1, capacity repair
In the first quarter, the number of live pigs slaughtered nationwide was 1.7 1.43 million, an increase of 401.50 million, an increase of 30.6%. Pork output13.69 million tons, an increase of 33 1 10,000 tons, an increase of 3 1.9%. According to the forecast of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in June and July this year, the number of live pigs is expected to return to normal, and the number of live pigs to be released is expected to gradually return to normal after 10 months.
2. Insufficient consumption
There is an oversupply of pork in the market, so it is not uncommon for prices to fall. A while ago, due to the high price of pigs, many people had to choose chickens and ducks as substitutes. Now many people are used to eating less. Even though the retail price of pork has dropped a lot, many people have no desire to buy it.
3. Imported pork increased.
202 1 1 8 will usher in the first domestic pig futures listing, which will help to smooth out the large fluctuation of pig prices and promote the recovery of industrial production capacity.
2. What is the new price of pork all over the country? Generally speaking, the pig price in Beijing rose slightly due to the Dragon Boat Festival, and the foreign three yuan reached 15.56 yuan/kg; The pig prices in Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Henan and other places are generally around 13- 14.5 yuan/kg, which is still at a low level as a whole.
1, pork price in North China
Generally or mainly, the price of Beijing pigs rose slightly due to the Dragon Boat Festival, and the price of foreign three yuan reached 15.56 yuan/kg; The pig prices in Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Henan and other places fluctuated widely around 13- 14.5 yuan/kg, which was generally low.
2. Pork price in Northeast China
The price is the highest in China. The price of live pigs in Heilongjiang once reached 12 yuan/kg, while the prices of live pigs in Jilin and Liaoning all hovered around 13 yuan. It is expected that after the Dragon Boat Festival, as more pigs are released, the price of pigs will fall, and pig farmers may leave one after another.
3. Pork prices in East China, Central China and South China.
Prices are all around 14 yuan ~ 15 yuan/kg, and pork prices are mostly around 12 yuan to buy a catty of pork belly. On the whole, the Dragon Boat Festival did not create great opportunities for the rise of pig prices. The price of pigs in Hainan Province has dropped a lot, and the market price is about a catty in 20 yuan. It is estimated that domestic pig prices are unlikely to rise in the next two years.
Judging from the current situation, domestic breeding sows and pigs have reached the level of the same period in history. In other words, there are more pigs now than in any previous year. Perhaps, the price of pork will reach the lowest point in history this year, and pig farmers may face the situation of losing money in raising pigs.
The above is the introduction of the reason of pork price reduction brought by Bian Xiao. Generally speaking, it is unlikely that the price of pork will rise to more than one catty in 20 yuan this year, because the production capacity of live pigs has been restored and imported pork is increasing. However, fortunately, the country began to stabilize pig prices!