"Thirty-six Tactics" is a wise art of war based on China's excellent ancient military thoughts and rich struggle experience. It is a long-standing cultural heritage of the Chinese nation, and its content is profound and all-encompassing. In fact, this cultural heritage can be seen everywhere in real life, and the futures market is no exception.
"Killing with a knife" is the third of the "36 plans". Sun Tzu's art of war said: the enemy is clear, the friend is uncertain, attract friends to kill the enemy, but you don't contribute. It is derived from "loss". Interpretation: the enemy's situation is clear, and the attitude of the friendly side has not yet been determined. Use the power of friendly forces to destroy the enemy without paying any price. This is a trick to deduce the performance from the "lost" divination. "Killing with a knife" means that when dealing with the enemy, you don't do it yourself, but use a third party to attack the enemy to save your strength; Further, skillfully use the internal contradictions of the enemy to kill each other, so as to achieve the goal of killing the enemy. The core content of "killing with a knife" is to use leverage to achieve one's own goals. Then, for futures investors, how to flexibly use the "impeded" plan?
The futures market is a battlefield without smoke, and the long and short battles run silently. For investors in the futures market, they can be divided into two categories: allies and opponents. As a wise investor, before entering the market, we must first judge the "potential", that is, judge who is superior in both long and short positions, and then join the dominant party to "kill the enemy" with the help of allies to make profits; If we misjudge the situation, we must "withdraw our troops" in time and wait for the opportunity.
In the domestic futures market, the proportion of small and medium-sized investors whose capital scale is less than 6.5438+0 million yuan exceeds 70%. From the perspective of funds, whether long or short, they are at a competitive disadvantage. Therefore, it is very important for small and medium investors to learn to follow the trend.
Take the trend of iron ore futures 160 1 contract for analysis. After the listing of iron ore futures, the general trend is to fall, and the falling process is accompanied by a staged rebound. For small and medium investors, the general direction of documentary is to establish short positions. From June, 2065438 to the beginning of September, 2005, the main contract of iron ore futures 160 1 rebounded at a high point around 395 yuan/ton, which seems that 400 yuan/ton is an insurmountable barrier. Therefore, every rebound above 390 yuan/ton is a good short entry point. Some investors set up short positions in this position in mid-August, and with the help of industrial capital hedging force, the target was set near 360 yuan/ton, which made a lot of profits and achieved good results. The most important thing in the futures market is opportunity. At the beginning of September, the main iron ore futures contract 160 1 rebounded above 390 yuan/ton again, which seems to usher in another good opportunity to short, and small and medium investors can once again adopt the strategy of "killing people with a knife". When investors entered the market to establish short positions, everything was as expected before September 8, but then the bulls took advantage of the situation, and the 160 1 contract continued to rise, reaching a maximum of 4 17 yuan/ton. This time is the hardest time for bears. Small and medium-sized investors with complete strategies should stop at 400 yuan/ton, but if they stick to their previous views, they should wait for the opportunity. When the contract of 160 1 fell back, the empty side once again occupied an overwhelming advantage and the opportunity came again. Small and medium-sized investors have a good short-selling opportunity around 4 10 yuan/ton.
In fact, neither side has the ability to destroy the other and can only occupy a phased advantage. For small and medium investors alone, it is a wise choice to formulate a complete set of operation strategies, and then establish corresponding positions and strictly operate them after judging who is dominant in both long and short positions.
In essence, the plan of "killing people with a knife" conforms to the operating concept of taking advantage of the trend. Borrowing is for compliance; Knife is the potential of both long and short sides; Killing the price refers to pushing the price to develop in a direction that is beneficial to you; Man is an opponent. Therefore, in general, "killing with allies" is to push the price to run in a direction that is beneficial to one's own side, effectively kill the effective strength of the opponent, and realize one's investment goals.