Since July, 20 13, the continuous high temperature, drought and lack of rain have caused the agricultural production of seven southern provinces (cities) such as Hunan, Guizhou, Chongqing, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Hubei and Anhui to suffer from high temperature and drought in different degrees, and the crops such as rice, corn, cotton, vegetables and tea have suffered more than last year and the same period of the previous year. Since August 15, 2065438, the rainfall in dry areas has gradually increased. The abundant precipitation brought by Typhoon Tan Mei in late August of October13 effectively eased the drought in most areas in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. However, the damage caused by high temperature and drought in the early stage to autumn harvest crops such as one-season rice and corn has been irreparable. According to statistics, high temperature and drought caused crops in seven southern provinces (cities) to be affected by 802 1 10,000 hectares, and no crops were harvested11230,000 hectares. Generally speaking, the yield formation of one-season rice and corn is greatly affected, while early rice is relatively less affected.

In the summer of 20 12, the United States suffered the worst high temperature and drought in 56 years, and corn and soybean cultivation suffered heavy losses. At the same time, the main wheat producing areas such as Russia and Ukraine have also been affected by the dry climate and reduced production, resulting in the Chicago Board of Trade soybean and corn prices hitting a record high and wheat prices rising by 40%. At that time, the statistics of the World Bank showed that in July, 2065, the global food price soared 10%, 438+02, the price of corn and wheat both rose by 25%, and the price of soybean also rose 17%.

20 13 will the high temperature and drought in southern China lead to a sharp rise in food prices? 20 13 On March 23rd, Bao Kexin, chairman of China Grain Reserve Management Corporation, said that the level of domestic grain stocks was the highest in history. July 13, 10 The National Bureau of Statistics said that the total output of summer grain this year reached 654.38+300 million tons, up 1.5% year-on-year. This helps to ensure the price stability of agricultural products.

China's main grain stocks are sufficient, and the overall demand accounts for a small proportion of global demand. It seems that there is no need to worry about a sharp rise in food prices when importing a large amount of food. However, once the international market confirms China's grain import demand, the price curve of major agricultural products may suddenly rise.