What is the sense of disk in futures? How to train this feeling
How to cultivate a sense of disk generally requires us to do the following two things. First, lay a good foundation. Like any job, it is necessary to have a certain foundation to cultivate a sense of disk. Specifically, there are three points: 1. Familiar with futures trading rules: The purpose of making futures trading rules is to maintain normal trading order, protect fair competition, and punish illegal trading behaviors such as breach of contract, stop monopoly and manipulate the market. Therefore, every trader should be familiar with, supervise and abide by them. Generally speaking, there are broad and narrow futures trading rules, and the broad futures trading rules include all laws, regulations, articles of association and rules of futures market management. Narrow futures trading rules only refer to the futures trading rules formulated by the futures exchange and approved by the state regulatory authorities, as well as various detailed rules, measures and regulations based on them. Trading rules should be based on the exchange, which is actually a contract signed between the exchange and its member units (customers) and exchange member units (customers). For us traders, the main rules we should know about futures trading are: opening, closing, quotation, closing, recording, closing, settlement and guarantee of trading, delivery, dispute settlement and penalty for breach of contract. 2. Keep in mind the technical analysis theory: According to the technical analysis theory, any factor that can affect a futures price-fundamentals, psychological aspects or any other aspects-is actually reflected in its price, and technical analysis and market behavior are closely related to human psychology. Therefore, in order to quickly and accurately understand the influence of disk surface change, we must keep in mind the technical analysis theory. In the futures market, price, volume, position, time and space are the five elements of technical analysis. Generally speaking, technical analysis is divided into K-line analysis, tangent analysis, chart analysis, market nature analysis and market structure analysis. K-line analysis is a psychological state of greed and fear reflected by one or several K-lines, and some signs or signals are found before major price trends occur. Tangent analysis, that is, trend analysis, grasps trading opportunities and judges the future development of prices by analyzing the direction and running time of trends. Chart analysis is to judge what factors the market contains in the whole change process by recording the table of price or volume change trajectory. Chart analysis is the oldest market analysis method. It is a study of human psychology, that is, traders' reaction to the development of market situation. Market nature analysis includes oscillation index analysis and volume and position analysis. The analysis of oscillation index is mainly used to judge whether the market is overbought or oversold. As long as the volume analysis is used to verify the price pattern, the position analysis is mainly used to measure the ability of the market to attract new transactions at the current price. Market structure analysis is to help us determine the position of the market, so as to determine the subsequent development of the market. Including seasonality, time period and Eliot's wave theory. 3. Understand psychoanalytic theory: In disk analysis, psychological factors are very important for understanding price changes, people's trading motives and traders' behaviors. Psychoanalysis is divided into individual psychoanalysis and group psychoanalysis. Personal psychological analysis is mainly to understand the influence of one's own ability, personality and morality on transactions, thus helping us to know the natural self, integrate consciousness and unconsciousness, and realize real self-realization. Public psychological analysis mainly analyzes the emergence and consequences of mass hysteria, which is an analytical thinking from "market psychology to price". 4. Have your own operation method and analysis system: Your method can come from one of basic analysis, technical analysis and psychological analysis, or from their combination. But no matter which method, no matter how to get it, they must be able to tell you how to judge trading opportunities and how to choose trading opportunities. This is the key to improve the sense of disk through continuous efforts, study and observation. And your analysis system should also tell you what opportunities to choose under what circumstances, such as intraday, ultra-short-term, short-term or mid-line or long-term. Second, insist on training (1) After the daily closing, the resumption training is to watch the whole market again with static. Because there is no time to observe, think deeply and summarize during the day, it is necessary to sort out and analyze the market after the close. The daily resumption time is after the daily closing, preferably at night, because the mood caused by the daytime period has been basically stable. The resumption time is about 2-5 hours, and the resumption process is: 1. Carefully browse the main contracts of all varieties in the city, and analyze their current situation as follows: what are the long, medium and short-term trends? What kind of trend or trend level are you in now? 2. Which varieties have the strongest trend? Which varieties are weak? Are there any varieties that match your trading opportunities? 3. If there is an opportunity, does this transaction adopt a homeopathic strategy or a contrarian strategy? Is it short-term or band? When, when to enter the arena? How big a position are you going to establish? What is the target price? How long will it take to reach the target price? Where will you encounter trouble after entering the market, that is, where is the pressure and support? Under what circumstances are you sure you are wrong? Is the stop loss executed in full or in batches? Is it intraday execution or closing execution? Can I reverse the operation after exiting? 4. Has this opportunity appeared in the historical trend? How did it start and develop? What is the external market of this opportunity variety? 5. Are there any opportunities you missed in the recent market? Why did you miss it? If you were given another chance, how would you take it? 6. Is the trend of your own position normal? Is it possible to add positions at present? Under what circumstances do you add positions? Under what circumstances will you win? If the trend is abnormal, under what circumstances will it be out? How about the outer disk? 7. Browse major websites to see what's the big news today? What impact do they have on the market? Will it affect your trading plan? 8. What about the stock market? What about the foreign exchange market? (2) Rehearsal training for external markets and various news reports every morning. Due to the time difference, the varieties of the outer disk closed after the early morning of the next day, so it is necessary to analyze all the trends and early news of the outer disk the next morning. Through the re-examination and analysis, you need to understand: are they consistent with the results you judged last night? How will they affect your position or the trading opportunities you will participate in? What is the trend of various possibilities today? What would you do? (3) In the intraday variety analysis and training institute, it is mainly to track the real-time trend of the varieties you hold, and clearly understand the specific meaning of their opening, closing, highest and lowest on the same day; Analyze the strength of bulls and bears in intraday trading, where is the pressure and support of intraday trading, and is the relationship between volume and price normal? How enthusiastic is the market participation today? Is it consistent with your analysis before the opening? What was your mood during the whole movie? Did you change your trading ideas because of intraday interference? (4) Actual combat training is the best test of your knowledge, skills and psychological quality. It is the link between knowledge and experience. Although you have done a lot of analysis and preparation before the transaction, after the opening, your mood is often not what you think. You will find it so difficult to "execute the transaction" and decide the trading position, that is, at this time, the difference between novice and veteran will soon appear. For beginners, last night's analysis seems to have reached the outside of the cloud nine, in a flurry and in a hurry. However, with a good sense of the disk, the veteran can quickly judge the disk and take action. So, what can a novice do to be as calm and comfortable as an old hand? This requires several or hundreds of actual combat trainings for novices. When you really use your own trading methods to experience trading and feel the unique trading opportunities found again and again, you will gradually have your own disk feeling and gradually grow into an excellent trader. In short, the awareness of futures trading is important and can be cultivated. Although many novice friends still have a superficial understanding of futures trading, it doesn't matter. As long as you think seriously, go deep into what you should do, and insist on continuing this observation and thinking in the future, then one day, you will definitely have a good impression on futures and step into the ranks of successful traders.