What are the sanctions against Iran in the Trump era? The media said that the Trump administration's "biggest sanction" against Iran is to ban crude oil exports and try to "clear" Iranian crude oil exports; In order to ensure the effectiveness of this sanction, the United States once said that "whoever buys Iranian oil will be sanctioned."
In addition to cutting off Iran's largest source of economic income-oil export, Iran's petrochemical, shipping, insurance, banking, automobile manufacturing and other industries, and even some important Iranian people have not escaped the US sanctions. Due to the "all-round" sanctions imposed by the United States, Iranian President Rouhani also said in 2020 that Iran's economic losses amounted to 50 billion US dollars (about 320 billion yuan), equivalent to twice the national budget of the previous year.
In fact, the "reconciliation" of returning to the US-Iraq agreement has already begun. For example, in early May, it was reported in Iran that in the fourth round of high-level negotiations, the two countries reached general agreement on key issues and the United States would lift "major sanctions" against Iran.
At the end of May, the US Department of Energy also voluntarily revealed that the country imported about 36,000 barrels of Iranian petroleum products every day in June 2020 and 33,000 barrels every day in March this year. Although Iran said that there was no relevant export data, it was the first time since 199 1 (30 years) that the United States admitted to importing a large amount of Iranian crude oil, which triggered a heated discussion in the international community.
Why did the United States and Iran reach an agreement this time? Or, why is the United States willing to lift sanctions? It is mainly because the new US president intends to promote the normalization of US-Iran relations after he took office. However, the Biden administration's relaxation of sanctions against Iran also has a premise: Iran will once again abide by the Iranian nuclear deal.
It is reported that since the Iranian nuclear deal itself is unfavorable to Iran, Iran has repeatedly stressed that there is no need for dialogue unless the United States lifts the sanctions first. So there will be speculation that the United States and Iraq reached an agreement this time because both sides made concessions. It is worth mentioning that before the US-Iran agreement was reached, China supported Iran and supported the United States to lift sanctions against Iran.
So, what are the benefits of reaching an agreement between the United States and Iraq? On the one hand, Iran's oil exports are expected to resume. After all, Iranian oil has always been very competitive in the international market because it is "cheap and good". The monthly report of the International Energy Agency predicts that by the end of 20021,Iran's crude oil exports may recover to 310.5 million barrels per day; In 202 1 year, Iran's average oil export will reach 660,000 barrels per day; By the middle of 2022, Iran's crude oil production capacity will reach 3.8 million barrels per day.
On the other hand, international crude oil prices are expected to fall. American media reported on June 14 that the price of crude oil is rising due to the soaring global demand. As of June 13, the price of crude oil in the United States was about $23 higher than that in June 13. The US crude oil futures price has reached 7 1.70 USD/barrel, setting a new record since 20 18, 10,17 (three years).
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