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Problems of wave theory
1. There are 13 variants of the simple pattern:

Push the wave, end the inclined triangle drive wave, guide the inclined triangle drive wave,

Keywords sawtooth adjustment wave, double sawtooth adjustment wave, three sawtooth adjustment wave,

Keywords regular platform type adjustment wave, diffusion platform type adjustment wave, homeopathic platform type adjustment wave,

The contraction triangle adjusts the wave, the downward triangle adjusts the wave, the upward triangle adjusts the wave, and the diffusion triangle adjusts the wave.

Masters warned that using wave theory to analyze the average index is more reliable than the trend of a single stock. In Eliot's wave theory

Regarding ",Burchett pointed out:" Although the wave theory has a certain effect on individual stocks, the wave counting of many stocks is often the same.

Fuzzy, can't form great practical value. In other words, Eliot's theory can tell you whether the runway is unobstructed, not which horse.

Will win. "

For example, we observe the volume, color, shape, density and salt content of a small drop of water under a microscope.

Individual characteristics are quite obvious. However, as far as the whole ocean is concerned, no matter how distinctive its individual characteristics are, there is always the power of waves.

Go with the flow, because it is part of the ocean. Therefore, the trend of the whole market movement has nothing to do with the rise and fall of some stocks.

Tall man. For example, American steel companies rose from $20 at the end of 1973 to $60 at the beginning of 1976, a two-fold increase.

However, Jellyfish Company (cement manufacturer) dropped from $45 in 1972 to $0/2 in early 1975. When America

When steel fell rapidly, Jellyfish launched five waves of growth.

With the increasing market scale, the possibility of synchronous operation of each share is getting smaller and smaller. We just need to compare China and the United States.

The China stock market is understandable. New york Stock Exchange has stocks below 1 USD and stocks above 1 USD (namely Buffett).

Hathaway). However, the share price of China A shares is still between 1- 100 RMB. China's stock market is developing rapidly.

With the rapid expansion, the difference in stock prices will gradually emerge. For example, behind the price difference between Daqing Lianyi and Dongfang Electronics is the change of the company's profit.

At present, there is no stock index futures trading in China, so the application of wave theory is limited. But I believe that there are "three categories"

Allow enterprises and insurance funds to enter the market and launch index futures at an appropriate time, then wave theory will come in handy.

According to wave theory, type is the most important, and counting wave is the most important. However, the wave number must conform to the rules, which are summarized as follows:

(1) Push wave runs 5 waves, and correction wave runs 3 waves except triangle;

(2) The second wave will not break through 1 wave;

(3) The third wave must surpass 1 wave, and it is not the shortest;

(4) Four waves will not overlap with 1 wave except in the oblique triangle;

(5) The difference between platform and sawtooth lies in the end of C wave;

(6) In most cases, there are only two kinds of nonstandard platforms: expansive platforms and powerful platforms.

Other wave counting guidelines are still at the empirical level. For example, there may be two rises in the push wave.

Waves are all extended waves. The bull market of US stocks started from 1932, and there were obviously two waves of extension. One wave started from 194.

2 years to1966; The other is from 1982 (or 1975) to the present. The general saying is that only

One is the extended wave, so investors don't have to have ideological obstacles in practical application; As long as it conforms to the rules, it may be correct.

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