On the contrary, products such as urea, eggs and corn, whose prices have been rising continuously, have been falling continuously recently. What causes the polarization of price trend? Let's have a look.

Pig prices rose and returned strongly.

During the Spring Festival, the price of live pigs fluctuated weakly. By the close of 1, the price rose to a stage high point, and then the losing streak mode began. All the way down to February 4, the price of live pigs fell to a new low 14.25 yuan/kg. Then it bottomed out and rebounded strongly. At present, it has risen for two consecutive years.

On February 6, the price of pigs mainly rose. Except Hainan continued to decline slightly, and Shanghai, Zhejiang, Fujian, Jiangxi, Hunan, Guangdong, Gansu, Chongqing and Liaoning remained stable, prices in other regions rose across the board.

After adjustment, the pig price in Southwest China rose to 6.8-7. 1 yuan, in Northeast China to 6.7-7. 1 yuan, in North China to 6.8-7.3 yuan, in South China to 6.7-7.5 yuan, in Central China to 6.8-7.2 yuan and in East China to 7-7.5 yuan.

Pig prices can stop falling and rebound and rise strongly. I think it is inseparable from the following changes in the opening market:

An important reason for the price reduction before 1. is that slaughter enterprises forced the price reduction in order to replenish the inventory consumed during the Spring Festival. However, with the replenishment of slaughter enterprises' inventory, the willingness to reduce prices has weakened.

2. The pig price has fallen to a new low, the losses at the breeding end have increased, the willingness of farmers to raise prices has increased, and it has become more difficult for slaughtering enterprises to collect pigs.

3. Recently, the catering industry and tourism industry have continued to recover, and pork consumption has gradually improved.

The price of pork fell to a new low, which also attracted many consumers to buy fresh meat and suspend eating frozen meat and bacon.

4, the Lantern Festival consumption is good, definitely good.

It is understood that there are still a backlog of pigs on the market that should be listed before the festival. It is difficult for these pigs to be completely digested in a short time. The number of pigs available for slaughter after the holiday is at a high level, and pork consumption is in a downturn. It is expected that this round of pig price increase is difficult to sustain, and the pig price is likely to continue to run weakly.

The price of eggs began to fall.

After the Spring Festival, eggs experienced a period of rising market, followed by two days of stability, and recently began to fall.

At present, the price of eggs in Henan is 4.4-4.75 yuan, in Hebei 4.3 1-4.4 yuan, in Shandong 4.45-4.7 yuan, in Jiangsu 4.39-4.7 yuan and in Anhui 4.6-4.7 yuan.

In the last two days, egg prices have fallen in succession, and the logic leading to the decline in egg prices mainly includes the following logics:

1, egg consumption is at a low point after the holiday, and the increase in egg prices further affects egg consumption demand.

2. After the previous price increase and the farmers' pressure during the Spring Festival, the farmers have a higher enthusiasm for shipping in the near future.

3. The replenishment of the warehouse by traders is coming to an end, and the terminal demand has not been followed up. After the price rises, traders hold a wait-and-see attitude.

Although the productivity of laying hens decreased in May 438+February last year and May 438+1October this year due to the elimination of a large number of old chickens, the decline was not large, and the productivity of laying hens was still at a high level. Considering the decline in egg consumption after the holiday, it is expected that the short-term egg price will not rise.

Urea price deadlock weakened.

Recently, the market price of urea began to fall, and most of them were in a stalemate. Among them, individual enterprises in Anhui lowered their prices 10 yuan/ton, and the mainstream ex-factory price of small particles was about 2790-2850 yuan/ton. Shanxi lowered the 20 yuan/ton, and the mainstream ex-factory price of small and medium particles was 2630-2750 yuan/ton; In addition, Guangxi lowered the price 10 yuan/ton, and the mainstream market price of small and medium-sized particles was about 2910-2,930 yuan/ton.

Domestic mainstream ex-factory price of urea is 2660 yuan/ton -2790 yuan/ton.

The decline of urea price is mainly affected by the following aspects:

1. urea futures prices have been weakening recently. Compared with last week, the urea futures price dropped by 4.92%, down by 158 yuan/ton.

2. The daily output of urea is maintained at about 15.2- 15.4 yuan/ton, which is mainly supplied to China, and the domestic urea supply is at a high level.

3. With the reduction of the number of urea plants to be dispatched in the early stage, the profitability of urea plants has increased slightly in the near future.

Although with the weakening of holiday atmosphere, the operating rate of Chinese cabbage and compound fertilizer enterprises has rebounded and the demand for urea has rebounded, the industry is still worried about the subsequent urea market. With the large-scale decline of international urea price, the domestic urea market is bearish and the price is rising, and the short-term urea price may continue to fall.

Corn prices are weak.

In the last week, domestic corn prices have been falling continuously. The highest corn price in Shandong has dropped from 1.55 yuan to 1.52 yuan, and the location has dropped from 1.405 yuan to 1.395 yuan, with an average drop from 1.435 yuan. The average price of corn in North China decreased from 1.4473 yuan to 1.4336 yuan, and in Northeast China from 1.3222 yuan to1.32/2 yuan.

The national average corn price dropped from 1.4 yuan to 1.3933 yuan.

Although the decline is not big, it continues to run weakly.

As a result, corn prices have weakened. First, the deep processing enterprises had sufficient inventory years ago, but the recovery of the consumer side has not yet been transmitted to the demand side, and the purchasing enthusiasm of enterprises is not high.

Secondly, the surplus vehicles of deep processing enterprises in Shandong Province have been maintained at more than 1000 in the morning because of the sharp increase in corn output after the holiday. There are reasons for the increase in the output of grass-roots farmers, and there are also reasons for the increase in tidal grain output and the increase in drying towers.

Thirdly, feed enterprises are holding a wait-and-see attitude in the face of higher corn prices due to the continuous low price of live pigs.

In the short term, the demand side lacks obvious favorable demand, and after the holiday, grassroots farmers have the need to prepare for spring ploughing. In the case of strong supply and weak demand, grain enterprises are cautious in purchasing, and the decline in corn prices is difficult to reverse in the short term.