of trillions of yen may still be difficult to meet the demand. If Japan's GDP declines, Japan's post-disaster reconstruction may need to invest billions of yen. In order to avoid a rapid economic downturn, the Japanese government may follow the example of the United States and adopt a looser monetary policy and a proactive fiscal policy to stimulate the Japanese economy to recover as soon as possible after the earthquake. This may increase the inflationary pressure in Japan. Because the high-end cars, high-end electronic products and household appliances in the world economy are mainly produced in Japan, the domestic inflation situation in Japan is grim, which will lead to the direct inflation threat in developed economies in Asia and even the world. 8. After the earthquake in Japan, there may be a great demand for coal, oil, nonferrous metals, building materials and cement, which may aggravate the fluctuation of the world commodity futures market. At the beginning of the earthquake disaster, these commodities fell sharply due to market panic. However, after the emotional stability, stimulated by Japan's economic reconstruction and loose monetary policy, the currency depreciation began to manifest, and the prices of resource-based commodities began to rise sharply, which would be beneficial to resource-exporting countries such as Australia and Brazil. 9. The Japanese economy has a great influence on the Asian economy. Japan's economic downturn will probably slow down the economic growth of 20 1 1 Asia. At the same time, South Korea, which is in a competitive situation with Japan's economy, may catch up with Japan in industries such as automobiles, household appliances and electronic products and narrow the gap with Japan. However, there may be some changes in China's trade with Japan, mainly because when the demand for Japan may not be met, it will turn to other substitute countries and products, such as some products made in South Korea. 10. If the world economy is negatively affected by the Japanese economic downturn, it will eventually force the United States, the European Union and China to adjust their economic development strategies, and the recovery of the United States is imminent. If the recovery stagnates due to the influence of the Japanese economy, the United States will intensify the implementation of loose monetary policy to promote the sustained recovery of the American economy. China may become the best target for some domestic industries and enterprises to transfer production lines due to Japan's nuclear leakage crisis and tight power supply, and China will benefit from undertaking high-end manufacturing in Japan. After the earthquake and nuclear leakage crisis in Japan, China's economy may re-examine the implementation of the development plan of nuclear power plants, and may even compete with Japan for the commanding heights of technology and future production in the fields of wind power and solar power generation. Both China and Japan need the great development of new energy industry to solve the increasingly severe energy crisis caused by the shortage of traditional fossil energy. When the oil price stands at 100 USD, if there is a new round of inflation in the world economy, then gold and silver will once again become the value-added products that people chase, because houses may collapse due to earthquakes, but gold and silver are becoming increasingly scarce, and their values corresponding to the global liquidity expansion and the dollar crisis will gradually be reflected. The history of human social development shows that no matter what causes the crisis of economic downturn, governments all over the world always stimulate economic development, employment and exports through the depreciation of their currencies, and at the same time stimulate the growth of consumption. The nuclear leakage crisis in Japan will inevitably lead to a serious power shortage in Japan within a few months, which will lead to the failure of Japanese manufacturing industry to operate normally and lead to the most severe test of Japan's economy after the war. It is expected that both Japan and the United States will adopt looser monetary policies to stimulate global economic growth and recovery, at least to reduce the economic downturn.